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Deminpenn

(17,168 posts)

15. Polls

Thu Nov 6, 2025, 03:16 PM

Nov 6

A few things, first the 2016, 2020 and 2024 election results show that when Trump's name is on the ballot, it does pull out "unlikely" voters. And they vote for Rs down ballot. Those who are first time or very sporadic voters. They disappear when Trump's name isn't on the ballot. The US Senate runoff election in GA in 2017, just weeks after Trump was elected president first showed that phenomenon.

Second, we know R pollsters with methodologies that gave biased samples produced many polls with results that were unrealistically close. This rash of polls had the effect of skewing the poll-averaging sites like RCP and of those using poll-averages. The end result is a narrative that specific races are closer than they
actually are.

Last, this is not rocket science to figure out.

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Highlight:

Nate Silver Says Polls May Be 'Overestimating' Trump After 'Huge' Miss [View all] BumRushDaShow Nov 6 OP

The Putin/Trump Crime syndicate wouldn't rig the polls would they? Irish_Dem Nov 6 #1

Or the Corporate Media Chasstev365 Nov 6 #3

Corporate Media is the propaganda arm for the Putin/Trump Crime syndicate. Irish_Dem Nov 6 #4

Motivation to vote benefits one side or the other more and outweighs polls. Only Election Day poll counts. . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Nov 6 #2

oh Nate Silver once again pointing out the obvious. Javaman Nov 6 #5

The dummy didn't factor in the "Diaper-Don Kiss of Death" wolfie001 Nov 6 #6

M$M Sponsors Most Polls modrepub Nov 6 #7

Case in point BumRushDaShow Nov 6 #8

Perhaps on the plus side, polls showing tight races in lieu of the truth of the situation generalbetrayus Nov 6 #9

IMHO BumRushDaShow Nov 6 #10

I agree that the main reason that people came out has to do with rejection of the Orange Julius Caesar program. generalbetrayus Nov 6 #11

These polls keep the head honchos in the media "happy" with the "horse race" coverage BumRushDaShow Nov 6 #12

Right. GopherGal Nov 6 #14

Huh, guess who is and has been one of those pollster ? republianmushroom Nov 6 #13

Polls Deminpenn Nov 6 #15