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Showing Original Post only (View all)Trump Is Losing a Second War. The Iran debacle is accelerating the shift away from fossil fuels [View all]
Trump Is Losing a Second WarThe Iran debacle is accelerating the shift away from fossil fuels
Paul Krugman
May 5
https://open.substack.com/pub/paulkrugman/p/trump-is-losing-a-second-war?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=3aksq
Last month, out of more than 11,000 new passenger vehicles registered in Norway, only around 150 had internal consumption engines. The rest were fully electric. In mainland Europe as a whole, EV sales are up 51 percent from a year ago.
The global energy transition the shift from fossil fuels to electrotech, which uses solar, wind and batteries to power an electrified economy is accelerating. Its now clear that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz marks an inflection point: the global green energy curve, which was already on a rapidly rising trajectory, has suddenly become even steeper. Investors, reports the Financial Times, are piling into clean energy funds.
This acceleration isnt just a consequence of soaring fossil fuel prices. It is also the result of the worldwide realization that, with the end of Pax Americana, depending on imported hydrocarbons is a risk not worth taking. The United States cannot be relied on to keep sea lanes open when cheap drones can take out an oil tanker or a major pipeline. Even relying on oil and gas from America itself is dangerous, since one never knows when an erratic U.S. government now under the control of a twice-elected malignant narcissist will try to use energy as a tool of coercion.
Despite the perversity of its causes, the current acceleration of electrotech is overwhelmingly positive for the world as a whole. It will slow climate change and reduce pollution. It will diminish the power of anti-democratic petrostates and limit the vulnerability of the world economy to disruptions at choke points like Hormuz. It will democratize access to cheap energy sources in places like Africa.
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Trump Is Losing a Second War. The Iran debacle is accelerating the shift away from fossil fuels [View all]
applegrove
12 hrs ago
OP
When we stop using fossil fuels, all this goes away. All the oil powers are the ones doing ALL of this.
Scrivener7
11 hrs ago
#3
Just wait until you see Exxon's profits for this quarter and you will know....
Ol Janx Spirit
10 hrs ago
#8
Yes, they do exist--which is great--but only in very limited capacity at the moment, and scaling...
Ol Janx Spirit
7 hrs ago
#28
All those things are true, but the oil industry is still looking at a long time horizon...
Ol Janx Spirit
5 hrs ago
#37
The gasoline that was at $2.79 now selling north of $4.50 with NO CAPITAL COSTS to them.... ALL PROFIT
dave99
1 hr ago
#45
Thanks for the OP. We really don't hear much about how TSFs war on renewables and EVs is making
wiggs
10 hrs ago
#17
Renewables are democratic (small-d). And the future, but petro corps and certain countries will
wiggs
9 hrs ago
#18
The War in Iran Is Causing China to Sell So Many Solar Panels That Your Jaw Will Drop
usonian
9 hrs ago
#19
I wish the blockade on fertilizers would result in a move to organic agriculture
MadameButterfly
4 hrs ago
#39