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applegrove

(132,891 posts)
Tue May 5, 2026, 06:45 AM 12 hrs ago

Trump Is Losing a Second War. The Iran debacle is accelerating the shift away from fossil fuels [View all]

Trump Is Losing a Second WarThe Iran debacle is accelerating the shift away from fossil fuels

Paul Krugman

May 5

 https://open.substack.com/pub/paulkrugman/p/trump-is-losing-a-second-war?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=3aksq


Last month, out of more than 11,000 new passenger vehicles registered in Norway, only around 150 had internal consumption engines. The rest were fully electric. In mainland Europe as a whole, EV sales are up 51 percent from a year ago.

The global energy transition — the shift from fossil fuels to electrotech, which uses solar, wind and batteries to power an electrified economy — is accelerating. It’s now clear that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz marks an inflection point: the global green energy curve, which was already on a rapidly rising trajectory, has suddenly become even steeper. “Investors,” reports the Financial Times, “are piling into clean energy funds.”

This acceleration isn’t just a consequence of soaring fossil fuel prices. It is also the result of the worldwide realization that, with the end of Pax Americana, depending on imported hydrocarbons is a risk not worth taking. The United States cannot be relied on to keep sea lanes open when cheap drones can take out an oil tanker or a major pipeline. Even relying on oil and gas from America itself is dangerous, since one never knows when an erratic U.S. government – now under the control of a twice-elected malignant narcissist — will try to use energy as a tool of coercion.

Despite the perversity of its causes, the current acceleration of electrotech is overwhelmingly positive for the world as a whole. It will slow climate change and reduce pollution. It will diminish the power of anti-democratic petrostates and limit the vulnerability of the world economy to disruptions at choke points like Hormuz. It will democratize access to cheap energy sources in places like Africa.


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Ahh, yes... LakeVermilion 12 hrs ago #1
My neighbors just bought an EV, spurred by the spike in gas prices. SunSeeker 12 hrs ago #2
When we stop using fossil fuels, all this goes away. All the oil powers are the ones doing ALL of this. Scrivener7 11 hrs ago #3
Since the sun shines and the wind blows nearly everywhere paleotn 10 hrs ago #12
I have had solar and EVs Miguelito Loveless 6 hrs ago #29
Chris Hayes had a segment about this last week Deminpenn 11 hrs ago #4
Are oil executives still happy with the Gropenfuhrer? KS Toronado 11 hrs ago #5
Just wait until you see Exxon's profits for this quarter and you will know.... Ol Janx Spirit 10 hrs ago #8
EV trucks? Conjuay 8 hrs ago #23
Yes, they do exist--which is great--but only in very limited capacity at the moment, and scaling... Ol Janx Spirit 7 hrs ago #28
Their joy will be short term Miguelito Loveless 6 hrs ago #30
All those things are true, but the oil industry is still looking at a long time horizon... Ol Janx Spirit 5 hrs ago #37
Oh, the planet is hosed Miguelito Loveless 3 hrs ago #42
The gasoline that was at $2.79 now selling north of $4.50 with NO CAPITAL COSTS to them.... ALL PROFIT dave99 1 hr ago #45
US oil and Russia are the big beneficiaries. tinrobot 8 hrs ago #24
Reddit is full of threads about EVs right now Johnny2X2X 11 hrs ago #6
Garage kcoates 10 hrs ago #7
You don't...but JPK 10 hrs ago #11
Got it! kcoates 10 hrs ago #15
Depends on the way the houses/streets are configured tinrobot 8 hrs ago #25
So you can charge at home. Johnny2X2X 10 hrs ago #16
I would also point out Miguelito Loveless 5 hrs ago #32
Yeah, I will buy lightly used for sure Johnny2X2X 4 hrs ago #38
By that time Miguelito Loveless 3 hrs ago #41
Yeah Johnny2X2X 2 hrs ago #44
Technically, you just need somewhere to plug in Miguelito Loveless 6 hrs ago #31
I have a 2019 Chevy Volt JPK 10 hrs ago #9
I buy gas for my Volt about once a year. Thunderbeast 7 hrs ago #27
My wife and I had a Volt Miguelito Loveless 5 hrs ago #33
Hopefully, maybe EVs will come down in price. mwmisses4289 10 hrs ago #10
New, they can be pricy JPK 10 hrs ago #13
The have been coming down for a while, and used EVs can be a real bargain. tinrobot 8 hrs ago #26
Buy used Miguelito Loveless 5 hrs ago #34
Doing the right thing wasn't enough to drive transition. hay rick 10 hrs ago #14
Thanks for the OP. We really don't hear much about how TSFs war on renewables and EVs is making wiggs 10 hrs ago #17
Renewables are democratic (small-d). And the future, but petro corps and certain countries will wiggs 9 hrs ago #18
The War in Iran Is Causing China to Sell So Many Solar Panels That Your Jaw Will Drop usonian 9 hrs ago #19
If The US Has All These Pipelines... Mr.Bee 9 hrs ago #20
Because we have the wrong kind of refineries Miguelito Loveless 5 hrs ago #35
Norway has the population of Dallas. Next year will be Melon 9 hrs ago #21
"internal consumption engines"? Interesting typo. Maybe Autocorrupt? CaptainTruth 8 hrs ago #22
I dipped my toe in with a hybrid. boston bean 5 hrs ago #36
How long ago Miguelito Loveless 3 hrs ago #43
I wish the blockade on fertilizers would result in a move to organic agriculture MadameButterfly 4 hrs ago #39
The Law of Unintended Consequences is kicking in... Wounded Bear 4 hrs ago #40
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