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In It to Win It

(12,756 posts)
Wed Apr 29, 2026, 01:56 PM Apr 29

With the VRA gutted, the GOP could target over a dozen Black and Latino House districts [View all]

https://www.the-downballot.com/p/with-the-vra-gutted-the-gop-could



On Wednesday morning, the Supreme Court issued its long-awaited decision in Louisiana v. Callais. As many had feared, the decision all but eviscerated the most important remaining pillar of the Voting Rights Act.

As a direct consequence, Republicans in eight states have the chance to gerrymander more than a dozen congressional districts that were drawn to prevent discrimination against minorities—all of which are held by Democrats.

Below, we identify the districts that are most at-risk, and why.

The demise of Section 2 of the VRA, which prohibited states from unlawfully splitting members of racial and language minority groups between electoral districts as a way of diluting their voting power, will have a profoundly adverse impact on voting rights and will make American democracy even less representative than it already is.

And its effects will be felt far beyond Congress. Maps for state legislatures, county boards, city councils, and countless other governmental bodies have, since the VRA’s passage in 1965, all been required to comply with the Act. They, too, risk getting eviscerated in the coming years.

The VRA ruling overturns 1 of Louisiana's 2 Black seats—now the GOP could target both for 2026.

Florida's GOP now has a green light to pass a new map today dismantling the Latino 9th District.

Texas' GOP already targeted 4 Latino seats with their mid-decade gerrymander.

2028 could bring far worse

Stephen Wolf (@stephenwolf.bsky.social) 2026-04-29T15:00:34.947Z

By 2028, the GOP could eliminate more Black Dem VRA seats in:
Alabama: 2
Georgia: 2
Mississippi: 1
South Carolina: 1
Tennesse: 1

Texas could pass *another* map to weaken several Latino seats they targeted in 2026 if Dems manage to still win them.

Some of these states may even try to act this year

Stephen Wolf (@stephenwolf.bsky.social) 2026-04-29T15:00:34.948Z

Gutting the VRA puts enormous pressure on Dems to redraw House maps wherever they can.

Dems may be able to redraw maps by 2028 in 9 states targeting 19 seats currently held by the GOP. I'll share example maps below.

Longer-term, a future Dem Congress & president MUST ban gerrymandering nationwide

Stephen Wolf (@stephenwolf.bsky.social) 2026-04-29T15:05:41.729Z
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