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Passages

(4,394 posts)
Sat Apr 25, 2026, 08:10 AM Apr 25

Robert A. Pape: "Two blockades, two clocks." That's how Washington is framing the Iran war. It's wrong. [View all]

A century of evidence shows economic pressure alone almost never forces states to concede on core security issues.

Here’s what everyone is missing:




Further commentary:

The famous claim: sanctions work ~33% of the time.

Reality (after controlling for military force):


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