General Discussion

Passages

(4,386 posts) Sat Apr 25, 2026, 08:10 AM Saturday

Robert A. Pape: "Two blockades, two clocks." That's how Washington is framing the Iran war. It's wrong.

A century of evidence shows economic pressure alone almost never forces states to concede on core security issues.

Here’s what everyone is missing:
Link to tweet

Further commentary:

The famous claim: sanctions work ~33% of the time.

Reality (after controlling for military force):
Link to tweet

3 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Robert A. Pape: "Two blockades, two clocks." That's how Washington is framing the Iran war. It's wrong. (Original Post) Passages Saturday OP

Professor Pape provides real expertise bucolic_frolic Saturday #1

I agree. He also makes me upset as a result. What Trump & Israel are doing is insane. Passages Saturday #3

Framing is being generous newdeal2 Saturday #2

bucolic_frolic

(55,578 posts)

1. Professor Pape provides real expertise

Reply to Passages (Original post)

Sat Apr 25, 2026, 08:17 AM

Saturday

His video interviews are fabulous. The interviewer almost doesn't have to ask questions.

Passages

(4,386 posts)

3. I agree. He also makes me upset as a result. What Trump & Israel are doing is insane.

Reply to bucolic_frolic (Reply #1)

Sat Apr 25, 2026, 08:19 AM

Saturday

newdeal2

(5,542 posts)

2. Framing is being generous

Reply to Passages (Original post)

Sat Apr 25, 2026, 08:17 AM

Saturday

Trump hasn’t given a single coherent rationale that has lasted more than 24 hours before changing stories. There’s a huge scandal here that no one seems interested in covering or stopping.

Reply to this discussion