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patphil

(8,317 posts)

17. The Democrats have had the advantage in membership 16 of the past 20 years.

Reply to SunSeeker (Original post)

Fri Aug 1, 2025, 12:30 PM

Aug 1

And the 4 years they didn't, it was even.
And we've had 8 years of Bush, 8 years of Obama, 4 years of Trump, 4 years of Biden, and are into the 2nd 4 year term for Trump.
Pretty even. It wouldn't make that much difference if both parties supported the Constitution and the rule of law, but Republicans no longer do so.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx

The question now is if the American voters can step up to defend our country quickly enough to prevent it's demise.
It really depends on 3 things:
1) Can the Democrats get unified enough to take their numbers to the voting booth?
2) Who are the Independents going to vote for?
3) Are enough Republicans going to be sufficiently dissatisfied with their leadership to change their vote?

Of course there is one more question: How effective will the Republicans be in gerrymandering and voter suppression?

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More Americans now affiliate themselves with the Democratic Party than the Republican Party [View all] SunSeeker Aug 1 OP

As far as I know, there's always been more democrats than Republicans, getting them out to vote is another story Meadowoak Aug 1 #1

That was not always the case. It wasn't the case in November 2024. SunSeeker Aug 1 #2

Of the people who responded to the poll... JT45242 Aug 1 #3

Doesn't that "caveat" apply to every poll? What's your point? SunSeeker Aug 1 #4

pretty much a split down the middle tbh cadoman Aug 1 #6

Huh? I see sharp swings. Sadly, Nov 2024 was a sharp swing to the Rs. nt SunSeeker Aug 1 #7

I see the numbers consistently within two digits of 45%, and the margin of error is 2% cadoman Aug 1 #8

It's not consistly within 2%. And if you want to play with margin of error, then no graph makes sense. SunSeeker Aug 1 #10

thank you for correcting my thinking cadoman Aug 1 #14

This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Aug 1 #5

Yup, the vengeful "sit out". oasis Aug 1 #9

But will they actually vote? sakabatou Aug 1 #11

No. We should all just take this good news as bad news and give up. SunSeeker Aug 1 #12

lol orleans Aug 1 #13

Damn... herding cats Aug 1 #27

There is about 5 percent of low info types that easily go back and forth JI7 Aug 1 #15

Flibberdigibbets maxsolomon Aug 1 #20

That's a good start, but until we address gerrymandering and the Electoral College * Oopsie Daisy Aug 1 #16

The Democrats have had the advantage in membership 16 of the past 20 years. patphil Aug 1 #17

The true split is 50/50 IbogaProject Aug 1 #18

It should be 90-10 but sadly...... wolfie001 Aug 1 #19

knr UTUSN Aug 1 #21

I really Hope This Helps Make Cha Aug 1 #22

Good.there is hope Demovictory9 Aug 1 #23

So 43% are still sick in the head. mdbl Aug 1 #24

Problem though is many of those are in the inner cities and the Republican gerrymandering makes it difficult to traction cstanleytech Aug 1 #25

Good news, but it doesn't mean a thing if they don't show up to vote. Katinfl Aug 1 #26