
Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: Bernie Sanders didn't win any larger argument [View all]Aquaria
(1,076 posts)Is that you do NOT know how the youth in general would have voted, if they all had. You knew why those motivated enough to vote in a primary did so. But for the others? The numbers could be all over the place.
Consider this: 37% of those 18-29 voted repuke in the 2016 election. But here's the kicker: That's how the same age demographic voted in 2012 for Romney. Both numbers are higher than those who voted for McCain, but, lower than the numbers who voted for GW Bush in 2000 and 2004, percentage wise. During the 90s, young voters supported Clinton, but roughly the same number of them as now voted repuke. During the 80s, they went overwhelmingly for Raygun the traitor.
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So I wouldn't count on the youth vote going where you think it will, never mind where you want. While they've swung left in recent years, a strong conservative element exists within their ranks. Since that's the case, the ones who vote Democratic are probably on more of a spectrum than you think. I'd have to go look at some more numbers, but if even 1/4 of the 18-29 voters are moderates or only somewhat liberal (unlikely), then the youth vote isn't as in the tank for your guy or his "ideas" as you think.

primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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