Democratic Primaries

The Biden campaign has been completely aware that the initial contests prior to Super Tuesday were not likely to lead to strong finishes. I also doubt that the voters throughout the South are going to abandon Biden because of who voters in Iowa and New Hampshire pick.

After the first four states are done, only 3% of the delegates will have been awarded. There are nearly 600 delegates available in southern states on Super Tuesday and Biden is considered to be a favorite. Biden will also pick up a reasonable share of votes in other states such as California on Super Tuesday even if he isn't favored to win. Biden also appears to have an advantage in the remaining contests during March. Unless the other candidates strengthen their standing with POC, I expect that Biden will be leading the delegate count. Biden may not have a majority by the time of the convention, but I think he will be several hundred delegates ahead of his nearest rival. If it goes to a second ballot at the convention, I doubt that the superdelegates are going to align with Bernie since he has bernt his bridges with them a long time ago.