to determine who supports the AWB even though it is obvious that there are not enough votes.
At I type this I am watching Piers Morgan insisting on Senators revealing their position on gun control.
Let's say that a vote occurs on the Senate floor and an honest Democrat who supports gun rights in a Red state decides to vote against the bill. Pro-gun control Democrats in his state will do their best to defeat him the in next Democratic primary and replace him with a Democrat who supports gun control. If they succeed they will nominate a candidate who has less chance of getting elected to office than the pro-gun Democrat had to get re-elected. The incumbant in a election usually wins against a candidate who has never held that office.
House And Senate Incumbent Re-Election Rates Top 90%
DOUG MATACONIS · THURSDAY, DECEMBER 13, 2012
If you were an incumbent member of the House or the Senate running for re-election in 2012, the odds are pretty good you made you pretty well:
Nine in 10 members of the U.S. House and Senate who sought new terms in office this year were successful, improving their record for re-election even as public approval of Congress sank to all-time lows.
The BGOV Barometer shows that 90 percent of House members and 91 percent of senators who sought re-election in 2012 were successful, exceeding the incumbent re-election rates of 2010, when 85 percent of House members and 84 percent of senators seeking re-election were successful. For senators, this year’s re-election percentage was the highest since 2004.
Voters were more likely to return their own representatives to office even though the public had a dim view of the legislative branch as a whole. Congress had a 21 percent approval rating on Oct. 15-16 after reaching all-time lows of 10 percent in February and August, according to Gallup polls. Just 10 percent of Americans said that members of Congress have high or very high honesty and ethical standards, according to Gallup data for Nov. 26-29.
http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/house-and-senate-incumbent-re-election-rates-top-90/
Republicans would love to see a vote on the AWB in the Senate as they realize that it would help their odds of gaining control of the Senate in the midterm elections.
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