With all the talk about "the middle" this campaign season, it's interesting to note that... [View all]

Hillary won moderates 52/41.

Apropos of nothing, really. The exit polls just revealed some things that are kind of interesting to me. I'm a bit of a stats nut, if an amateurish one. Some things take on a little more significance in light of the narrow gaps in some states.

People who made up their minds in the last week went 50/38 Trump. The Comey effect? The massive Trump ad buys?
People who made up their minds in October: 50/37 Trump
People who made up their minds in September: 50/46 Trump
People who decided before then: 52/45 Hillary.

Hello, early voting.

Also of note: 12% of people who decided in the last week and 13% who decided in October voted other. Prior to that, only 4% and 3%, respectively.

10% of self-identified liberals voted for Trump. 6% more voted other.

9% of Democrats voted for Trump. 29% of Latinos. 29% of Asians.

26% of people who identified as non-religious voted for Trump. And 81% of evangelicals.

14% of GLBT voters voted for Trump.

17% of people who opposed the border wall voted for Hillary.

10% of people who approved of Obama's job performance voted for Trump.

Hillary easily won the under-30 crowd, 55/37

Veterans went 61/34 Trump

Top issues
Foreign policy: Hillary 60/34
Economy: Hillary 52/42
Immigration: Trump 64/32
Terrorism: Trump 57/39

So...it wasn't primarily the economy as some have asserted, at least not nationally. Not even close, really.



Source: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/11/08/us/politics/election-exit-polls.html