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2016 Postmortem

Coyotl

(15,262 posts)

8. Not quite yet, unless you use a rounding error.. 48.165% vs. 46.219%

Reply to BzaDem (Original post)

Tue Dec 6, 2016, 01:19 AM

Dec 2016

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/133Eb4qQmOxNvtesw2hdVns073R68EZx4SfCnP4IGQf8/htmlview?sle=true#gid=19

We are still a few votes shy of a 2% margin, about 75,000 short. If CA really still has 300,000 to report, it could happen tomorrow when the CA county deadline happens.

Right now, the lead is a few thousand short of the sum of ALL Trump votes in 12 states combined. Tomorrow it will end with all the Trump votes in 12 states and DC equaling less than Clinton's lead. In those 12 states and DC, Hillary wins the popular vote by over 200,000 votes.

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Hillary's popular vote edge hits 2.0% [View all] BzaDem Dec 2016 OP

Such is America. Uniquitous Dec 2016 #1

This officially makes Nate Silver wrong Tiggeroshii Dec 2016 #2

Well, for all we know, Clinton DID WIN the most electoral votes... Raster Dec 2016 #3

Hopefully we find out. Tiggeroshii Dec 2016 #4

Nate Silver kept writing about how HRC was more likely to lose despite winning PV BzaDem Dec 2016 #5

Well, I did the calculations and she is actually only up by 1.95 percent. StevieM Dec 2016 #7

Good point! Tiggeroshii Dec 2016 #9

Except neither Nathan Silver nor anyone else could predict pnwmom Dec 2016 #10

Excellent point. I think that we have to simply factor that in to our numbers. StevieM Dec 2016 #12

Or their ballots not mailed out? Cha Dec 2016 #13

Right -- I remember that especially in Florida. n/t pnwmom Dec 2016 #14

KnR Hekate Dec 2016 #6

Not quite yet, unless you use a rounding error.. 48.165% vs. 46.219% Coyotl Dec 2016 #8

If I ever hear the phrase "one man, one vote" in reference to America again, world wide wally Dec 2016 #11