2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Why do so many people blame millennials for Trump's election? [View all]Buckeye_Democrat
(15,339 posts)I was just comparing the 2012 and 2016 exit polls.
2012: http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/race/president/
2016: http://edition.cnn.com/election/results/exit-polls
Here's some of my observations of how Clinton performed compared to Obama:
GENDER
Worse among men
Better among women
AGE
Worse among 18-29
Better among 30-44
Worse among 45-64
Better among 65 and older
RACE
Same among whites (!!)
Worse among blacks
Worse among Latinos
Worse among Asians
Worse among other race
EDUCATION
Worse among high school or less (BY FAR!!)
Worse among some college
Better among college grads
Better among post-grads
INCOME
Worse among voters earning less than 50k
Better among voters earning more than 50k
MARITAL STATUS
Better among married
Worse among unmarried
RELIGION
Worse among Protestants
Worse among Catholics
Better among Jewish (Maybe because Trump is Hitler?)
Worse among Other Religion
Worse among No religion
WHITE "BORN AGAIN" CHRISTIANS
Worse among "yes" (there's an open SC seat on the line)
Better among "no" (but close to the same)
UNION HOUSEHOLD
Worse among "yes"
Worse among "no"
ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS
Worse among "offer legal status"
Worse among "deport"
FAVORABLE / UNFAVORABLE OPINION of Clinton and Obama
Much worse (Obama's favorable percentage stayed about the same in the 2012 & 2016 polls too)
More detail about EDUCATION:
High school or less:
24% of voters in 2012: Obama 53%, Romney 46%
18% of voters in 2016: Clinton 46%, Trump 51%
Some college:
29% of voters in 2012: Obama 49%, Romney 48%
32% of voters in 2016: Clinton 43%, Trump 51%
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