2016 Postmortem

I think all of the polling averages and prediction models were mostly correct, probably underestimating the white working class vote somewhat, but ultimately the primary polling was correct, there was no "hidden" Trump vote, and I don't see it being off enough to have affected the race, especially with the type of leads H was polling after winning all three debates and Trump having melted down during much of October.

Hillary was the odds on favorite to win, nobody in 70 years has lost after maintaining such strong and durable leads - until Comey/Rudy/FBI interfered (and violated the Hatch Act, which was amendend in '93 to prevent against this exact type of scenario) in a such an egregious manner as to damage her momentum and likely cost her at least 3 points, imo. Without Comey, she wins by at least 5 points, and 320+ electoral votes.