Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

2016 Postmortem

Showing Original Post only (View all)

RandySF

(73,816 posts)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 09:14 PM Nov 2016

Can the Democratic Party rise again? Yes and heres the first big thing to watch. [View all]

If you care about whether the Democratic Party can rebuild itself anytime soon out of the smoking wreckage left behind by the disastrous 2016 elections, something very important is happening a lot sooner than you think.

There are more than three dozen gubernatorial races taking place in the next two years. And they could do a tremendous amount to set the party on the path out of the wilderness in the Age of Donald Trump — with potentially significant national ramifications that could stretch well into the next decade, for instance by having a substantial influence over the redistricting of House seats, which could help determine control of the Lower Chamber in the 2020s.

Of course, the current state of affairs is dire indeed. Not only has the Democratic Party been shut out of Washington, where the GOP controls both the White House and Congress, but the carnage is widespread on the state level, too: Next year, Republicans will control more than 30 governors’ mansions nationwide, and have total control (meaning GOP governors and GOP control of both state legislative chambers) in some 25 states. By contrast, Democrats will have total control in all of five states. The 2018 Senate map looks grim for any prospects of a Dem takeover, and the House is all but certain to remain out of reach in 2018 as well.

But the other part of the story is that, in 2017 and 2018, there will be a total of 38 gubernatorial contests. Here, courtesy of the Democratic Governors Association, is the 2017-2018 gubernatorial map:

https://img.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1484


https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/11/25/can-the-democratic-party-rise-again-yes-and-heres-the-first-big-thing-to-watch/

49 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Given the razor-thin margins in the swing states, and the Dem's huge lead in the popular vote... LisaM Nov 2016 #1
One thing to be cautious of there FBaggins Nov 2016 #19
Yes, but the margin in most swing states is only 1 or 2 percent. LisaM Nov 2016 #31
We COULD win NV, NM, FL, GA, OH and MI and possibly ME. Exilednight Nov 2016 #2
Key for Ohio is making sure Strickland doesn't try for a comeback. Ken Burch Nov 2016 #4
What about MD and IL? RandySF Nov 2016 #5
Off cycle elections are hard, especially in Illinois after the Blagojevich debacle. Exilednight Nov 2016 #7
Rauner will go down if we have a halfway decent candidate. Ace Rothstein Nov 2016 #13
Dems could easily win in Maine IF no liberals or lefts vote third party NoGoodNamesLeft Nov 2016 #8
Then the state party needs to pick a candidate that can win those voters. Exilednight Nov 2016 #10
The only reason LePage won is because it was a 3 way race NoGoodNamesLeft Nov 2016 #11
Going forward, Maine will use ranked-choice voting. brooklynite Nov 2016 #18
Yeah, if they implement it by then... but I'm glad the people voted for it. Zing Zing Zingbah Dec 2016 #42
1st time was actually a 5 way race that gave us LePage in the first place - which was awful Zing Zing Zingbah Dec 2016 #43
You left out NJ Jersey Devil Nov 2016 #26
Ga? Hmmmm. I don't know. We ran Sam Nunn'ps daughter in the last election and we were napi21 Nov 2016 #29
Supposed to have our ranked choice voting system by 2018... Zing Zing Zingbah Dec 2016 #39
Can Walker run for another term? What about LePage in Maine? Ken Burch Nov 2016 #3
Nope, LePage can't run again NoGoodNamesLeft Nov 2016 #9
What was it that some people liked about the guy? Ken Burch Nov 2016 #12
Tea Party morons mostly... NoGoodNamesLeft Nov 2016 #15
The other thing working in King's favor... Ken Burch Nov 2016 #16
True, lol NoGoodNamesLeft Nov 2016 #17
I think the issue with King and his reduced (although potent) participation BumRushDaShow Dec 2016 #38
I keep thinking Angus King when I see King... he was already gov years ago. n/t Zing Zing Zingbah Dec 2016 #41
Yup I know! BumRushDaShow Dec 2016 #44
I think LePage had an edge the second time because the dem was revealled to be gay Zing Zing Zingbah Dec 2016 #40
Walker can and is going to. TheLibIn615 Nov 2016 #20
The big thing is, they can't re-nominate the same guy he beat the first two times... Ken Burch Nov 2016 #23
And then there is his gerrymandered legislature TheLibIn615 Nov 2016 #25
Isn't Mark Ruffalo from Wisconsin? NoGoodNamesLeft Nov 2016 #27
2018 needs to be the firewall, if people sit it out, its done until 2020 or 2024 Historic NY Nov 2016 #6
SC will also be somewhat of an incumbent. GoCubsGo Nov 2016 #14
Exactly. Thanks for your positive post with solid strategy that will make a real difference. ancianita Nov 2016 #21
That's good but I think the bigger issue is to win the house in 2018, which is possible if the GOP Fast Walker 52 Nov 2016 #22
The only way we win back the House is by doing what the DCCC refused to do Ken Burch Nov 2016 #24
definitely we need better leadership from the DCCC, which obviously has been not doing enough Fast Walker 52 Nov 2016 #32
I agree that better leadership is needed, but kcr Nov 2016 #34
Also, NC will have a special election for legislature in 2017 Jersey Devil Nov 2016 #28
People must learn to show up for elections. CBHagman Nov 2016 #30
that is for sure-- because elections really matter Fast Walker 52 Nov 2016 #33
Yes a million to this. And we need to get in the habit of encouraging that a lot more on the left. kcr Nov 2016 #35
I know! And it's really ceding power. CBHagman Dec 2016 #46
what a joke. Dem must kick out the corporatists and bring in the Sanders/Warren uhnope Nov 2016 #36
Control of state houses and governors means control over redistricting in the state. Tiggeroshii Nov 2016 #37
Turnout in 2018 needs to be big. Democrats don't turnout in midterms like they do in muntrv Dec 2016 #45
And Maine can finally get rid off Gov. LePew paleotn Dec 2016 #47
Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2016 #48
How do you suggest we energize them? uppityperson Dec 2016 #49
Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Can the Democratic Party ...»Reply #0