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WSHazel

(741 posts)
5. There is a population crash scenario that is not far fetched
Thu Mar 12, 2026, 08:59 AM
Thursday

The housing shortage theory assumes future immigration will be like past immigration. It won’t. It will take at least a generation for immigrants to trust our government again, to say nothing of emigration. America has a large population of skilled labor that is very employable in Europe and Asia where there are aging populations and a shortage of skilled labor. Many of these Americans are already leaving, and we should expect this trend to continue. We could flip to net population decline within 10 years or less.

This means that our housing “shortage” is not nearly as big as builders claim, and could quickly become a glut.

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