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progree

(12,820 posts)
38. Yes, that is true, thank you. Here is the before-and-after
Thu Feb 12, 2026, 08:50 AM
10 hrs ago

Here's how the payroll jobs numbers looked the last time (I scraped this Thursday night Feb 10) before the new Feb 11 report

https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0000000001?output_view=net_1mth
Non-farm payroll jobs, monthly changes in thousands

Year Jan Feb Mar etc. etc.
2022] 225 869 471 305 241 461 696 237 227 400 297 126
2023] 444 306 85 216 227 257 148 157 158 186 141 269
2024] 119 222 246 118 193 87 88 71 240 44 261 323
2025] 111 102 120 158 19 -13 72 -26 108 -173 56 50


Here's how it looks now:

(in thousands)
Year Jan Feb Mar etc. etc.
2022] 190 819 490 308 301 434 714 290 220 357 303 100
2023] 434 290 68 241 280 225 163 218 156 159 127 154
2024] 175 206 228 64 78 87 53 9 155 33 134 237
2025] -48 42 67 108 13 -20 64 -70 76 -140 41 48

and January 2026 is 130

Differences, in thousands

Year Jan Feb Mar etc. etc.
2022] -35 -50 19 3 60 -27 18 53 -7 -43 6 -26
2023] -10 -16 -17 25 53 -32 15 61 -2 -27 -14 -115
2024] 56 -16 -18 -54 -115 0 -35 -62 -85 -11 -127 -86
2025] -159 -60 -53 -50 -6 -7 -8 -44 -32 33 -15 -2


Annual Totals, in thousands

Year Before After Difference
2022] 4555 4526 -29
2023] 2594 2515 -79
2024] 2012 1459 -553
2025]  584  181 -403


I've been yammering about the upcoming benchmark revisions for months before this report, I didn't include it in my post above because it was already mentioned in the OP (and I was in a severe time-bind). But the OP didn't specifically mention the previous 2 months' revisions which they do every month, so that's why I posted about that.

But yes, I should have mentioned the benchmark revisions as well.

Anyway, the above is the full before-and-after situtation with all revisions of all types included.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

I am getting a spoof warning for the bls link provided. Hugin Yesterday #1
The copy/paste text version doesn't run it into the tag like the Xitter post BumRushDaShow Yesterday #4
It's missing the "www"... Hugin Yesterday #5
It's not normally required as a DNS would usually have different variations to refer back to BumRushDaShow Yesterday #14
They are using a wildcard certificate for encryption instead of using a proper server name Tim S Yesterday #7
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_02112026.htm Works... Hugin Yesterday #11
I call bullshit n/t gilpo Yesterday #2
Same Rebl2 Yesterday #20
I bet it will be revised down, anemic as it is. nt SunSeeker Yesterday #3
I can't trust BLS info with Trump and Vought in control. Are they being diddled? CousinIT Yesterday #6
Exactly. Previous BLS Admin was fired for allowing unfavorable numbers to be published...... groundloop Yesterday #8
BLS data continues to be legit. As 30+ year employee on the CES program I can vouch for that. Wiz Imp Yesterday #15
Good to hear. Thank you. mahina Yesterday #19
It's a sample based estimate. As such it is subject to several types of statistical error. Wiz Imp Yesterday #24
Thank you. mahina Yesterday #28
That's really hard to predict. But given Trump's complete lack of understanding Wiz Imp Yesterday #30
You cannot guarantee that someone moniss Yesterday #22
Yes I can. The acting Commissioner of BLS (Bill Wiatroski) would immediately Wiz Imp Yesterday #23
You missed the point of my post entirely. nt moniss Yesterday #26
🙄 Wiz Imp Yesterday #29
The markets will roar upward until UpInArms Yesterday #9
BLS is no longer reliable or truthful Miguelito Loveless Yesterday #10
Completely wrong Wiz Imp Yesterday #13
Bullshit. travelingthrulife Yesterday #12
and like all the other jobs number, it will quietly be revised down in a month or two. nt Javaman Yesterday #16
When Rebl2 Yesterday #21
Oh the numbers had been released with the down revised number Javaman 20 hrs ago #37
Seize the ballots and recount, by someone who can, well, count. twodogsbarking Yesterday #17
I Rebl2 Yesterday #18
Previous 2 months were revised down by a combined 17,000 progree Yesterday #25
And the jobs numbers for 2025 were revised to LESS THAN HALF of what was originally stated. SunSeeker Yesterday #31
Yes, that is true, thank you. Here is the before-and-after progree 10 hrs ago #38
Can we trust numbers provided by Trump and his stooges? I don't think so. Norrrm Yesterday #27
MaddowBlog-New report shows 2025 was even worse for U.S. job market than we thought LetMyPeopleVote Yesterday #32
"Reducing trust in government in general is very bad for progressive causes and ultimately great for the populist right. mahatmakanejeeves Yesterday #33
"Person who was fired here - you should still trust BLS data." mahatmakanejeeves Yesterday #34
Reality: 800,000+ layoffs this year -- the worst YTD since 2020, per nonpartisan analysts. LetMyPeopleVote Yesterday #35
I'd buy that for a dollar! Strelnikov_ 23 hrs ago #36
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