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Bernardo de La Paz

(58,334 posts)
2. I live in reality. I do not find it difficult to believe
Wed Sep 10, 2025, 08:47 AM
Wednesday

The economy may be moving out of stagflation into mild recession. The economy is weaker than tRump thinks. The opposite of inflation, which generally accompanies an overheated economy, is deflation which accompanies a contracting economy.

It fits with the increase in unemployment recently.

This is Producer Prices. We need to see what Consumer Prices are tomorrow. If they are up, then I don't know what to think other than maybe some kind of lag. If they are down, then 0.5% cut in Fed Rate is pretty much guaranteed.

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