Demographic changes in the US electorate may alter expected shifts in traditionally red/blue districts/states.
By 2032, there will be tens of millions more Gen Z voters, a huge proportion of which will be POC.
So yes, populations will shift in various states, shifting the assignment of congressional seats and EV’s, but so will the demographic makeup of states seeing major changes in the number of residents. It is expected to peak around 2035, when whites will become the minority nationwide.
But as the now famous Marshwan said in his statement to the LA legislature in its redistricting hearings, we are at last, finally, witnessing the death throes of the Confederacy. Yes, the racist spirit of the antebellum South will live on the hearts of many, but they will overwhelmingly be outnumbered by POC and young white voters who reject the politics of hate.
I think it’s entirely possible that, by the 2030’s we could see a whole new batch of purple swing states.
When Dems take the trifecta in 2028, in addition to making DC and, if they want it, Puerto Rico states, they could also expand congress, even assign multiple representatives to a single district, to be selected by proportional representation.
Of course, court expansion will also make it possible to re-author a Voting Rights Act with ironclad regulations and rules, which will be upheld by the new liberal majority on the court.
All it will take is electing enough courageous Democrats to make it happen.
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