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Midwestern Democrat

(1,032 posts)

9. The Republican side looks realistic (Rubio vs Vance), but the Democratic side is just early name recognition

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Sat May 16, 2026, 01:17 PM

May 16

Of the five Democrats listed, I only see two of them - Newsom and Shapiro - being likely nominees, and I think Mark Kelly - who isn't listed - will be a top contender as well.

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yellow dahlia RandomNumbers fujiyamasan

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Highlight:

Interesting poll on potential 2028 candidates (Vance loses his lead to Rubio, AOC ahead of Harris and Newsom) [View all] Polybius May 16 OP

AOC being President would be a dream come true for me mvd May 16 #1

AOC being the Dem nominee would result in a nightmare for all of us. RandomNumbers May 16 #5

Well, it's a ways away. I'll give her a chance mvd May 16 #6

Thank you for the reality check. yellow dahlia May 16 #10

While encouraging, it should be noted that Atlas is a highly biased RW pollster Fiendish Thingy May 16 #2

They were the most accurate polling organization in each of the last two presidential elections BeyondGeography May 16 #3

It was called biased because certain people here didn't like their poll numbers, and laughed at them Polybius May 16 #4

IIRC, Atlas significantly and consistently over samples Republicans Fiendish Thingy May 16 #8

"Who knew in 2024 that 9 million fewer voters" Polybius Sunday #13

What does your crystal ball say about turnout in 2026 vs 2022? Nt Fiendish Thingy Sunday #14

My guess is probably better than 2022, because Trump is so hated Polybius Sunday #16

I really hate "polls." gulliver May 16 #7

The Republican side looks realistic (Rubio vs Vance), but the Democratic side is just early name recognition Midwestern Democrat May 16 #9

Agreed. My top contenders are Mark Kelly and Chris Murphy. yellow dahlia May 16 #11

These numbers are kind of amusing fujiyamasan May 16 #12

It is a massive outlier: Celerity Sunday #15