General Discussion

Donald Trump’s poll numbers are extremely low and plummeting fast, but the Democrats are not doing much better.

As of March 2026, Democrats have won at least 10 special elections nationwide, including several flips from Republican-held seats.
Overview of 2026 Special Election Victories
Democrats have continued their strong performance in early 2026 special elections, building on momentum from 2025. Key victories include:

Minnesota State House: Shelley Buck and Meg Luger-Nikolai won in districts 47A and 64A, restoring the State House to a 67-67 split.
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New York State Senate: Jeremy Zellner won the 61st District seat vacated by Sean Ryan.
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Texas State Senate: Taylor Rehmet defeated Republican Leigh Wambsganss in District 9, a district Trump carried by 17 points in 2024.
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Arkansas House District 70: Alex Holladay flipped a Republican seat by 15 points.
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New Hampshire House Carroll 7: Bobbi Boudman won by four points, flipping a seat previously held by Republicans.
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In total, Democrats have gained 10 legislative seats nationwide through special elections since January 2025, with several of these victories occurring in early 2026. These wins include flips in traditionally Republican districts, signaling strong Democratic performance ahead of the midterms.
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Implications
These victories have not only increased Democratic representation in state legislatures but also serve as an early indicator of potential trends for the 2026 midterm elections. Analysts note that Democrats’ ability to flip Republican-held seats in special elections may reflect high voter engagement and could influence strategies for both parties in upcoming contests.
Newsweek