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orleans

(37,136 posts)

35. i'm not in maine but i'm impressed

Sun May 3, 2026, 11:27 AM

Sunday

and of course i'd vote for him before voting for collins (lol, full disclosure -- i've NEVER voted for a republican)

anyway, a google search showed this:

Shortly after noon Thursday, the prediction market Polymarket had the odds of a Democrat winning the Senate seat at 72%, with Republican victory pegged at 28%. The Republican odds ticked up from after Mills dropped out compared to the day before. In all, users had wagered just over $61,000.

Kalshi, another platform, had the odds at 68% to 32% in favor of a Democratic victory Thursday afternoon. The odds of a Democratic victory had peaked at nearly 73% earlier in the week. That pool is larger, with more than $315,000 wagered in total.

https://www.pressherald.com/2026/04/30/an-early-look-at-susan-collins-versus-graham-platner-by-the-numbers/

of course it's a full article and this excerpt is only a slice, but it made me happy anyway.

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