General Discussion

I think the Republican candidate may be weak in a district that leans Democratic after redistricting.

The candidate has been described as the mayor of Randolph, the town I lived in for 25 years. There is no elected mayor, it rotates between members of the town counsel. In his case, he was appointed to fill a term, then reelected. My memory is that incumbent councillors almost always are reelected in pretty non competitive elections. This means that he likely has not developed campaign skills.

I hope that, as in NYC, a progressive championing affordability, as she seems to be doing, in addition to speaking against ICE, she will win Not to mention, many in this district will correctly see it as a vote against Speaker Johnson. Much of the Republican part of the district is "old money" "main street" Republican, not MAGA Republican.

Still, until the Democrat wins, we can't say for sure AIPAC lost. AIPAC pushed many MAGA Republicans just because they would vote for anything Netanyahu wanted. AIPAC is pretty one issue