TN 7- based on current partial returns, Behn is overperforming 2024 D results by around 20% [View all]

Last edited Wed Dec 3, 2025, 01:33 AM - Edit history (3)

If this trend sticks, she might win. 🤞

(Green -R, won by 21.5%)


Im optimistic, but Nate Cohn notes that early votes are going to be substantially more D leaning than the votes counted later. So we will see.

Edit: with most votes counted, Behn loses by about 8-10%. Still is an overperformance to 2024 by 10-14% depending on the final outcome without even near the level of fundraising folks like Weil and Valmont pulled in the FL specials.

I am looking forward to The Great Dummymander of 2026.