This 'horrendous number' may be the key predictor of major GOP defeat in midterms: analyst (Alternet) [View all]

https://www.alternet.org/republicans-trouble-mid-terms/

Political pundit and consultant Matthew Dowd said the media’s “herd mentality” is promoting the feeling that President Donald Trump’s tactics of distraction and disruption are working to fool the public into putting Trump in a better light than he deserves.

But that’s not the case, no matter how many distractions Trump tosses the press these days.

“Here are a half dozen reasons why I believe that Republicans are in a worse position in the political environment than they were in the 2018 elections when Democratic candidates did exceedingly well when the votes were all counted,” said Dowd.

First of all, Trump’s job approval today is as bad (and in ways worse) than it was in 2018 when Democrats sank his Republican Congress, according to Dowd. On Election Day in 2018, Trump had a net disapproval rating of -9. His net approval rating today is -14 — and a President’s job approval rating is the single greatest determinant of likely election results in both midterms and presidential election.

Read more: https://www.alternet.org/republicans-trouble-mid-terms/


The punchline and 'horrendous number' alluded to here, is
that Trump's approval rating among independents is now -30
50% worse than the -20 among independents before the 2018 elections when Democrats gained 40 seats!

So Republicans may be and should be headed towards an epic defeat, and deservedly so!