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The Way Forward
Related: About this forumThe Democratic Party Faces a Voter Registration Crisis - Out of Power
The party is bleeding support beyond the ballot box, a new analysis shows.
By Shane Goldmacher
With Jonah Smith
Shane Goldmacher is a national political correspondent covering the rebuilding efforts of the Democratic Party. Jonah Smith is a data journalist focused on voter registration and election turnout data.
Aug. 20, 2025
The Democratic Party is hemorrhaging voters long before they even go to the polls.
Of the 30 states that track voter registration by political party, Democrats lost ground to Republicans in every single one between the 2020 and 2024 elections and often by a lot.
That four-year swing toward the Republicans adds up to 4.5 million voters, a deep political hole that could take years for Democrats to climb out from.
Change in share of registered voters, 2020-24
The stampede away from the Democratic Party is occurring in battleground states, the bluest states and the reddest states, too, according to a new analysis of voter registration data by The New York Times. The analysis used voter registration data compiled by L2, a nonpartisan data firm.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/20/us/politics/democratic-party-voter-registration-crisis.html
Serious business.

Lovie777
(19,838 posts)again.
Passages
(3,438 posts)Like in 2016 and 2024.
Lovie777
(19,838 posts)I will still vote blue.
Terry_M
(811 posts)LearnedHand
(4,944 posts)Some may do that for sure, but Im betting the much larger number is simply people disassociating with the party, not with liberal policy.
Passages
(3,438 posts)Yep.
Lovie777
(19,838 posts)gab13by13
(29,461 posts)Passages
(3,438 posts)We should be able to turn this around, and need a more focused concentration imo.
snip
Sixty-one percent of Republicans agree that SNAP benefits should be raised, and a majority of Republicans stated they would feel less favorable toward their representatives in Congress if they voted for cuts.
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/the-one-big-beautiful-bill-act-would-ravage-regions-won-by-donald-trump-while-giving-tax-breaks-to-the-rich/
FloridaBlues
(4,594 posts)Going forward the first big tell will be in Virginia and the election results for the Dems.
Keepthesoulalive
(1,674 posts)A lot of folks in the commonwealth were laid off, they are pissed and they know who to blame.
The liberty university idiot is not well liked. It would be helpful if people didnt scour the internet for bad news from questionable sources like but her emails and Maggie whatever her last name. Im not Pollyanna but it is demoralizing to constantly belittle us and it does travel to other blogs.
Terry_M
(811 posts)rather than finding a way to convince them we're doing good will get us through 2026. It will not win us 2028.
Midwestern Democrat
(957 posts)from what it was before the election.
Terry_M
(811 posts)and I feel like most of the people on this forum are going to vote in primaries for the most 'same' candidates they can possibly find.
Terry_M
(811 posts)and I feel like most of the people on this forum are going to vote in primaries for the most 'same' candidates they can possibly find.
LearnedHand
(4,944 posts)or think theyll just let TSF fail and sweep into power automatically instead of understanding how people might just be SICK TO DEATH of government of, for, and by the billionaires.
Lovie777
(19,838 posts)Or could it be following what the fathers of the Constitution wanted..................
Rules, laws, justice and positive amendments?
LearnedHand
(4,944 posts)I didnt say a thing about following or breaking rules or the constitution.
chia
(2,629 posts)Doubt the numbers would look the same 8 months into 2025. Considering all the damage hes done? I just dont buy it.
Keepthesoulalive
(1,674 posts)Terry_M
(811 posts)Katinfl
(457 posts)They have no other recourse. Thats not to say they will vote Dem by default only, I just dont see how sane people could vote otherwise. The worst thing is if they choose not to vote at all. These past few months should have made people realize that their vote counts. IMHO.
rso
(2,599 posts)And yet, democrats have won or seriously over-performed in every single special election since January, and democrats are several points ahead of republicans in generic polls. I think the issue is that a very large number of democrats dont think the Party is fighting hard enough, but that is changing.
Passages
(3,438 posts)Yet, the trends are worrisome, and what will be the remedy? That is my concern.
**There are now roughly 160,000 fewer registered Democrats than on Election Day 2024, according to L2s data, and 200,000 more Republicans.
The point is if things were so dire, democrats would not be doing so well in special elections. After all, polls and registration numbers are not nearly as important as actual elections.
Passages
(3,438 posts)somsai
(139 posts)also generic approve disapprove
DUU
(53 posts)Politics is very fluid competition. What planks and platforms will the majority of voters go for today?
Thats what must be constantly adjust to.
The ideas that won in 1998 and 2008 probably wont win in 2028.
jmbar2
(7,220 posts)And so it begins...
somsai
(139 posts)We had more money, we had more billionaires, and we lost. We have sucky policies that we can't even talk about without fear of being excommunicated.
Trump is one of the least popular politicians ever elected. Trump isn't running in 28, or 26. We have no backbench. We've become so doctrinaire that no one is on record as being against bad policies. I sure hope someone new steps up to run.