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Foreign Affairs
Related: About this forumCENTCOM warned Iran was 'mere steps' from nuclear weapons before IDF strikes began
CENTCOM Commander Gen. Erik Kurilla warned on June 10 that Iran was "mere steps" from reaching weapons-grade uranium as defined by the IAEA in a post that was reposted by the official White House X account "Rapid Response 47" on Tuesday.
The IAEA considered weapons-grade uranium to be 90% enrichment, while the IAEA estimated that Iran had reached 400 kg. of 60% enrichment, double what it was six months ago. "This is mere steps from reaching the 90% threshold for weaponization," Kurilla's post said.
The same post stated that if Iran had "sprinted" to enrich uranium, it could produce a single weapon within a week and 10 within three weeks.
Notably, "sprinting" to produce a weapon includes some steps that Iran hadn't yet achieved. Some of these steps include detonating a nuclear explosion or being able to place a nuclear warhead on ballistic missiles. Different estimates say that with these steps in mind, Iran was closer to being seven months to one year away from making a weapon.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/politics/international-relations/centcom-warned-iran-was-weeks-away-from-nuclear-weapons-before-idf-strikes-began/ar-AA1GSCd0The IAEA considered weapons-grade uranium to be 90% enrichment, while the IAEA estimated that Iran had reached 400 kg. of 60% enrichment, double what it was six months ago. "This is mere steps from reaching the 90% threshold for weaponization," Kurilla's post said.
The same post stated that if Iran had "sprinted" to enrich uranium, it could produce a single weapon within a week and 10 within three weeks.
Notably, "sprinting" to produce a weapon includes some steps that Iran hadn't yet achieved. Some of these steps include detonating a nuclear explosion or being able to place a nuclear warhead on ballistic missiles. Different estimates say that with these steps in mind, Iran was closer to being seven months to one year away from making a weapon.
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CENTCOM warned Iran was 'mere steps' from nuclear weapons before IDF strikes began (Original Post)
Beastly Boy
Jun 17
OP
Ocelot II
(126,319 posts)1. For reals, or have they just trotted out W's old WMDs claim?
We saw how that worked out.
Beastly Boy
(13,179 posts)3. Atomic watchdog says Iran not complying with nuclear safeguards Continuity of evidence is important to ensure chain of c
The development follows serious warnings from the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) earlier this week that inspectors have been unable to determine whether Irans nuclear programme was exclusively peaceful as per the terms of the 2015 nuclear deal from which the United States subsequently withdrew.
A fresh round of negotiations between Washington and Tehran is slated to begin on Saturday in Oman, according to news reports, amid heightened geopolitical tensions linked to rumours of an impending Israeli attack on Iran.
Following Thursdays resolution vote by the IAEAs board of governors which passed by a vote of 19 for, three against and 11 abstentions - Irans atomic energy body reportedly announced plans to open a new uranium enrichment plant and increase production of enriched fissile material.
Growing concerns
The draft for Thursdays resolution highlights serious and growing concerns since at least 2019 that Iran had failed to cooperate fully with the UN agencys inspectors.
Tehran has repeatedly been unable to explain and demonstrate that its nuclear material was not being diverted for further enrichment for military use, the draft text maintains.
Iran has also failed to provide the UN agency with technically credible explanations for the presence of [man-made] uranium particles at undeclared locations in Varamin, Marivan and Turquzabad, it continues.
Unfortunately, Iran has repeatedly either not answered, or not provided technically credible answers to, the agencys questions, IAEA chief Grossi said on Monday. It has also sought to sanitize the locations, which has impeded Agency verification activities.
According to Mr. Grossi, Tehran has stockpiled 400 kilogrammes of highly enriched uranium.
Given the potential proliferation implications, the agency cannot ignore [this], he told the UN agencys governing board on Monday.
https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/06/1164291A fresh round of negotiations between Washington and Tehran is slated to begin on Saturday in Oman, according to news reports, amid heightened geopolitical tensions linked to rumours of an impending Israeli attack on Iran.
Following Thursdays resolution vote by the IAEAs board of governors which passed by a vote of 19 for, three against and 11 abstentions - Irans atomic energy body reportedly announced plans to open a new uranium enrichment plant and increase production of enriched fissile material.
Growing concerns
The draft for Thursdays resolution highlights serious and growing concerns since at least 2019 that Iran had failed to cooperate fully with the UN agencys inspectors.
Tehran has repeatedly been unable to explain and demonstrate that its nuclear material was not being diverted for further enrichment for military use, the draft text maintains.
Iran has also failed to provide the UN agency with technically credible explanations for the presence of [man-made] uranium particles at undeclared locations in Varamin, Marivan and Turquzabad, it continues.
Unfortunately, Iran has repeatedly either not answered, or not provided technically credible answers to, the agencys questions, IAEA chief Grossi said on Monday. It has also sought to sanitize the locations, which has impeded Agency verification activities.
According to Mr. Grossi, Tehran has stockpiled 400 kilogrammes of highly enriched uranium.
Given the potential proliferation implications, the agency cannot ignore [this], he told the UN agencys governing board on Monday.
bucolic_frolic
(51,627 posts)2. I trust this is not WMD all over again. /nt
Beastly Boy
(13,179 posts)4. Atomic watchdog says Iran not complying with nuclear safeguards
The development follows serious warnings from the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) earlier this week that inspectors have been unable to determine whether Irans nuclear programme was exclusively peaceful as per the terms of the 2015 nuclear deal from which the United States subsequently withdrew.
A fresh round of negotiations between Washington and Tehran is slated to begin on Saturday in Oman, according to news reports, amid heightened geopolitical tensions linked to rumours of an impending Israeli attack on Iran.
Following Thursdays resolution vote by the IAEAs board of governors which passed by a vote of 19 for, three against and 11 abstentions - Irans atomic energy body reportedly announced plans to open a new uranium enrichment plant and increase production of enriched fissile material.
Growing concerns
The draft for Thursdays resolution highlights serious and growing concerns since at least 2019 that Iran had failed to cooperate fully with the UN agencys inspectors.
Tehran has repeatedly been unable to explain and demonstrate that its nuclear material was not being diverted for further enrichment for military use, the draft text maintains.
Iran has also failed to provide the UN agency with technically credible explanations for the presence of [man-made] uranium particles at undeclared locations in Varamin, Marivan and Turquzabad, it continues.
Unfortunately, Iran has repeatedly either not answered, or not provided technically credible answers to, the agencys questions, IAEA chief Grossi said on Monday. It has also sought to sanitize the locations, which has impeded Agency verification activities.
According to Mr. Grossi, Tehran has stockpiled 400 kilogrammes of highly enriched uranium.
Given the potential proliferation implications, the agency cannot ignore [this], he told the UN agencys governing board on Monday.
https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/06/1164291A fresh round of negotiations between Washington and Tehran is slated to begin on Saturday in Oman, according to news reports, amid heightened geopolitical tensions linked to rumours of an impending Israeli attack on Iran.
Following Thursdays resolution vote by the IAEAs board of governors which passed by a vote of 19 for, three against and 11 abstentions - Irans atomic energy body reportedly announced plans to open a new uranium enrichment plant and increase production of enriched fissile material.
Growing concerns
The draft for Thursdays resolution highlights serious and growing concerns since at least 2019 that Iran had failed to cooperate fully with the UN agencys inspectors.
Tehran has repeatedly been unable to explain and demonstrate that its nuclear material was not being diverted for further enrichment for military use, the draft text maintains.
Iran has also failed to provide the UN agency with technically credible explanations for the presence of [man-made] uranium particles at undeclared locations in Varamin, Marivan and Turquzabad, it continues.
Unfortunately, Iran has repeatedly either not answered, or not provided technically credible answers to, the agencys questions, IAEA chief Grossi said on Monday. It has also sought to sanitize the locations, which has impeded Agency verification activities.
According to Mr. Grossi, Tehran has stockpiled 400 kilogrammes of highly enriched uranium.
Given the potential proliferation implications, the agency cannot ignore [this], he told the UN agencys governing board on Monday.
Fullduplexxx
(8,537 posts)5. Because trump tore up the agreement