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hatrack

(63,729 posts)
Sun Oct 5, 2025, 10:13 AM Sunday

450 US Hydropower Sites Due For Relicensing In Next 10 Years; Average US Dam Age Is 65 Years



For nearly a century, the Kelley’s Falls Dam in Manchester, New Hampshire, generated as much as 2,400 megawatt-hours of electricity per year. When the small hydroelectric station in a downtown park came up for relicensing in 2022, its owners faced what many dam operators now expect when trying to extend the lifespan of these power generators: strict requirements that would force them to spend millions on upgrades to qualify for a new operating permit. Instead, Green Mountain Power made a choice that has become common among hydroelectric operators. The utility simply surrendered its licenses. Last year, the plant shut down.

Nearly 450 hydroelectric stations totaling more than 16 gigawatts of generating capacity are scheduled for relicensing across the United States over the next decade. That’s roughly 40% of the nonfederal fleet (the government owns about half the hydropower stations in the U.S.). The country is now on the verge of a major shift in hydropower. The facilities could be relicensed to supply the booming demand for electricity to power everything from data centers to aluminum smelters. Tech and industrial giants could even help pay for the costly relicensing process with deals like the record-setting $3 billion contract Google inked with hydropower operator Brookfield Asset Management in July for up to 3 gigawatts of hydropower. Or, as has been happening for years, the U.S. could continue to lose gigawatts of power as hydroelectric facilities shut down rather than absorb the high costs of relicensing — especially with cheaper competition from gas, wind, and solar.

The fleet of dams that helped electrify the nation starting in the late 1800s provides the second-largest share of the country’s renewable power after wind, and by far its most firm. But the average age of U.S. dams is 65 years, meaning the bulk of the fleet wasn’t built with newfangled infrastructure to enable unobstructed passage for fish and other wildlife. As seen in New Hampshire, the cost of upgrading facilities to allow for that passage can soar into the tens of millions of dollars — on top of the expense of upgrading custom-built equipment for each plant. Complicating matters further, after decades of decline in the hydropower sector, the manufacturing muscle for turbines and other hardware that make a dam work has largely atrophied in the U.S.

EDIT

https://www.canarymedia.com/articles/hydropower/us-aging-dams-relicensing-clean-energy
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NNadir

(36,713 posts)
1. The reality is that hydropower is about to become very erratic because of the destruction of the planetary atmosphere.
Sun Oct 5, 2025, 10:32 AM
Sunday

I'm a free river kind of guy, and I'm not really a fan of hydropower, the original concept behind destroying natural systems for so called "renewable energy."

I tend to smile when I learn of a dam being removed.

The greatest energy disaster of all time, if one is to exclude the disaster of the destruction of the planetary atmosphere - admittedly the biggest possible energy disaster of all time - was the collapse of the series of dams in the Banqiao disaster, although I will concede their are idiots who think Chernobyl, for example, was a bigger deal rather than what it actually was, on scale, that is, trivial.



hatrack

(63,729 posts)
2. To paraphrase a bit, sedimentation falls upon the just and unjust alike . . .
Sun Oct 5, 2025, 10:41 AM
Sunday

Whatever the variability by location, and however many years it takes, all reservoirs silt up.

Speaking of China, check out the Sanmeixa Dam on the Yellow. It silted up in, IIRC, four or five years (though I believe it's been dredged and somewhat reconfigured since then). Oops.

NNadir

(36,713 posts)
3. I'm not familiar with that one, but the one that scares me the most is, of course, the Three Gorges dam.
Sun Oct 5, 2025, 10:46 AM
Sunday

The consequences of failure of that monstrosity would dwarf years worth, perhaps decades worth, of losses to air pollution, a subset of the deaths caused each year from energy production, both by fossil fuels and so called "renewable energy," biomass combustion.

hatrack

(63,729 posts)
4. Wait until you see what they're building on the Yarlang Tsangpo . . .
Sun Oct 5, 2025, 10:50 AM
Sunday

China has announced plans to build the world’s largest hydroelectric project at a remote river gorge in eastern Tibet, an ecological treasure trove close to a disputed border with India. Indian politicians have reacted angrily, saying it gives China the ability to release destructive “water bombs” across the border in any future conflict. They are planning a retaliatory dam on their side of the border that experts say could be at least as environmentally destructive.

Two Chinese dams will barricade the Yarlung Tsangpo, the Tibetan name for the Brahmaputra River, as it is about to flow through the world’s longest and deepest river canyon — think the Grand Canyon on the Colorado River, only three times as deep. Projected to cost $137 billion, the scheme will be the world’s biggest single infrastructure project, with almost three times the generating capacity of the world’s current largest hydroelectric dam, China’s Three Gorges on the Yangtze River.

Chinese ecologists say the canyon is one of the most precious biodiversity hotspots on the planet, containing some of Asia’s tallest and most ancient trees as well as the world’s richest assemblage of large carnivores, especially big cats. But India’s anger is geopolitical. Pema Khandu, the chief minister of Arunachal Pradesh, the Indian state immediately downstream, called the project “a big threat” that could dry up the river through his state during routine operation and potentially be weaponized to unleash a flood in which, he said, hundreds of thousands could lose their lives.

EDIT

The project could also impact sediment flows in the river. Erosion in the canyon currently supplies 45 percent of the total volume of sediment that flows downstream on the Brahmaputra, says Robert Wasson, a geomorphologist at James Cook University, in Australia. Bypassing the canyon could reduce sediment supply to the lower reaches and damage the river’s vast delta, says Sahana. “Any disruption to the balance of sediment could accelerate coastal erosion and make the already low-lying [delta] area more vulnerable to sea-level rise.” But this outcome is far from clear, says Wasson, as too little is known about sediment movement on the river. Such impacts would be gradual. But there are also fears of more catastrophic outcomes. The dam site is on a boundary between two major tectonic plates in one of the world’s most seismically active regions. “If I were a Chinese planner, I would be most worried about a great earthquake” that could breach the dam, says Wasson. The strongest earthquake ever recorded on land, the magnitude 8.6 Assam-Tibet quake, happened in 1950 just 300 miles away.

EDIT

https://e360.yale.edu/features/china-tibet-yarlung-tsangpo-dam-india-water

NNadir

(36,713 posts)
5. Ow! I wasn't familiar with that one. With the destruction of the planetary atmosphere, now well underway...
Sun Oct 5, 2025, 10:57 AM
Sunday

...I have been wondering about the water supplies of East Asia, India, China, and even SE Asia, because of the fragility of the Himalayan glaciers.

I expect I won't live to see the outcome as I only have a few years left, but I worry for the generations of my sons and beyond.

It's unfucking believable.

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