Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

OKIsItJustMe

(21,649 posts)
Wed Aug 27, 2025, 02:40 PM Wednesday

EVs reduce climate pollution, but by how much? New U-M research has the answer

https://news.umich.edu/evs-reduce-climate-pollution-but-by-how-much-new-u-m-research-has-the-answer/
EVs reduce climate pollution, but by how much? New U-M research has the answer

Drivers can now compare the greenhouse gas emissions of different vehicles based on size, usage, powertrain type and even location

August 25, 2025
Contact: Matt Davenport

Choosing a more electrified vehicle will reduce drivers’ greenhouse gas emissions, regardless of where they live in the contiguous United States, according to a new study from the University of Michigan.

The analysis is the most comprehensive to date, the authors said, providing drivers with estimates of emissions per mile driven across 35 different combinations of vehicle class and powertrains. That included conventional gas pickups, hybrid SUVs and fully electric sedans with dozens of other permutations.

In fact, the team created a free online calculator that lets drivers estimate greenhouse gas emissions based on what they drive, how they drive and where they live.



In their "cradle-to-grave" analysis, Keoleian and colleagues studied emissions numbers not just from driving vehicles, but also from making and disposing of them. In doing so, they considered an array of factors: powertrains, vehicle class, driving behavior and location.

Greenhouse Gas Reductions Driven by Vehicle Electrification across Powertrains, Classes, Locations, and Use Patterns Elizabeth Smith, Maxwell Woody, Timothy J. Wallington, Christian Hitt, Hyung Chul Kim, Alan I. Taub, and Gregory A. Keoleian
Environmental Science & Technology Article ASAP
DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.5c05406
4 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
EVs reduce climate pollution, but by how much? New U-M research has the answer (Original Post) OKIsItJustMe Wednesday OP
According to a scientific publication specific to my grid, the PJM, electric cars are worse than ICEs. NNadir Wednesday #1
2 questions? Finishline42 Wednesday #3
To be honest, I don't take the fascist's advertising too seriously, whether it's "million mile batteries," MAGA, or... NNadir Wednesday #4
"Battery breakthroughs will save the day" Envirogal Wednesday #2

NNadir

(36,434 posts)
1. According to a scientific publication specific to my grid, the PJM, electric cars are worse than ICEs.
Wed Aug 27, 2025, 03:36 PM
Wednesday

I referenced that publication here: A paper addressing the idea that electric cars are "green."

The paper referenced is this one: Cleaning up while Changing Gears: The Role of Battery Design, Fossil Fuel Power Plants, and Vehicle Policy for Reducing Emissions in the Transition to Electric Vehicles Matthew Bruchon, Zihao Lance Chen, and Jeremy Michalek Environmental Science & Technology 2024 58 (8), 3787-3799

A graphic from the full paper is here:



The caption:

Figure 1. Electricity generation mix by region in 2020. Regions other than PJM are ordered from the largest to smallest total regional generation. Generator fuel types are ordered (bottom to top) from the largest to smallest global generation. Generally, PJM has similar properties to most other regions of the world: wind, solar, and nuclear power produce a minority of generation with low marginal cost, typically generating as much energy as possible regardless of the variations in load, while dispatchable fossil fuel plants (primarily coal and natural gas) adjust the generation in response to changes in load. Hydroelectric generation, a small source in PJM, can adjust the timing of generation within constraints (such as lake level limits) (Data from refs (1) and (2)).


Another graphic giving the background for the climate intensity of electric cars is this one:



Figure 6. Consequential life cycle air emission externalities per vehicle in 2019, assuming 10% of the light-duty passenger car fleet in PJM’s service area is replaced with PEVs. “ICEV” denotes a conventional internal combustion engine vehicle, “HEV” denotes a standard gasoline hybrid electric vehicle (NiMH battery), “PHEV20” denotes a plug-in hybrid electric vehicle with a battery range of 20 miles (Li-ion battery with NMC111 cathode chemistry), and “BEV300” denotes a battery electric with a battery range of 300 miles (Li-ion battery with NMC622 cathode chemistry). “CC” indicates that battery charge schedules are optimally controlled by PJM to minimize system operation costs, and “UC” indicates that battery charging is uncontrolled (i.e., initiated by the vehicle owner as soon as they complete their daily driving and arrive home. “Production” includes disposal and recycling; “Vehicle Use” includes tailpipe emissions and tire and brake wear).


Of course, the graphic refers to cars built 6 years ago, 2019, when the average concentration of the dangerous fossil fuel waste on the planet was 411.65 ppm, as opposed to 424.61 in 2024, and thus far, in 2025, from the spreadsheet I keep tracking this data on a weekly basis, 428.27 as of the week beginning 8/17/2025. From what people want me to believe is that over six years, some kind of "renewable energy" heaven has surely broken out "by 2025" although it didn't for all the dates I remember going back to my youth, "by 1980," "by 1990," by 2000," "by 2010," and "by 2020."

Something that sort of troubles me about electric cars, and indeed the car I own and drive myself, a 2024 Camry Hybrid, which replaced the 2023 Camry Hybrid that was totaled in an automobile accident when a kid ran a stop sign in front of me - thus failing to recoup the embodied energy involved in building it - is cobalt slavery. Elon Musk's African cobalt slaves sort of, um, trouble me, even if it doesn't trouble all the "green" people here talking about how battery breakthroughs will save the day.

According to the paper cited back then and above, on the PJM grid, my hybrid car was in the class of "least carbon intensive" but my personal experience with the totaled car, leads me to doubt that I am personally all that "green." In fact, I'm a hypocrite, if it makes antinukes around here happy, since I drive a car of any type while deploring the car CULTure.

Have a nice evening.

Finishline42

(1,148 posts)
3. 2 questions?
Wed Aug 27, 2025, 07:01 PM
Wednesday

Tesla is working on what they call a million mile battery - which functionally means that the battery outlasts the car. What to do? What if you use the car as storage at home instead of junking it? How would that figure in the end of life calculations?

As some on DU, I have solar panels on my house (hoping to add more before years end). How is that taken into consideration in their calculations?

My personal data would dispute their numbers. I have a 2021 Tesla Model Y. In April of this year, my daily average electric usage was $4.28/day for my entire house (water heater and clothes dryer are gas BTW). I drive approx 200 miles / day Monday thru Friday plus about 200 miles on the weekend driving Uber/Lyft. I have a Tesla home charger running on a 50 amp circuit. almost all of my charging is at home.

Prior to getting the Tesla in Dec 2023, I drove a SUV that I bought in 2019. Uses diesel and gets around 22 mpg. In 2023 I drove almost 40k miles and spent almost $7500 on fuel. Plus oil changes every 10k miles, plus replacing an alternator and other maintenance.

Absolutely no way an ICE vehicle has less impact that an EV in my experience.

NNadir

(36,434 posts)
4. To be honest, I don't take the fascist's advertising too seriously, whether it's "million mile batteries," MAGA, or...
Wed Aug 27, 2025, 08:09 PM
Wednesday

...self driving cars, so there's that.

I have no use for solar cells, either, as I also make clear. I consider them where they are, a bourgeois affectation that will be electronic waste before today's newborns finish college - if there are colleges to finish.

The referenced paper in the post I linked is a scientific publication, not a bourgeois "my story" tale of the type that shows up here regularly. Over roughly 23 years on this site, I've had loads and loads and loads of people who want to tell me about their wonderful solar cells on the roofs of their McMansions.

I'm unimpressed.

When I joined DU, the concentration of the dangerous fossil fuel waste carbon dioxide in the planetary atmosphere was 372.69 ppm. As of the last week reported at the Trends in Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide (CO2), page of the Mauna Loa CO2 Observatory as of the week beginning August 17, 2025, the concentration was 52.97 ppm higher, 425.65 ppm. All the caterwauling about solar, wind and electric cars I've heard here has had no effect on that outcome.

One can always write a commentary to a scientific paper and submit it to a journal, but I doubt they'd accept and publish one about how many miles the author drives in his, her, or their Tesla.

Nevertheless, despite the self declared nobility of big battery owners, the planet is burning, the rate of accumulation of the fossil fuel waste in the planetary atmosphere is accelerating to rates never seen before, and the car CULTure greenwashing has done nothing to arrest this outcome.

I'm sorry to report, not that I expect apologists for the white supremacist Musk to get it, that a battery is a device that wastes primary energy, It's a law of thermodynamics, and no amount of advertisements can undo it.

I did touch on the issue of thermodynamics on batteries in a post here, regrettably (I would guess to some people who prefer Tesla ads) again with reference to a scientific publication:

Pesky Thermodynamics: The Mathematics of Wasting Energy by Storage in Li Batteries.

As for how many miles a Musk apologists drives his, her, or their fucking car, I couldn't care less.

Musk and his hyped advertisements and promotions can go fuck off, OK?

The planet's burning. Incredibly there are people who seem not to give a shit about that, some reporting on their bourgeois lifestyle. Generally they are not people capable of understanding the difference between primary energy and stored energy.

There are, one should be aware, over a billion people on this planet who lack access to improved sanitation, on whom I sometimes remark, not that I'm doing a damned thing to help them myself. Nonetheless, frankly I find them of more interest than the commute of a homeowner patting himself, herself, or themself on his, her, or their back for solar cells on his, her or their roof, in a country where fewer and fewer people can afford home ownership. I would suspect strongly that some of the people lacking access to improved sanitation are Elon's African Cobalt Slaves and are not commuting 200 miles a day.

Maybe I should apologize for feeling as I do, but it represents the true state of my personal affairs which I am unlikely to regret.

Have a nice evening, and I certainly hope you avoid too much traffic during your 200 mile a day commute.

Envirogal

(229 posts)
2. "Battery breakthroughs will save the day"
Wed Aug 27, 2025, 04:58 PM
Wednesday

(Greenie here.) Just like “spent” nuclear waste disposal innovation that we have been waiting for since Hiroshima? “Long term Storage”, expensive recycling for “96%” of it? Don’t worry about the other 4% plus.

Ford is leading the charge away from cobalt and opening manufacturing in the US.
Lithium Iron Phosphate (LiFePO4): LiFePO4 batteries are entirely cobalt-free and are known for their safety and long cycle life. They are increasingly used in EVs where safety and sustainability are paramount.

And don’t worry about your totaled Camry footprint. My 2011 EV has made that up for you. It’s like buying a carbon credit without the money exchange.

Latest Discussions»Issue Forums»Environment & Energy»EVs reduce climate pollut...