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mahatmakanejeeves

(66,406 posts)
Tue Aug 19, 2025, 09:31 PM Aug 19

'They're not going to live normally': A devastating disease has surged in Calif.

NEWS | BAY AREA & STATE
'They're not going to live normally': A devastating disease has surged in Calif.

By Gillian Mohney,
News Editor
Aug 18, 2025


Valley fever, or coccidioidomycosis, is spread when spores from a naturally occurring fungus are inhaled.
The Washington Post/Getty Images

In just 25 years, cases of an uncommon but potentially devastating disease have climbed more than 1,200% in California. … This month, the California Department of Public Health reported that Valley fever cases are on track to surpass last year’s record number of over 12,500 cases.



Muted backlit silhouette of two tractors raking soil in California’s San Joaquin Valley.
Getty Images/iStockphoto

The infection, caused when people inhale spores of the naturally occurring Coccidioides fungus, made up fewer than 1,000 cases back in 2000 in California.
Shaun Yang, the director for molecular microbiology and pathogen genomics at the UCLA Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, said relatively mild and wet winters in much of California mean the fungus can thrive underground without being killed off by frost. … “This kind of very wet and dry pattern definitely is perfect for this fungus to grow,” Yang told SFGATE.

In recent years, climate change has supercharged years of drought and rainfall in California, and Yang says these changes may be a big reason for the spike in cases. In dry weather, the spores spread as dry dust and soil are kicked up because of construction, agriculture or wind.

“I think climate change is the main reason to explain this type of dramatic explosion,” Yang told SFGATE. “I don’t think anything else can explain this type of phenomenon.”

{snip}
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'They're not going to live normally': A devastating disease has surged in Calif. (Original Post) mahatmakanejeeves Aug 19 OP
Valley Fever Maninacan Aug 19 #1
I have an old friend who has part of his lung scarred from having it when young... Hekate Wednesday #3
A lot of doctors from other parts of the country StarryNite Wednesday #6
That makes sense. I wasn't sure exactly what that poster was trying to convey. Hekate Wednesday #9
This is a horrible disease for some people and dogs too. StarryNite Aug 19 #2
My mother was diagnosed with Valley Fever, encapsulated, PoindexterOglethorpe Wednesday #4
This strikes me as the future jfz9580m Wednesday #5
For decades after reading The Sheep Look Up, I found the daily headlines seemed to be drawn from the book OKIsItJustMe Wednesday #7
Thanks OkItsJustMe jfz9580m Wednesday #8
John Brunner OKIsItJustMe Wednesday #10
Thanks jfz9580m Wednesday #11
Thank You! OKIsItJustMe Wednesday #12
Ouch jfz9580m Thursday #13
Infant mortality rates OKIsItJustMe Thursday #14
That's all too vague imo jfz9580m Friday #15
OK, there's a lot there, much of which I followed and generally agree with OKIsItJustMe Friday #16
Well we'll have to agree to disagree -I don't see it as an either or jfz9580m Friday #17
I don't think we really disagree on all that much OKIsItJustMe Friday #18
I agree with that jfz9580m Friday #19

Maninacan

(172 posts)
1. Valley Fever
Tue Aug 19, 2025, 09:55 PM
Aug 19

I know someone that had it and might still. Doctors won't help You with it in the Eastern part of the states.

Hekate

(99,059 posts)
3. I have an old friend who has part of his lung scarred from having it when young...
Wed Aug 20, 2025, 12:06 AM
Wednesday

Eventually he may have to have surgery to have part of his lung removed — but mind you, he was in his early 20s when he got sick and then got better, and this is now almost 60 years on.

Having never had it myself (thank God) I don’t know what the medical protocol is, but you could find out by googling some major medical centers like Mayo. But saying “doctors won’t help you with it in the Eastern part of the States” just sounds a bit weird.

Best of luck.

StarryNite

(11,744 posts)
6. A lot of doctors from other parts of the country
Wed Aug 20, 2025, 01:36 AM
Wednesday

aren't even aware of Valley Fever. Sometimes people have to really push to get answers and tests that are needed to get those answers.

StarryNite

(11,744 posts)
2. This is a horrible disease for some people and dogs too.
Tue Aug 19, 2025, 11:46 PM
Aug 19

Here in the Phoenix area we are well aware of it and what it can do. Dogs are particularly susceptible to getting it. It can be deadly. The medication for it is costly and has side effects. In dogs it can affect all different parts of the body including the limbs, brain, and other organs.

PoindexterOglethorpe

(28,049 posts)
4. My mother was diagnosed with Valley Fever, encapsulated,
Wed Aug 20, 2025, 12:10 AM
Wednesday

meaning (if I have this correctly) she had lumps in her lung (and only one lung) which were Valley Fever. About a third or more of one lung was removed and she lived to age 82, some three decades later. Before this she smoked, and she stopped immediately with this. Good for her.

jfz9580m

(15,822 posts)
5. This strikes me as the future
Wed Aug 20, 2025, 12:15 AM
Wednesday

One unfortunate thing with communicating with humans as our media environment has apparently programmed people to do - the left/greens etc were made to adopt this like type of messaging on serious matters that copies what only really works for demagogues and hate mongers. While these greasy The Atlantic and NYT types peddled a fake adulthood. That book IBM and the Nazis comes to mind when I look at institutions like those.

So what happens is that people who see these Nostradamus like predictions (“after this or that date things get dire”), expect everything to just collapse overnight. That’s then used by the Cato and Koch crew to argue that “look these doomers scared you and nothing happened!”
But something did happen. It just was slow attrition not overnight a Melancholia type event. And its sourced to the things the greens/left were warning about.

I mean a nuclear bomb can wipe everything out overnight but that’s not how really bad things typically work-it’s a grinding slow boil to the hell of degraded infrastructure, polluted, miserable, overcrowded and hot hellscapes. Now Trump and Covid are both a bit like a nuclear bomb and I personally had one such event in my life.

But that’s not how on average climate change, all the stuff Trump is doing now, overpopulation, delayed effects of the pandemic/Trump etc operate. It’s this nightmarish slow attrition where your life keeps getting shittier and one day you look back at what you thought was normal a mere decade ago and it’s gone.

I wish I had bookmarked it. Duer Betty Boom who worked in the federal government posted about how people will viscerally feel it in their lives, but not not attribute it to the correct sources as this football match style that is modern politics distracts people. How can they when education is gone and it’s all apps and bs except for the kids of the elite. They’ll be fine, which I hope is enough for all the rest of us.
I do feel warm inside when I think that at least I contribute to gold lining for Andreessen’s diapers he farts into.

The shit Trump is doing now will probably be hard to reverse without concerted effort. but by then it will be the new normal.

It’s the 1984 thing - things were always like this. They were never any different. Resistance is futile. I have a poor memory in some ways. But not in these ways. Possibly because the long memory I have in some ways is taking away from other kinds of memory I need for routine stuff.

I am appalled in 2025 to see all the things I found atrocious a decade, a decade and a half ago peddled as the better stuff. No. I have a long memory in some ways.
What we are witnessing is the path from WallE world to 1984. But on a long enough timescale with a few shocks here and there.

I would really recommend Harry Harrison’s “Make Room! Make Room!” to anyone who has not read it. It’s the future.

OKIsItJustMe

(21,640 posts)
7. For decades after reading The Sheep Look Up, I found the daily headlines seemed to be drawn from the book
Wed Aug 20, 2025, 01:43 AM
Wednesday

Then, years later, I read an interview of John Brunner, in which he said that there was only one thing in the book which was original,; everything else he had gotten from scientific journals, and a tour of major cities of the US.

There’s nothing in it about "The Greenhouse Effect" that I recall, but, it was written in 1972.

jfz9580m

(15,822 posts)
8. Thanks OkItsJustMe
Wed Aug 20, 2025, 01:58 AM
Wednesday

I’ll look it up. You gave me some good suggestions -The Marching Morons (which seems to have predicted Elon Musk), and that cartoon with Porkypine whose name eludes me.
The Sheep Look Up by John Brunner. I am trying to improve my memory. So I will see if I can retain that long enough to look it up at night.
The lack of a memory seems to be our collective issue as a society. Which is why those nice billionaire men are kind enough to provide us with selectively edited ones. They are philanthropists.

One thing cool about DU is that so many people here are old enough to remember stuff so word of mouth narratives about stuff no people of my age lived through. Most people here are my parents’ age. That’s a lot of information that you can’t really get easily.

As for people my age or younger it’s not clear what garbled garbage will be left online with AI and “fixes for AI”. I cynically look at our not very bright tech billionaires and “generate” predictions about how these guys plan to rewrite all this where they are not quite stupid enough to think you can get away with everything. I have yet to see an idea from transparency, health, fighting disinformation that these guys cannot somehow pervert to produce: a) acceptably watered down, bland pap or b) outright bullshit and c) truly weaponized disinfo and misinfo and propaganda to divide and rule for ever.

OKIsItJustMe

(21,640 posts)
10. John Brunner
Wed Aug 20, 2025, 10:35 AM
Wednesday

In that case, you might want to start with his prior book, Stand on Zanzibar. It is frequently cited as his masterpiece. Like Make Room! Make Room! its primary theme is overpopulation, whereas The Sheep Look Up, usually said to be its “sequel," is about environmental degradation.

https://www.bbc.com/culture/article/20190509-the-1968-sci-fi-that-spookily-predicted-today

The 1968 sci-fi that spookily predicted today
10 May 2019



Beware, Brunner wrote a good deal of “pulp.” (It’s not particularly bad, just not on the same level.) I read an interview with him once where he was asked about that, and he said something like, “The good books take a lot of time to research and write. — In the meantime, I have a family to feed."

jfz9580m

(15,822 posts)
11. Thanks
Wed Aug 20, 2025, 01:25 PM
Wednesday

I really like the look of his work. Being an environmentalist from the Global South and in the path of the coming eco catastrophes, I have found it outrageous how a segment of “the left” acted in such bad faith (Betsy Hartmann who I suspect is a Cato plant -she attacks even The Centre for Biological Diversity; Naomi Klein whose weird new-age stuff is just bizarre etc) on overpopulation as an environmental issue (ably assisted of course by fundamentalists and the Cato/Koch libertarians).

Fortunately younger lefties are less susceptible to that kind of propaganda and there are also more nonwhite female greens like myself (or Nandita Bajaj of Population Balance) who are not particularly privileged (though educated) countering those chestnuts.

I used to find the bland, generic and implicitly anti-environment drivel outlets like the execrable Atlantic pump out as left of center horrifyingly out of touch. They managed to silence a whole generation of greens imo and lead us here.

I discovered Alan Weisman’s work earlier this year and it’s also environmentally themed and quite unlike anything else I have seen before:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_World_Without_Us

The World Without Us is a 2007 non-fiction book about what would happen to the natural and built environment if humans suddenly disappeared, written by American journalist Alan Weisman and published by St. Martin's Thomas Dunne Books.[1] It is a book-length expansion of Weisman's own February 2005 Discover article "Earth Without People".[2] Written largely as a thought experiment, it outlines, for example, how cities and houses would deteriorate, how long man-made artifacts would last, and how remaining lifeforms would evolve. Weisman concludes that residential neighborhoods would become forests within 500 years, and that radioactive waste, bronze statues, plastics and Mount Rushmore would be among the longest-lasting evidence of human presence on Earth.


Thanks again for the tip about Brunner. I keep an eye out for interesting writers on green issues who are more unconventional than more generic mainstream environmentalists like Bill Kibben.

In last year or so I came across Christopher Ketcham, who wrote an excellent piece slamming this awful billionaire funded data project called “Our World in Data”:
https://www.counterpunch.org/2024/07/26/the-unbearable-anthropocentrism-of-our-world-in-data/


The Unbearable Anthropocentrism of Our World in Data
How billionaire elites help fund an Oxford statistics lab that makes the destruction of Earth look just great.

Roughly a decade ago, a 30-year-old economic statistician at Oxford University named Max Roser set out to transform the way we see the world using datasets.

One can learn, for example, that the share of people living in extreme poverty, has plummeted since the 1970s; that GDP per capita after 1945 skyrocketed in the U.S. and Western Europe, and has been rising – far more slowly, and only recently – in the rest of the world; that child mortality is way down; that the share of world population that’s undernourished is declining; that the literacy rate is way up; and that 90.44 percent of people on Earth now have access to enough electricity at least to charge a phone or power a radio four hours a day.
“It’s hard to imagine,” Roser writes in one of his many essays that celebrate the good news, “but child mortality in the very worst-off places today is much better than anywhere in the past.”

For obvious reasons, Roser’s cheerful view of capitalist business-as-usual – and the data that would seem to support it – has made him a darling of libertarian market fundamentalists, who have lavished praise on his work. His admirers include some of the most extreme right wing think tanks in the U.S. and U.K. Among these are the Cato Institute, spawn of the noxious fossil fuel magnates Charles and David Koch; the American Enterprise Institute, best known for its spreading of lies to foment the US-Iraq War in 2003; the Foundation for Economic Education, the oldest libertarian think tank in the U.S., founded by business interests to peddle pro-market, antigovernment ideology; and the Institute of Economic Affairs, a U.K.-based organization that has promoted climate-change denial.

Roser’s most important supporter, providing hundreds of thousands of dollars in funding, is the world’s fifth richest man, Bill Gates. The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation has been the single largest donor in recent years, funding “general operations and data infrastructure development” along with “core project activities.” Gates and Roser know each other personally. Gates has referred to OWID as his “favorite website.”

Other notable allies are the philosophers and social theorists who make up what’s called “effective altruism.” EA is a boutique ideology of wealthy elites who wish to do the “most good” in the world through charitable giving. Silicon Valley tech bros have been prominent devotees, including Facebook co-founder Dustin Moskovitz and Estonian billionaire Jaan Taallin, developer of Skype.


Another writer I like is Samuel Miller MacDonald of Current Affairs:
https://www.currentaffairs.org/news/there-are-many-threats-to-humanity.-a-low-birth-rate-isnt-one-of-them

There Are Many Threats to Humanity. A Low Birth Rate Isn’t One of Them.

Commentators across the political spectrum claim that humanity faces imminent collapse due to a “fertility crisis.” Is this mass delusion or cynical propaganda?


Far-right authoritarian pundits and political actors, from Matt Walsh to Elon Musk, all seem to have gotten the same memo instructing them to fixate on “low” fertility and birth rates. Musk has claimed that “population collapse due to low birth rates is a much bigger risk to civilization than global warming” and that it will lead to “mass extinction.” Some liberals are flirting with this narrative, too. In a February New Yorker essay, Gideon Lewis-Kraus deploys dystopian imagery to describe the “low” birth-rate in South Korea, twice comparing the country to the collapsing, childless society in the 2006 film Children of Men.1 Visiting a school that’s populated by a student body smaller than its intended capacity, Lewis-Kraus describes the scene looking “as if everyone had evaporated overnight.” He laments that in South Korea, “In 2023, the number of births was just two hundred and thirty thousand.” It’s not just liberals and authoritarians engaging in this birth-rate crisis panic. Self-described leftist Elizabeth Bruenig recently equated falling fertility with humanity’s inability “to persist on this Earth.” Running through her pronatalist Atlantic opinion piece is an entirely uninterrogated presumption that fertility rates collected today are able to predict the total disappearance of the species Homo sapiens at some future time.


(For the record, I am going with cynical propaganda - amoral and depraved to boot.)


Another very cool writer is the lovely Maria Bolotnikova who mainly focuses on horrors of factory farming. Then there’s Chris Packham who’s mostly a naturalist. It’s still not enough. But it’s something.

OKIsItJustMe

(21,640 posts)
12. Thank You!
Wed Aug 20, 2025, 05:44 PM
Wednesday

I have wondered about “Our World in Data.” One of the things which is a personal gripe of mine is that frequently their data is not current (i.e. it is a few years old.)

I am familiar with some of the authors you cited, but not all.

Regarding overpopulation, you may be interested in this Peanuts comic strip from 1957:

Or this one from 1959:


To put things into perspective, what was the world population at the time?

jfz9580m

(15,822 posts)
13. Ouch
Thu Aug 21, 2025, 06:31 AM
Thursday

Last edited Thu Aug 21, 2025, 09:49 AM - Edit history (2)

Jokes aside, that’s a classic bad faith move.

It’s the kind of sophistry that I am shocked ever worked. But it is falling for right wing gambits to be offended by humor whether you agree with it or not imo. Not that it doesn’t have an insidious message like Manbearpig. But still feuding with comedy is just stupid. Everything is combative enough as is 🤺..

But serious allegations of ecofascism from the left..that’s really sleazy and lazy. It is as stupid as a hallmark card that says “love isn’t divided, it multiplies!” And it ignores the ugliness of the world we live in from horrors visited on humans and animals to increasing minor nuisances we are told are inevitable.

You can see the effect of overcrowding everywhere - from education to medical care and the solutions involve even more bullshit jobs, rapacious exploitative data mining and a noxious form of utilitarianism. Very effective altruism-a truly loathsome ideology which I wish wouldn’t corrupt the animal rights movement by associating itself with it. I get why the animal welfare movement takes funding where it can find it. But still, that’s a truly horrible movement.

Instead of finding any reasonable solution, we find more convoluted drivel to address stuff with simple solutions.

It was shockingly irresponsible to not couple basic family planning education as part of a public health policy when infant mortality rates fell. That’s not coercion or propaganda.
All it is is a suggestion to put thought into serious decisions over invading your neighbors’ lives and spaces and then blaming them.

I always wished someone as annoying, asinine and unrelatable as Peter Singer had not become a key figure in animal rights.

When I came across this cool and funny author Deb Olin Unferth I was thinking wistfully that the nicest people sympathetic to animal rights don’t get as much spotlight as a complete ass like Singer.

Anyone utilitarian enough should get that associating a fairly repellant persona with any movement is bad for it..

I personally consider chicken factory farming an abomination as birds don’t even get the most basic humane protections. These are all signs of a society whose sociopathy barometer is broken in many ways-factory farming, ventilation shutdown, species loss, human biomass exceeding all other biomass, war, poverty and stuff like our world in data is daft. The root cause is overpopulation.

I liked this review of Barn 8 in The Guardian. Olin Unferth herself comes across as a delightful person unlike those she portrays (apparently chickens going by societal callousness and animal activists) for once with genuine sympathy ;-/

https://www.theguardian.com/books/2020/apr/18/barn-8-by-deb-olin-unferth-review-the-great-chicken-heist


The chicken-related writing, however, is a force unto itself. If you thought you didn’t care about chickens, Unferth is here to prove you wrong. Throughout, she makes us feel them as minds, as with the rescued hen who stubbornly insists on sitting on her egg, “because she’d never been able to sit on her eggs before and she wasn’t going to get up for anything … she was such an intelligent, unintelligent little birdie, thinking her job was to sit there, stay no matter what.” The meticulous, science-fictional descriptions of the alien atmosphere of factory farming are also astonishing. The thousands of tiered cages, miles of feed troughs, constant rains of dirt and faeces and hosts of cramped, debeaked birds – Unferth makes us see the barns as being the unfathomable horror that they are.

Perhaps from a fear of anthropomorphism, though, Unferth almost entirely forgoes making the chickens characters in their own right.

She also shows a deep sensitivity and understanding for her animal liberationists, people who go undercover as farmworkers for years at a time to film the abuses inside egg farms – actions that, thanks to “ag-gag” laws, are often themselves crimes. Unferth does not sentimentalise these characters; she portrays them as the prickly, unsocialised types they often are, while also conveying their quiet heroism. In one passage, she shares their common fear that: “Soon all that will be left of the miracle of our planet will be the monocrops of damaged cows, pigs, dogs, hens, a few other practical species – and humans, horrible, unbeatable, disgusting humans.” In another, she describes the real sacrifices activists make: “When they finally quit and cut out, as almost all did … they had nothing: blank years on their resumes since what they did was strictly secret, no skills other than to perform jobs they’d spent their lives trying to abolish, alienated family, permanent back trouble.”


I often wish there was half as much fuss about the ways chickens, pigs and cows are treated as there is over cats and dogs.

But re overpopulation, all that crap about how much better things are for the poor..it’s such bullshit. First of all it attributes the improvement of life to things that are not necessarily if at all connected (cancer like growth of junk capitalism and attendant fluff-shopping malls, a bloated/exploitative, derivative and talent free entertainment industrial complex, more useless baubles and gadgets, junk tech) rather than the real source of progress - science and medicine.

Secondly, it’s a way to sound like someone who is a humanist while reducing humans to statistics. Which is what overpopulation results in.

I have noticed that in overpopulated parts of the world the dynamics are that whatever is said and whatever the charts show, human life ends up becoming cheap. You don’t play numbers games with human life and then divert attention away from what is actually causing that dynamic and to the things that are trying to check that tumor like approach. Every war at its core has its origins in resource conflicts. And to see the people who are cynically hoarding resources (the billionaires and their sycophants) recruit and harness a collection of morons to parrot their bs..

It’s also personal for me. My family is very small and when I lost my mom in 2021, it was devastating given all the other impositions. She had an excellent oncologist and I did my best for her, but in the end we couldn’t survive these toxic dynamics of encroaching technologies and rapacious greed.

We have far too much junk, while basic regulation, education and healthcare in non-moronic ways is missing. And now the junk is overtaking the working sectors with AI, big data, behaviorism and other junk.

I tend to agree with Warren Hern..it’s the sort of thing that sends fundamentalists and other disingenuous creeps into faux outrage spirals. But overpopulation has some common features with cancer:

The shocking sensationalism of the titles aside (that’s Salon for you) -it also predictably trolls the fatuously disingenuous National Review crowd who want people to ignore how anti-human in any material sense their worldview is- the real point I took away is that collective human impact on the planet tends to mimic cancer:

https://www.salon.com/2023/08/05/are-humans-a-cancer-on-the-planet-a-physician-argues-that-civilization-is-truly-carcinogenic/

https://www.drhern.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/human-cancer-on-planet.pdf



I have myself felt that humans have turned into a species where the dynamics of super-fit cancer cells that cheat at cell competition are rewarded more than fitness in any decent sense. Social Darwinism by people who largely reject evolutionary biology in any real way.

https://www.ddw-online.com/science-reveals-how-cancer-cells-outsmart-normal-cells-30882-202407/]

Scientists have discovered that some cancer cells pretend to be ‘super fit’ to fool normal healthy cells into giving them their nutrients, allowing them to expand and spread around the body. A team from The Institute of Cancer Research (ICR), London, found that ‘cheating’ cancer cells develop the ability to hijack the body’s natural ‘cell competition’ process, which ensures that substandard cells do not accumulate but instead are killed and removed.

The researchers, based in the Breast Cancer Now Toby Robins Research Centre at ICR, hope that this discovery will lead to better treatments. Normally, this evolutionary principle of ‘survival of the fittest’ is a crucial quality control mechanism for maintaining tissue health and function. However, defects in cell competition can result in the retention of damaged or dangerous cells, potentially triggering the formation of tumours. The ICR team discovered that differing levels of extracellular glutamate, a crucial building block and messenger molecule in the body, regulates competition between cells. They found that cells with a lower secretion of glutamate are earmarked as ‘losers’ when surrounded by normal healthy cells. When this happens, the loser cell starts to donate its nutrients to its fitter neighbours.

Importantly, they also found that the process can be exploited by cancer cells, which cheat the system by pretending to be ‘super-fit’ and increasing their glutamate production. This allows them to expand and spread at the expense of surrounding normal cells. Furthermore, when cell competition takes place between cancer cells, it can lead to some cancer cells developing resistance to chemotherapy or other targeted therapies. These resistant cells survive and multiply, making treatment less effective.


It’s an apt metaphor for the proliferation of grifting and worthless crypto and AI industries at the cost of real and necessary jobs at the EPA/NOAA etc. regulating “space junk” and protecting the environment as well as other federal govt jobs. Which is what this year has been all about it. Russell Vought’s Project 2025 and that sort of creeping corrupt deregulation is entering via the backdoor where I live these days.
Current Affairs’ latest piece on that is worth a read-I wish there were more regulatory checks on these guys:
https://www.currentaffairs.org/news/make-bureaucracy-great-again
A lot of the attacks on “limits to growth” comes from stealthy fundamentalist groups and other bad players who coopt the language of compassion and justice to suit their cynical and unscrupulous ends. Or don’t even bother with that.

lol..my apologies OkItsJustMe ;-/..rant mode
I think far too much about this stuff for someone who is not and never will be a political activist. Shrug.

OKIsItJustMe

(21,640 posts)
14. Infant mortality rates
Thu Aug 21, 2025, 01:47 PM
Thursday

Last edited Thu Aug 21, 2025, 04:32 PM - Edit history (1)



It was shockingly irresponsible to not couple basic family planning education as part of a public health policy when infant mortality rates fell. That’s not coercion or propaganda.

All it is is a suggestion to put thought into serious decisions over invading your neighbors’ lives and spaces and then blaming them.



There are a few factors which reliably lead to smaller families:
  • ”Empowering” women: When women have a choice, not just about abortion, but about pregnancy in general, they tend to have fewer children.
  • Better health care: When people are reasonably confident that their children will live to adulthood, they tend to have fewer children.
  • Better education. More educated people tend to have fewer children. — This is the underlying social dynamic of The Marching Morons.

"Modern medicine” is a significant contributor to population growth, not just because of a decrease in infant mortality, but also because of an increase in "life expectancy" in general. All other things being equal, as it becomes “normal” for people to live longer, the population will grow.

Without a doubt, a growing human population, especially in the so-called “developed” countries has helped feed this crisis. On the other hand, in retrospect, signs of climate change date back to a time when the world population was much smaller. While we might reasonably say today that the population is far too large, no amount of “family planning” will have a significant impact on the level of greenhouse gases already in the atmosphere or the amount of plastic pollution already in the ecosystem.




Figure from: van Vuuren, D.P., Doelman, J.C., Schmidt Tagomori, I. et al. Exploring pathways for world development within planetary boundaries. Nature 641, 910–916 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-08928-w

jfz9580m

(15,822 posts)
15. That's all too vague imo
Fri Aug 22, 2025, 01:29 AM
Friday

Last edited Fri Aug 22, 2025, 02:49 AM - Edit history (2)

It’s also a personal issue for me. Bear with me OkItsJustMe - what I say can seem a bit confusing because it is about politics being personal and I don’t do that with scripted vague generalities hewing neatly to accepted cliches. Thats what got us here.

There are simpler models of the whole mess that is this really predatory model of reality that’s emerging.

Too many fraudulent economic and behaviorist models thrive while anything against these predatory market forces is squeezed: honest businesses, consumers, citizens, the poor, the disabled, the elderly and lay waste to environmental and labor laws and promote a disgusting type of growth or that Welcome Party middle ground which is Pronatalist bullshit.

I am not handing over my remaining resources for the most predatory take on how society should run. I didn’t even have one kid. I don’t want to let society turn childfree people into what Vance has already overtly said “peopel with fewer rights”. That already happened and is ongoing . It has to stop.

It’s about older people like me being sidelined based on decisions I would never agree with.
We all know that.

It’s not too late to check the worst social and environmental ills.
Educating women without drawing the explicit connection between growing chaos with growing populations and worsening environmental conditions is not going to fix it.

We hear so much bs all the time. This shouldn’t be that hard.

I try to have a consistent worldview on all levels and have a realistic relationship with money and reality.

Instead what I am seeing is the worst kind of degrowth. No regulation so my land and home are now invaded by corrupt or outright criminal tech entities as an example. An honest job would be shutting them down without destroying my property and life and without a slew of creepy cottage industries resulting.

It’s all tied. just not in the stupidest conspiratorial way but when so many of your economic models have so much bs..I am not for the Barbie movie worldview. But I am calling out bullshit. Overpopulation is causing people who play fair to get the rawest of deals and fuck that.
The rise of Graebers bullshit jobs, the tech backlash to Lina Khans competition regulation. This bs narrative that this type of stealthy creepy parasitic super fit cancer cell like growth stressing anyone honest in the soft fields without a secure job, stressing honest peopel with public sector oriented instincts and peopel like me who want to work only in non profit science honestly with a commensurate and stable income minus garbage forced by societal forces beyond my control .

I don’t mind supporting a few “old internet” thjngs like DU or cleverbot (the only chatbot I use) but not as an alternative to a say in how govt gets to hand over my property or space to the private sector sans any consent-to AI and other garbage that’s invading the real world more and that’s not gonna happen.
My home is not an app with music and lights provided by cteeps. Nothing is inevitable except a court case if you are stupid enough to buy the “data is oil” creeps and so bent on spectacle and theatre that you go and mess with the type of random who really doesn’t role play “I am a real person!” Like an internet influencer or by bullshit “security”.

You know being a real person is the norm. But I can’t pretend to be crazy or difficult for seeing something tied very much to overpopulation’s indirect dynamics. My parents’ pensions don’t mean that the state permits “growth” using our property or lives. That’s not security or art.

The rise of the bullshit jobs kills jobs in softer areas that are honest forcing honest journalists to become influencers on Substack,

For me this is a personal issue too. The message seems to be that either you can excel in hard sciences at an austere level that’s managed only by a small subset of people even in the hard sciences or hijacked by technofascist slackers who promote bullshit jobs and junk growth and deflect from that.


The underlying subtext is the old should kill themselves or be starved and you have 3-10 kids to feed into this machine.

The problem is if you don’t degrow junk but like the super fit cancer cells which the Trumpers and the tech grifters represent.

I was pleased to see that locally they are shutting down my down online gambling. But that’s not enough.
I am only middle aged and I vote and talk anonymously.
To preempt trumps shit and data as oil, my state can expect to hear from me for choosing the interests of parasitic leeches in tech and these social media and botnet generating nuisances.
I am not an influencer/ I am an anonymous citizen forced to do stupid shit to contact regulatory authorities because -oh none exist! It’s not a joke. It’s so lame.

I have been coping witb gallows humor when I am not furious or dejected that apparently objecting to an obvious con that perverts concepts-I can’t think of a concept this doesn’t pervert. It’s horrible kafkaesque Idiocracy of no use to man, beast, AI, alien anything. It’s a paen in favor of junk heaps from hell.

And you say anything and they send you to psychiatry insisting “there is no stigma”. I know there is no stigma. I am not stupid or conservative. But I am not handing over ..

At this point I do feel like a lame Monty Python gag about the “none shall pass” knight 🤺 misses the point. I lost my mom and yes “family plan” or don’t encroach.

It used to be that we had more of a say in our own spaces. I worked at one of those technohells that churn out bs jobs and bs narratives and obviously thinks that govt employees shouldn’t exist and the “evolution” of that is harassing private people and calling that democritization via the deep web?

No that shit leads to harassment complaints and criminal lawsuits where peopel are (like me) not about suing for monetary compensation or theatre or cooperating with a heist or sending ourselves to suicide or prison (which last is the only option if you are not a grifter nor gullible. And you know as awesome as prison/suicide or a strait jacket sound I’d rather risk looking crazy and being unpleasant and it cannot be localised to a few things. That’s the predatory larger worldview that incidentally backs pronatalism over decency).


This used to be the normal reaction to not being a private anon:

https://plork.blogspot.com/2005/09/i-am-become-famous.html?m=1

Sally Squires is a writer, for the Washington Post, about important issues like salt and BMI and her column is called "The Lean Plate Club," but I responded to her email anyway. She wanted to interview me about having a "blog" and what's having a "blog" like and isn't it wacky, this "blog" thing?

So I said sure! Why not? And she called me and I chatted to her about things like community and support and the support of a community and community support, and she sounded very interested in me and all the absolutely fascinating things I had to say, regarding both community and support, and how community, but also support, related to both community and support.

It didn't sound like she had done much reading of my site – she kept mentioning peanut butter cups, which I realized was an entry just one or two below this, so I think she at least skimmed the front page – and she didn't seem to understand the whole "blog" thing, but she seemed very friendly, and amiable, and amenable to the idea, until she asked me how much weight I had lost.

Uh, I said. Er.

And then, she didn't sound too thrilled, because I am not so much a shining example of Weight Loss Success Through That New-Fangled "Blog" Thing, and I get the sense that that was, in part, her "angle," if you will. I think journalists need "angles." The way I need peanut butter cups. Ba dump bump! Cha! I think she also was working the "exciting tips and nutritional ideas from blogs" angle as well, but again – where the hell do I come in, there? My nutritional tips run along the "maybe I shouldn't have eaten those peanut butter cups" line, you know?

I don't know how she found me, and I really couldn't tell you why she still used me in the article. "Blogs are great for losing weight! Except for this chick, who's still really fat!" It doesn't seem to, you know, quite go with her whole theme. I'd have maybe cut out those paragraphs, stuck with the supporting evidence, but what do I know? I am just a "blog" person. In an article in which I didn't belong. Hello, every body!

So there was that, and it was funny, and many people came to see me (hello, everybody!) and then it was reprinted in the LA Times, and more people came to see me (hey! how's it going?) and then it was apparently syndicated in the Calcutta Telegraph (hiya!), as I received an email from Mr. Kumar, whose opinion is that I come across as "Obese & Sad," but still a very nice person, which is so totally the name of my next website, or possibly even the tagline of this one.

And there are also posts floating around from "real" bloggers -- professional bloggers, even [who knew that self-publishing on the internet (where everything you read is totally the truth) was something you could be a professional at? golly! I wonder how much that pays?] who are just as horrified as me that this blog appeared in an article about diet blogs. That's not a real diet blog! That's a horrible and sad excuse for a website! they say. And grind my bones to make their bread. Except they can't eat bread, I think. With the la vida, and all.

Well, they weren't that mean, perhaps, but it was still startling to see myself and my dumb little website called out quite so firmly and dismissively.

But also kind of goofily and missing the pointily - because, you know, I never claimed to be doing anything inspiring, or to be writing a diet blog or a weight loss journal, and I never claimed to be a professional blogger (whatever, really, the fuck that is) – this is a personal site. There's this thing, over in the sidebar? Yeah, that's where I mention something about this just being a personal site, and how this isn't really a site about losing weight. I am not a professional. Don't try this at home. Closed course.

Anyway, my very experience with The Media and also Professional Blogs (ha!) has been itty bitty and tiny, and weird and hilarious, and hello, everybody.

Also, hello, all you people who have been reading all the time through. I think I'm back. Thanks for the kind comments, and for waiting on me.


I don’t know who that woman is but I used to read her blog because she was really funny.

The reason it comes up jn my case is far darker . I am seeing the growth of tech sans regulation…maybe some of it is useful. Maybe it isn’t but it’s hard to tell without any system of trust and when you use my land without permission or public debate or suddenly do it with huge penalties for citizens like me but yet again letting grifting business people take over my space..yeah no.
However this plays out I won’t be exploited again. Irl I am at the borderline between being truly in the black with society but not in the red either and I am sick of parasitic invasive bs pretenses.
I am pretty unhappy with my state for having allowed this and helping with hostage taking by tech cos. But I can resolve it with the state but not predators. It’s not a teaching moment unless I agree and I never agree to anything that takes or took advantage of me.

Just because I can’t sue and exploit trash doesn’t mean the alternative is being a patsy.

These are disingenuous bullshit jobs and openly predatory heavy handed ways that are taking over society. No tech bauble ..a phone! can fix this.
Life is unfair and I try to work against that not join it or be gullible.

Again, this is a deeper conversation than it seems on the surface OkItsMe. So it can seem a bit tangential to what we are talking about but it isn’t.
I can’t do much but I am not signing over my private resources to a bullshit narrative about growth and jobs where these are worthless jobs that shouldn’t exist and they are a drain on my time and money and have been for 14 years.
And my state should regulate industry before it spills further into private residential property. It’s corruption not iminent domain and I am quite clear. And not prone to hostage taking.
But I am not the best person to mess with in my way ;-/.

That’s Soylent Green world already and it has to be reversed in my property and life because it’s a bad idea not to.

In my case nothing is inevitable. There need to be some speed bumps and if you “remove bureaucracy” and pretend it’s for the advancement of science and medicine when it is for these technoleeches that’s not gonna work when you pick the wrong scientists.

FWIW my problems in both America and in my own country had little to do with immigration, race, caste etc-gender some (and not girlboss crap. And I am not a Karen but I am not a doormat). Gender aside it’s amoral, depraved, predatory market forces..my mom died thanks to this. Which fits with the old people shouldn’t exist or work mentality.

Fortunately though I was and am furious with my mentor, his wife was unambiguously a trustworthy adult. He watches TED tech talks so …you can maybe communicate with such people on a timescale of 40 years but not soon. His wife was much nicer. But there if there was no informed consent, at least there were humans some of whom you could trust to be both honest and not stupid. Whereas after j came back there are no humans and there is no informed consent with the rollout of tech I see in many extremely objectionable ways so a serious complaint from my side is by now…inevitable.

OKIsItJustMe

(21,640 posts)
16. OK, there's a lot there, much of which I followed and generally agree with
Fri Aug 22, 2025, 10:57 AM
Friday

I can’t say I’d encountered the “data as oil” concept before, but I understand it. For my own part, I have done my level best to keep my data mine, however, I know too much about databases, and I realize that corporations are not as careful with my data as I am.

“Eminent domain” is a legal tool which can be used for valid reasons. However, it can be and is abused. It seems now, more than ever.

For me, our #1 priority must be restoration of the ecosystem. #2 (selfishly) is survival of my/our species. On the whole, I think we’ve accomplished a number of worthwhile things. We’re not all Beethoven , Rembrandt or Leonardo, but a few of us are. We’ve done a lot of damage to our ecosystem, exploited one another, and our fellow inhabitants. I fear we have signed “Gaia’s" death warrant. This saddens me. We don’t yet know of life elsewhere on other planets. Gaia may be unique.

We were warned decades ago of the likely consequences of our actions. We selfishly chose to ignore them. The impression I get is that by-and-large, we still choose to ignore them, even as they begin to play out around us (perhaps because they are simply too awful for us to acknowledge.)

I used to say, “It’s never too late to make life a little less miserable for future generations.” I’ve begun to question that. Perhaps I was too optimistic.

My point regarding “family planning” is not that it’s a bad thing, however, while the Earth’s population likely should have been kept at a fraction of what it now is, we need to make a dramatic change in a matter of years, not decades. Using a very simplistic model, if everyone stopped having children today, we might expect the Earth’s population to be cut in half in say… 40 years (that’s just not fast enough.) If those remaining people keep producing carbon emissions at the same rate “per capita” as today, that would be too much.

If we used a more realistic plan (like China’s now abandoned "one child policy”) we would expect the population to decline even less rapidly.

So, while better family planning would have been good 70 or 80 years ago, I’m afraid it is not the solution to our current crises.

jfz9580m

(15,822 posts)
17. Well we'll have to agree to disagree -I don't see it as an either or
Fri Aug 22, 2025, 12:00 PM
Friday

And every additional human needs a lot of resources in such a complex society.

I already feel squeezed and I am sick of it.

And selfishly I already am childfree and maxed out with the number of impositions society has imposed on me. I don’t see random humans who want to shop at malls and impose their values on me while undercutting my love of nature etc as a “we”.


I’d like to prioritize my issues and life over an imaginary “we” that is fine with impositions, negligence and maltreatment for stuff I find no value in and never will. People who take credit when anything goes right and want no blame when stuff goes wrong.

So I feel it is selfish to keep treating the childfree like shit as employers and whatever passes for society does across the board. I would like to prioritize my own stuff at least now. I especially have felt that the last 14 years of my life has been about this parasitic leeching away of all my goodwill and I still try but I am really sick of a forced collaboration with people I dislike and distrust thoroughly who always treat my issues or priorities or work or health like trash and force other people’s interests forward at my expense.

I already restrict my consumption. People with more than 2 kids should stop making so many demands of the childfree like me who already give up so much-I am not giving up the last resources I have left. It’s just selfish and I am sick of it. No.

The more I get it the more I view the last 14 years of my life as driven predatory market forces and people who don’t really think sucking away all I have and without the common decency of a minimal explanation that is not a fraudulent. And all with zero support but lots of impositions.

So it is tied to that kind of stuff.

A bit repetitious but these are things that angered me personally and generally.

I am not a martyr -just an ordinary human woman.

OKIsItJustMe

(21,640 posts)
18. I don't think we really disagree on all that much
Fri Aug 22, 2025, 12:24 PM
Friday

Yes, "family planning" is a good thing (it would have been a better thing in the “post-war era”) it simply is not sufficient to address the crises we face (as many seem to believe it is.)

There is no one solution, if “we” are to survive, it will require several orchestrated solutions.

jfz9580m

(15,822 posts)
19. I agree with that
Fri Aug 22, 2025, 12:33 PM
Friday

I try to suppress personal frustrations that are melding with big picture ones. I suppress them more than not but sometimes I let them escape these days. ;-/

Largely I keep it impersonal when I can..but we are definitely way entangled and sometimes it wears on me.

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