No El Nino, But 2025 On Track To Be One Of Three Hottest Years On Record; July Was The Third-Hottest July Ever

July 2025 was Earth’s third-warmest July in analyses of global weather data going back to 1850, NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information, or NCEI, reported August 12. NASA and the European Copernicus Climate Change Service also rated July 2025 as the third-warmest July on record, behind only 2024 and 2023. Data from the Japan Meteorological Agency and Berkeley Earth were not available at the time of this writing.

Global land areas had their 7th-warmest July on record in 2025, and global oceans had their 3rd-warmest July, according to NOAA. July was the 4th-warmest on record for Asia, tied for the 4th-warmest in Europe, and ranked 8th-warmest in Africa and 9th-warmest in the Caribbean region.

According to NOAA, the year-to-date period (January-July) has been the second-warmest on record for the globe, only 0.10 degrees Celsius (0.18°F) cooler than 2024. Based on statistical patterns drawn from prior monthly and annual data, NOAA is now giving this year a less-than-1% chance of winding up as the warmest year on record, but a greater-than-99% chance of being among the top-five warmest years.

During July, the average temperature in the contiguous U.S. was the 19th-warmest in national data going back to 1895. This is the 11th July in a row that came in warmer than the 20th-century average. It was the hottest July on record for Virginia and West Virginia, and it placed among the ten hottest on record for 20 of the 48 contiguous states, mostly across the South and East. The year-to-date is the 11th-warmest for the contiguous U.S. across 131 years of recordkeeping.

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https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2025/08/july-keeps-the-torrid-pace-going-in-one-of-earths-hottest-years-on-record/