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Coming Wednesday: The 'Super Bowl of jobs reports'

The Labor Department is set to release payroll changes for January in addition to revisions to 2025 data amid broader concerns about the job market.

Emma Ockerman
Tue, February 10, 2026 at 1:47 PM EST • 3 min read

The Labor Department will publish much-anticipated jobs data for January on Wednesday, as well as sweeping revisions to 2025 numbers that could show far fewer new positions were added to the US economy than previously thought.

Private data released last week indicated the labor market remained bruising in January for out-of-work Americans, with little in the way of new jobs. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg estimate a median gain of about 68,000 jobs in January’s report, though the projections varied widely: The highest saw 135,000 more jobs, while the lowest saw a loss of 10,000 roles. The unemployment rate was expected to remain steady at 4.4%.

As for 2025, preliminary data for the 12 months ending in March last year showed 911,000 fewer jobs being created than initially reported. Numbers for that period will be updated Wednesday, in addition to data changes for more recent months, likely leaving a dimmer picture of the 2025 job market.

The government’s monthly employment situation report, which includes both the unemployment rate and payroll growth, was meant to be published last Friday before it was delayed by the brief partial government shutdown. That left market-watchers and economists waiting a few extra days for what Bank of America Global Research dubbed the “Super Bowl of jobs reports” and economist Michael Madowitz of the Roosevelt Institute called #ConspiracyTheoryJobsday.

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