But they aren't moving them all into one district. They're breaking up the district and they will be distributed into many red districts and their votes will be diluted.

For instance, Hispanics swung heavily for Republicans one time last year. That is the only time they ever voted en mass for Republicans. But Republicans are relying ontnhose voters to reinforce their gerrymandered districts. That sounds risky considering the whole.. kidnapping people for being Hispanic, thing. Even if you do not include that, many of these republican incumbents are being weakened to target Dem incumbents. They are making themselves vulnerable to very credible challenges.

Here is the proposed map:

https://thumbnails.texastribune.org/Kytv404tsM1-IakZzykjW58v2uQ=/850x570/smart/filters:format(webp):quality(75)/

Here is the current map with election results from 2024


A few districts will be less red. Instead of 80% GOP, they will now be 75% GOP. The Democrats were moved into safe republican seats, not swing seats. The Republicans would never do that.

snip>

The targets. Here are the Democrats who are most directly in the danger zone.

1) Rep. Henry Cuellar in the Rio Grande Valley (currently the 28th District, although this may change). Thanks to South Texas’ rapid political realignment, Cuellar already represents a seat that Trump won by seven points. It may not get a whole lot worse than that but the longtime Democratic incumbent is also facing federal charges of bribery and money laundering.

2) Rep. Vicente Gonzalez in the Rio Grande Valley (34th District). Just like Cuellar’s district, this seat swung hard to the right in 2024 at the presidential level. Gonzalez survived a tough race in November but his seat is certainly getting redder.

3) Rep. Julie Johnson in the Dallas Metro area (32nd District). Republicans packed this district full of Democrats ahead of the 2022 cycle. Now, they want it back.

4) Reps. Greg Casar (35th District) and Lloyd Doggett (37th District). Casar’s district snakes up Interstate 35 between San Antonio and Austin. Doggett’s is Austin-based. Republicans are eyeing a new red seat in the region and that leaves just one district for Casar and Doggett.

This could be a fascinating primary. Casar, 36, and the youngest ever chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, versus Doggett, the 78-year-old dean of the Texas delegation. Doggett was the first House Democrat to call on President Joe Biden to exit the presidential race in 2024 following his disastrous debate with Trump.

5) Rep. Marc Veasey in the Dallas Metroplex (33rd District). Veasey’s district spans from Fort Worth to Dallas. It’s possible the new map will cut out the Fort Worth part of his district. That doesn’t mean Veasey won’t have a Dallas-based seat to run in, but he’s from Fort Worth. If Veasey retires, Johnson could run in that seat.

There will be a new GOP seat in the greater Houston metropolitan area. But remember: There is a vacant blue seat in Houston because Democratic Rep. Sylvester Turner died on March 5 and the special election to replace him isn’t until November.


https://punchbowl.news/article/campaigns/texas-sized-gamble/

I'll be interested in seeing how it swings there as people see their friends and family continue to be kidnapped by ICE

Link to tweet

Itll be a bigger faux pas than when democrats counted on Arab-American voters to come out in full force despite the Lebanon and Palestine crisis

A lot of people who live along the border work for CBPD, ICE, law enforcement or detention centers. It's a cottage industry for the region. Keep in mind that only citizens can vote and there are not many new citizens down there.

My 1/2 Jewish, 1/2 Latino nephew is now hiding his Jewish identity because Jews are being targeted here by protesters. When I told him that ICE is detaining US citizens he laughed it off as, "Police arrest the wrong people all the time. What's new?"

The Rio Grande Valley is a ranchero type community. (Rural, cowboy, guns, oil etc)

Especially by next year. It'll make a big difference once that number triples or quintuples by next year. They vote. Thats not even counting a potentially highly charismatic with strong coattails.

I kept hearing over and over..."Texas is gonna turn blue because of the Latino population"....Our state chair finally resigned because of his overly optimistic forecasting....He's from the Rio Grande Valley BTW. Trump was a racist his first term. They liked him.

He's not targeting many people in rural areas. He's mostly going after people in urban areas. He's going after Venezuelans and Central Americans. The Rio Grande Valley is Mexican American. They aren't the same. Someone posted a post that said, "Look at Jasmine Crockett volunteering for Search and Rescue in Kerrville". A response was, "That's not her. We don't all look the same".

Get it??? Venezuelans are not Mexican, even though they may look like Mexicans to you. Central Americans are not Mexicans, even though they may look like Mexicans to you. They aren't the same!!!!

Hell im not Latino but am fully aware I look brown enough to be shoved in a car by masked men. Anybody else like me is likely cognizant of the same thing unless they have completely drunk the kool-aid. And their votes will make a difference.

TX won't turn blue because of their Hispanic population. TX will vote blue because they will finally have somebody worthy of flipping it blue for them. It isnt hard to find the right Dem to appeal to MAGA voters. As soon as that happens, TX flips.

I would prefer Gonzales over Roy, however I hate living in CD 23!! At least CD 21 is more compact.