Congress' Obamacare subsidy vote could set off state scramble
Source: Politico
11/16/2025 07:00 AM EST
The nations 20 state Obamacare exchanges appear poised to quickly update premiums if Congress passes a straightforward extension of enhanced subsidies when it votes on the matter next month. But theres another, increasingly likely scenario that could catch them flat-footed. Thats if lawmakers decide to go a different route for example, by paying the subsidies directly to consumers, a plan touted by President Donald Trump, or changing the eligibility rules by adding an income cap, which many conservatives would like to see.
If it is more complex, if they start to change the contribution amounts
that sends us back to the drawing board, said Lindsay Lang, director of Healthcare RI, Rhode Islands Affordable Care Act exchange. That would add time and complexity. As part of a deal to reopen the government earlier this week, the Senate will vote on a subsidy extension by the middle of December. A straightforward extension of the subsidies, which expire at the end of this year, could be calculated within a couple weeks and communicated to consumers, several officials at state exchanges told POLITICO.
But it remains unclear if there will be bipartisan consensus on a deal, let alone a clean extension, or if the House would pass it. Open enrollment began Nov. 1 and will end, depending on the exchange, in mid to late January. The enrollment deadline for the federal exchange, Healthcare.gov, which covers 30 states, is Jan. 15. Consumers must sign up for a plan in mid-to-late December if they want insurance coverage to begin in January.
If Congress hasnt reached a deal that would lower costs by then, they could either pay higher premiums for their preferred plan or pick a plan with less coverage. Some consumers could decide to do without coverage until February to wait and see if a deal is made and then pick a plan in January, or they could drop out altogether. State exchanges, and the exchange run by the District of Columbia, are preparing to update their systems and reach out to affected consumers as speedily as possible about any price change.
Read more: https://www.politico.com/news/2025/11/16/states-prep-for-daunting-task-of-implementing-a-health-subsidy-extension-if-it-comes-00653131
popsdenver
(1,028 posts)Is there any question which way these congressional MAGAots will direct things???????
For one, I still can't believe the Dems voted for the BILL..........It is my belief, that once and for all, them caving on this BILL was the final nail in the coffin.........
MLWR
(672 posts)that everyone in this country is A-OK with we, the People, paying for health insurance for ALL government employees and not getting coverage for ourselves. Every other developed country has universal healthcare EXCEPT us.
popsdenver
(1,028 posts)Along with literally TONS of other inequities and injustices..........
Like Trump proudly said in his pre 2024 election rallies......"I love my un-educated voters...love them, love them, love them"
BumRushDaShow
(163,387 posts)I wish that were the case.
You think that federal employees (or federal retirees like myself), aren't actually paying any health insurance premiums like everyone else?
I'm paying something like $327/month for my BCBS + another $55/month for extra insurance for dental/vision. I just peeped at what is expected for 2026 and the BCBS looks to be going up over $80 more per month to ~$408.
twodogsbarking
(16,776 posts)progree
(12,554 posts)reports to RFK Jr.
The article also says that 20 states have state ACA exchanges.. The other 30 states use healthcare.gov (think of it as DrOz.gov).
The CMS is part of the Department of Health and Human Services that RFK Jr. heads. (so think of it as BrainWorm.gov)
No doubt they will calculate and communicate changes quickly, efficiently, and clearly. (sarc)
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Open enrollment began Nov. 1 and will end, depending on the exchange, in mid to late January. The enrollment deadline for the federal exchange, Healthcare.gov, which covers 30 states, is Jan. 15. Consumers must sign up for a plan in mid-to-late December if they want insurance coverage to begin in January.
The Senate will vote "by the middle of December". It takes 2 weeks to calculate and communicate it (in the best case of a straightforward resumption of the enhanced tax credits) according to state exchange officials. Consumers must sign up for a plan in mid-to-late December if they want insurance coverage to begin in January
I suppose Congress can pass a law declaring December to be double-length (62 days) to make the timeline math work out. Or people will have to "go bare" in January. Or sign up for an unaffordable plan without knowing what the premium will be.
Augustus Caesar decided that August would be 31 days so as not to be surpassed by July's 31 days (July being named after Julius Caesar), according to something I read long ago. So things like this have been done before by strongman governments.
A double-length December will also give the admin time to bring prices down before year end
bluestarone
(20,789 posts)More LIES, LIES, LIES!!! When will Americans see THIS?
angrychair
(11,504 posts)Anything short of "clean extension of subsidies" will fuck healthcare for a majority of the country.
Likely permanently.
Right now the Republicans are playing the role of the kid that had 6 weeks to do a paper and instead decided to play around and then cram all the "writing" (copy and paste) into the weekend before it is due.
Millions will die under any healthcare plan currently proposed by the Republicans but hey no more shutdown.
BigmanPigman
(54,380 posts)I've been waiting to renew my ACA with subsidies($195 a month will increase to $1,200 a month for health insur).
I wanted to ask the Covered CA reps and Blue Shield reps about this issue, would I get a refund? Should I wait? This stress is killing me....fuck tRump and his team of greedy, psychopathic liars and sadists.