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BumRushDaShow

(160,228 posts)
Fri Sep 12, 2025, 04:55 PM Friday

Consumer sentiment worsens as some economists warn of 'stagflation'

Source: ABC News

September 12, 2025, 10:35 AM


Consumer sentiment dampened in September, extending a decline from the previous month as government data showed a hiring slowdown alongside an uptick of inflation, prompting concern about an economic double-whammy called "stagflation." The reading came in lower than economists expected.

The two-month downturn in shopper attitudes resumes a decline that took hold after Trump took office, University of Michigan Survey data on Friday showed. At its low point, consumer sentiment fell close to its worst level since a bout of inflation three years ago. The measure remains below where it stood in December, before Trump took office.

Year-ahead inflation expectations held steady from August at 4.8%, the data showed. The outcome anticipated by respondents would put inflation well above its current level of 2.9%. Long-run inflation expectations ticked up for the second consecutive month, data showed.

The report arrived a day after an inflation reading showed an uptick in price increases in August as President Donald Trump's tariff policy intensified. Inflation stands at its highest level since January, though it remains less than a percentage point higher than the Federal Reserve's target rate of 2%.

Read more: https://abcnews.go.com/Business/consumer-sentiment-worsens-economists-warn-stagflation/story?id=125509868



Link to University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment REPORT - Preliminary Results for September 2025
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Consumer sentiment worsens as some economists warn of 'stagflation' (Original Post) BumRushDaShow Friday OP
With entrenched and ignorant people moniss Friday #1
We're Not Buying Anything We Don't Have To Buy OC375 Friday #2
And inflation is heating up. 3 month average, annualized: 3.5% (3.6% for the core CPI) progree Friday #3
Graph of Consumer Sentiment and link to other charts progree Friday #4
Sad OC375 Friday #5
Stagflation? Hah, if you are lucky! Aussie105 Saturday #6

moniss

(8,082 posts)
1. With entrenched and ignorant people
Fri Sep 12, 2025, 06:06 PM
Friday

in the WH doing economic policy things look like they are heading downhill at a quickening pace. These people are the kind that take the approach of denying a problem rather than admitting a problem and addressing it realistically and effectively.

OC375

(274 posts)
2. We're Not Buying Anything We Don't Have To Buy
Fri Sep 12, 2025, 06:56 PM
Friday

I don't trust that the rules won't change on any given thing 5 minutes from now. We could spend money, and there are things we'd like to have or do or replace, but we feel saving it is the better move for now. It probably doesn't help the economy, but there you have it.

progree

(12,316 posts)
3. And inflation is heating up. 3 month average, annualized: 3.5% (3.6% for the core CPI)
Fri Sep 12, 2025, 08:31 PM
Friday

Last edited Sat Sep 13, 2025, 12:54 PM - Edit history (1)

The CPI rise averaged 3.5% over the past 3 months on an annualized basis (core CPI: 3.6%)

The August one month increase annualized is: CPI: 4.7%, (core CPI: 4.2%)

CPI graphs galore, all on an annualized basis for comparing to each other and to the Fed's 2% target.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/10143528031#post12

The outcome anticipated by respondents would put inflation well above its current level of 2.9%.


That 2.9% is a 12-month average -- half the data is over 6 months old, too old for me since I am concerned with RECENT inflation, not museum data. Edited to add: 5/12 (42%) of the data were in Biden months. I just don't judge RECENT inflation by an average that is 42% Biden's numbers.

progree

(12,316 posts)
4. Graph of Consumer Sentiment and link to other charts
Fri Sep 12, 2025, 08:43 PM
Friday

Last edited Fri Sep 12, 2025, 11:25 PM - Edit history (1)

https://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/

Other charts: https://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/charts



It's not a big nose-dive from last month like some media narratives make it out to be. But it's mighty low.

There's also a 50 year version of the chart at the above /charts link for a longer perspective

Aussie105

(7,206 posts)
6. Stagflation? Hah, if you are lucky!
Sat Sep 13, 2025, 12:48 AM
Saturday

With other countries given the heebie-jeebies by US tariffs and looking to trade much more with others, stagflation is a certainty, and it might deepen to something far worse.

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