Illinois should be easy, but Newsom is right: Get going NOW!

and there are 11 (D)s & 3 (R)s. In NY, there are currently 19 (D)s and 7(R)s.

For other blue states - in NJ, there are 9 (D)s & 3 (R)s, in WA, there are 8 (D)s & 2 (R)s, in MD, there 7 (D)s & 1 (R), in OR, there are 5 (D)s & 1 (R), and CO has a split of 4 (D)s & 4 (R)s.

For other blue states - ALL 9 of MA's Reps. are (D)s as are ALL 5 of CT's, ALL 3 of NM's, and BOTH of RI's, ME's, and HI's. DE's at-large is a (D).

NH's are both (D)s but like VT, whose at-large is a (D), the governors are (R)s.

The only other bigger states with a (semi-) motherlode of Reps. are those that are purple with either a (D) governor & (R) (or split) legislature or a (R) governor and a (D) (or split) legislature. E.g., PA, VA, AZ, MI, MN, NC & WI.

(you sent me down the rabbithole!!! )

There's no gold mine of available seats that we can pick up when compared to TX/OH/FL and the two states (LA and ?) that may get to draw out one minority majority district depending on how and when SCOTUS rules.

IL might be able to squeeze one more seat out... but those three remaining red districts are very red... and they're surrounded by relatively competitive blue seats that can't afford to give up much strength.

The more I look at it... the more Newsom's statement ("Right now forget the talking; it’s not about press. It’s time to move. You got to move" ) looks like it IS about the press. Because he keeps calling on states to do something... that are not in a posiiton to do something.

rather than maybe researching the playing field and thinking more broadly and outside of the box?

Many of the seats that Democrats lost in 2022 and 2024 were close races.

Things have changed since 2024 - and particularly in states like mine where we already have "fair maps" but could actually pick up the seats we lost in 2024 and even flip one that was very close in 2024 and has been (R) for many years (PA-10 - at least the area where PA-10 is now since it was renumbered/redrawn in 2018, with the criminal Scott Perry in there now, and where he won by only 5,500 votes) - https://ballotpedia.org/Pennsylvania%27s_10th_Congressional_District_election,_2024

The effort was put into "researching the playing field," and the result was that many are far too optimistic about the chances of gains through redistricting that are more than what the red states seem to be poised for.

As for the remaining content - I don't think we'll have much disagreement there, but it's entirely distinct from the redistricting conversation. Of course we expect the actual electoral forces to shift in our favor. It's a mid-term election when the other party controls all the levers. We're supposed to pick up ground in that case.

As for super close republican pick ups... the same thing happened in the other direction. Look at mutiple pickups in CA last November. Some took weeks to call they were so close... and we won all of them.

since the Gov has no role. On the plus side they at best could get only one seat from NC. the problem is that IL might give us one more seat. NY and CA are the only places with many seats and it isn't all that many.

the governor has no role here. The reason they can't get very many, actually only one, seats is math. The Dems hold four seats in NC, three are plus double digits (17,23,34) while one is R plus 1. But the GOP could redistrict tomorrow, in point of fact they did redistrict last year, but there is no mathematical point for them to do so. Stein can't stop them.

so we'll lose either way. And either way, the blue states will have lost a bunch of time/money/resources in the attempt.

We need to do it anyway, just to show some backbone, but I"m not optimistic about the result.

and/or state law, the SCOTUS has generally waved challenges away. That happened twice here in PA when we redistricted based on the state Constitution in 2018 & in 2020 (after the census) - even when our state Supreme Court threw out all the proposed maps and actually drew the lines themselves!

It seems that the SCOTUS WILL get involved if there is redistricting based on federal laws like the Voting Rights Act, which they seem to be on the precipice of torpedoing.

the Republicans don't plan on coming back to traditional methods. The game has changed, and if the Democrats don't adjust to the changing rules, we'll lose everything.

This is only an opening gambit.

I believe it has to be voted on two sessions consecutively. I’m not sure what other requirements are, but it definitely can’t be done by the midterms.

and their regular session is January - June but they indicate that it "could change" - https://nyassembly.gov/leg/calendar/

MEANING they could maybe call a special session now (if that is permitted) as an extension of their 2025 schedule (and as a note - PA has been doing that right now to try to deal with the Philly metro area transit mess), then they could pass something NOW at that session and have it counted for the 2025 FY, and then come January for their 2026 session, pass it again as their 2nd (consecutive) affirmation of it, and prepare for the 2026 election.

The people still can't vote on the amendment until the 2026 general election, which leaves the 2028 election as the first time that new lines could be effective.

which in NY is usually "late" compared to other states (i.e., late summer/early fall before the general election).

I know many states, including PA, will put referendums on the ballot during primaries (and the GOP does that in their states because they know it's a low turnout event).

The vote has to be at the next general election. It also couldn't work during a primary because the primary is how you select the candidates who will run in each district (which wouldn't exist at that point).

CA is far more flexible with how they amend their constitution... which is why they do it so often. I doubt that NY's courts would allow an amendment that had actual lines in it. It would have to amend the constitution to allow the legislature to draw the lines... and then the legislature would have to wait for it to pass.

the Legislature can pass whatever they want to "change the rules".

And if there is something in the state Constitution that specifies redistricting, then there are 2 ways to amend that - https://www.albanylaw.edu/government-law-center/amending-nys-constitution

On edit - now that I re-read your reply... why argue that they could get this done before 2028 when your own link says they're in the process of targeting the 2028 election cycle?

If they do go with a "convention", there there doesn't seem to have requirement for "2 legislative sessions".

And since we are "early" in this process, there may be other intentions/wording planned for it to be in effect for 2026 (like I mentioned - they did it between 2022 & 2024).

"We" don't know unless "WE" (ahem) go do some further searching for that rather than being so declarative about what the plans are and not even linking to anything definitive.

Why do you assume that if you don’t know something “we” haven’t researched it and don’t know?

The governor of the state had made clear that she wants to move forward as soon as possible but that there is no way to redraw the lines for the 2026 election. Why not just assume that she knows what she’s talking about if you don’t want to accept my opinion?


For the record - the second option involves the state legislature calling for a convention… then the voters have to approve (they’ve rejected the last three 20-yr votes)… then the convention convenes in April… then there has to be another vote of the people at least six weeks after the convention ends (the last one took six months)… and if it passes the constitution is amended as of January of the following year.

So again… no way to change the lines in NY for the 2026 election.

and 2nd process is what you have been referencing and is the "2 legislative sessions", which is longer.

You have been the one dismissing that she could anything at all despite her remarks in the media saying otherwise.

Here is the NY Senate draft - https://www.nysenate.gov/legislation/bills/2025/S8467

Where are your links?

NY is one of 37 states that give govs that power. All to the better if having a quorum isn't a problem.

Just goes to show what you hear on youTube is not always accurate. I verified what you posted with chatGPT and it said you were correct and that Gov. Hochul is looking into calling a special session. I hope NY does this! I'm in NY1 and I hate my stupid rep LaLota. His town hall was a joke (only over the phone) and all answers to questions were canned horseshit (also only 5 questions).

I wouldn't touch ANY "AI" thing with a million foot pole!

I try to go to the "original source".

But as with anything, it's only as valid as its sources.
I do a lot of programming, and I can't begin to explain what a time saver AI is, lol. I really love it. I also had 4 rides in a Waymo and it was totally amazing. If the future weren't so scary, I'd be looking forward to it.

and there are too many pathways that could send it off on a tangent (unfortunately). It needs some serious guardrails and safety valves. I consider it a glorified Siri.

...