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BumRushDaShow

(160,177 posts)
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 05:17 AM Aug 5

California moves to dismantle GOP map -- and Trump's grip

Source: Politico

08/04/2025 06:52 PM EDT


California’s Texas-thwarting gerrymander has swiftly transformed from fantasy to reality. Democrats in the House and the state Legislature are coalescing around a plan to draw a half-dozen Republican incumbents into oblivion — and persuade California voters to approve the new congressional maps before next year’s midterms.

Party leaders are closely tracking the dual-track developments in which lawmakers in Texas and California are moving, in partisan parallel, to shore up their respective party’s House majorities. California Republicans are casting about for a way to avoid extinction. It all points to a high-stakes, big-dollar brawl thrusting California to the center of the political universe.

“Legally, we can do it,” said Xavier Becerra, a Democratic gubernatorial candidate and former Biden Cabinet secretary who is working with a voting rights institute that has briefed lawmakers. “Politically, we must do it.”

It could result in as many as five new blue seats and Democrats holding all but four of California’s 52 congressional districts, according to a slide presented to members of Congress and viewed by POLITICO. That analysis tracks with the presentation to Democrats in Sacramento, which envisioned forcing out GOP incumbents including Reps. David Valadao, Kevin Kiley and Darrell Issa.

Read more: https://www.politico.com/news/2025/08/04/california-fires-back-at-texas-redistricting-00493314



Issa's seat should be #1 to be dissolved!
34 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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California moves to dismantle GOP map -- and Trump's grip (Original Post) BumRushDaShow Aug 5 OP
GO, BADASS CALIFORNIA! ancianita Aug 5 #1
Good, they must be stopped Hornedfrog2000 Aug 5 #2
The media is going to drive me crazy. Yesterday, on NBC, the woman filling in for Alex Nitwit went on and on Vinca Aug 5 #3
When are Republicans EVER asked to take the high ground? dlk Aug 5 #5
There is no moral high ground visible except as it's being revealed on the streets and in the fields of California. Magoo48 Aug 5 #11
This orangecrush Aug 5 #30
I love Michelle Obama to dearh, but Oeditpus Rex Aug 5 #23
When they go low... ZDU Aug 5 #28
Drawing such a map now makes it less likely that it will get approved FBaggins Aug 5 #4
Could be AverageOldGuy Aug 5 #6
Of course it is a threat, but it needs to be more than CA and TX and more than 2026 Bluetus Aug 5 #9
I love the idea of the federal legislation on redistricting... SickOfTheOnePct Aug 5 #10
In 2010, there were only a couple of states that had a non-partisan process for districts Bluetus Aug 5 #14
California has an independent commission SickOfTheOnePct Aug 5 #15
That is not what the Princeton survey says. Bluetus Aug 5 #24
It says "Better than average with some bias"... SickOfTheOnePct Aug 5 #25
NY Governor Hochul needs to get right on this, as well dlk Aug 5 #7
Gerrymandering is not cheating SickOfTheOnePct Aug 5 #8
I dispute your claim that California is more gerrymandered than Texas. sdfernando Aug 5 #13
A non-partisan board that drew districts... SickOfTheOnePct Aug 5 #16
Seems like you are implying the non-partisan board is actually partisan sdfernando Aug 5 #17
You believe they are actually non-partisan SickOfTheOnePct Aug 5 #18
In the last national election, 2024, 3 California congressional districts flipped from red to blue. sdfernando Aug 5 #21
If you look at voter registration by party affiliation LogDog75 Aug 5 #32
There are degrees of gerrymandering to be considered dlk Aug 6 #34
Anything that rids of Issa is a go in my book! /nt sdfernando Aug 5 #12
Took the words right out of my mouth!!! AZ8theist Aug 5 #19
I agree1 LogDog75 Aug 5 #33
You never play fair with cheaters and unilaterally disarm DSandra Aug 5 #20
Newsom is fighting! pattyloutwo Aug 5 #22
We need to play hardball. This is a turning point bucolic_frolic Aug 5 #26
Why not eliminate hildegaard28 Aug 5 #27
I'm feeling blue already. usonian Aug 5 #29
Paging other Blue States... Chasstev365 Aug 5 #31

Vinca

(52,687 posts)
3. The media is going to drive me crazy. Yesterday, on NBC, the woman filling in for Alex Nitwit went on and on
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 07:47 AM
Aug 5

about how Democrats could possibly keep the high ground if we do the same thing. Screw the high ground. When we play nice, they stab us in the back . . . and the front . . . and the side. No more.

dlk

(12,936 posts)
5. When are Republicans EVER asked to take the high ground?
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 07:54 AM
Aug 5

When are Republicans EVER held accountable for their destructive policies? And last, why is it always Democrats’ job to clean up Republicans messes?

There is a glaring double standard.

Magoo48

(6,608 posts)
11. There is no moral high ground visible except as it's being revealed on the streets and in the fields of California.
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 10:22 AM
Aug 5

Tactical high ground is the objective now. We repel fascism or freedom is lost.

Oeditpus Rex

(42,734 posts)
23. I love Michelle Obama to dearh, but
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 08:54 PM
Aug 5

when she said "When they go low, we go high," I wanted to throw up.

I've been saying since 2004 we've got to play it like they they do. "High ground" doesn't win elections.

FBaggins

(28,431 posts)
4. Drawing such a map now makes it less likely that it will get approved
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 07:51 AM
Aug 5

This is what makes me think that the whole effort is an attempt to get TX to back down.

The path that’s more likely to result in an actual map change is to look more measured and then draw new lines after the voters actually approve it. But by then TX will be done and gone. They want to scare republicans in TX while the quorum is still busted and the course might change.

AverageOldGuy

(2,954 posts)
6. Could be
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 08:11 AM
Aug 5

Your scenario makes a lot of sense. However -- as I suspect you know -- these are not normal times!!!

I applaud the California action because it's the first time I can recall Democrats showing a backbone since FDR's 1936 speech in Madison Square Garden:

They are unanimous in their hate for me—and I welcome their hatred.


While that line is the most quoted, we all should read the entire speech -- sounds as though it was written today.
https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/address-madison-square-garden-new-york-city-1

Bluetus

(1,544 posts)
9. Of course it is a threat, but it needs to be more than CA and TX and more than 2026
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 09:55 AM
Aug 5

Last edited Tue Aug 5, 2025, 11:55 AM - Edit history (1)

I trust that Newsom, Pritzker, Hochul and some other strong Blue Governors are coordinating on this. The immediate goal is to scare Texas (and any other Red state considering additional gerrymandering ) to stand down immediately.

The media loves this kind of conflict, so Dems should take advantage of this by framing a position like:

Democrats want FAIR elections without ANY Gerrymandering. We want the people to pick their representatives, not the representatives to pick their people. But if states like Texas persist in rigging the districts to cut the people out of our democracy, Democrats will have no choice but to fight fire with fire. We are working on provisional plans to introduce gerrymandering in our states to offset the rigging that has already been done in Republican states. Across the country, we are developing plans that are likely to gerrymander about 20 Congressional districts from Red to Blue -- a swing of 40 seats in the House. We will put these plans on hold under three conditions:
1) That Texas and any other Red state immediately stop plans for any further gerrymandering leading to the 2026 mid-terms
2) Nationwide, all states agree to no further redistricting prior to the next census
3) We work toward national legislation to de-politicize redistricting, with these plans in place in 50 states before the next census

We need BOLD ideas. The media is paying attention. Don't let this opportunity escape.

SickOfTheOnePct

(8,463 posts)
10. I love the idea of the federal legislation on redistricting...
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 10:10 AM
Aug 5

...and I'm all behind blue states going tit-for-tat with Texas in this instance, but I do wish Democrats would stop talking about gerrymandering leading to unfair elections and that we don't like it.

Of course we do - when you look at who voted for Democrats and Republicans in the 2024 House election v. the seats of each in the states, we have some of the most gerrymandered states out there. And I get it, that's the way the game is played, but it's just intellectually dishonest to continue to act like we don't gerrymander too.

Bluetus

(1,544 posts)
14. In 2010, there were only a couple of states that had a non-partisan process for districts
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 12:00 PM
Aug 5

Now there are about a half-dozen more and EVERY ONE of the new ones is a blue state. There aren't any of the big red states that have moved to a non-partisan system.

Democrats are not perfect, but we are a lot closer to the democratic ideals than the GOP (Guarding Old Pedophiles).

SickOfTheOnePct

(8,463 posts)
15. California has an independent commission
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 12:28 PM
Aug 5

Yet if you look at the numbers and the map itself, it heavily favors Democrats.

It is what it is.

Bluetus

(1,544 posts)
24. That is not what the Princeton survey says.
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 08:54 PM
Aug 5

That's just one data point, and I don't know how reliable it is, but Princeton says there is no bias in the CA system. They say the same thing about IN, and I know for certain that is not true.

https://gerrymander.princeton.edu/

SickOfTheOnePct

(8,463 posts)
25. It says "Better than average with some bias"...
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 09:21 PM
Aug 5

...which to me, is obvious, not just by the numbers, but also by shapes of the districts in California.

And they say IN is good, which i also disagree with, and the MD is better than average with some bias, which I also don't agree with.

This is why I've come around to a enacting a federal law that says how every state will do redistricting.

dlk

(12,936 posts)
7. NY Governor Hochul needs to get right on this, as well
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 08:23 AM
Aug 5

Republicans mean business and so should Democrats, if we are to ever take our country back from the clutches of fascism. If not, the worst is yet to come, guaranteed.

As long as the Supreme Court turns a blind eye to partisan gerrymandering, we don’t have much of a choice. Republicans cheat to win and Democrats must play hardball.

SickOfTheOnePct

(8,463 posts)
8. Gerrymandering is not cheating
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 08:37 AM
Aug 5

Yes, Texas is being incredibly blatant in what they're doing, but for us to act like Democrats don't gerrymander is kind of silly.

When looking at House votes in 2024, California is already more gerrymandered than Texas - what Texas is doing will put them on about equal footing. That doesn't mean that California shouldn't respond and gerrymander even more, but this idea that somehow Republicans have been playing the gerrymander game while Democrats have kept the so-called high ground isn't really factually based.

sdfernando

(5,901 posts)
13. I dispute your claim that California is more gerrymandered than Texas.
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 11:26 AM
Aug 5

Its simply NOT true.

1st of all, California's current congressional districts are a result of a NON-PARTISAN board that draws the districts, unlike Texas.

A simple google search will bear this out. This article is from 2024:

https://www.newsweek.com/map-shows-most-gerrymandered-states-wisconsin-1915098

SickOfTheOnePct

(8,463 posts)
16. A non-partisan board that drew districts...
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 12:45 PM
Aug 5

...such that Democrats get ~61% of the votes in House races in 2024 but win ~83% of the House seats, a 22% delta, which is more than three times the delta in Texas (as currently drawn), where Republicans got ~59% of the votes and ~66% of the seats.

As I said, that's the way the game is played, and there is no reason Democrats shouldn't play it as well or better than Republicans. But let's not act like we're really against it but the Republicans give us no choice.

sdfernando

(5,901 posts)
17. Seems like you are implying the non-partisan board is actually partisan
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 01:04 PM
Aug 5

this is not the case.

California uses a nonpartisan Citizens Redistricting Commission (CRC) to draw the boundaries for its congressional, state legislative (Senate and Assembly), and Board of Equalization districts.

Here's how the system works:

Establishment and Authority:
The CRC was established by California voters through two ballot measures: the Voters First Act (Proposition 11) in 2008 for state legislative and Board of Equalization districts, and the Congressional Voters First Act (Proposition 20) in 2010 which extended the commission's authority to include Congressional districts.
These acts transferred the power to draw district lines from the state Legislature to this independent, nonpartisan commission.

Commission Structure and Selection:
The CRC consists of 14 members: five Democrats, five Republicans, and four members not affiliated with either of those two parties.
The commissioners are selected through a rigorous process designed to ensure their independence, starting with an application process handled by the California State Auditor.
Candidates are vetted, narrowed down, and eventually, the initial eight commissioners are randomly selected. These eight then select the remaining six, according to CalMatters.

Redistricting Process and Criteria:
Every ten years, after the federal census, the CRC redraws the district lines to reflect changes in population.
The commission's process emphasizes transparency and public input, involving extensive public hearings and the collection of comments from citizens across the state.
The districts must be drawn in accordance with strict, nonpartisan criteria outlined in the state constitution, including ensuring equal population, complying with the Voting Rights Act, maintaining geographic contiguity and compactness, preserving communities of interest, and keeping city and county lines intact.
Importantly, the CRC is forbidden from drawing districts to benefit a party or candidate, or considering the addresses of incumbents or candidates.

sdfernando

(5,901 posts)
21. In the last national election, 2024, 3 California congressional districts flipped from red to blue.
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 01:55 PM
Aug 5

The last congressional redistricting was done in 2021, so the 2022 House election still had those 3 red districts that flipped in 2024. Same districts and borders. Population within districts changed and peoples attitudes changed. The changes weren't due to gerrymandering.

LogDog75

(855 posts)
32. If you look at voter registration by party affiliation
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 11:42 PM
Aug 5

You'll see the following statewide percentages:

Democratic: 45.27%
republican: 25.22%
No party preference (aka: Independents): 22.34%
Other parties: 7.16%
https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/ror/ror-odd-year-2025/historical-reg-stats.pdf

There are two factors that account for the Democrats having 43 Democrats in Congress:
1. They have the 10,367,321 registered voters to republicans 5,776,356. In most of the Democratic districts people live in heavily populated areas along the coast from the Bay area to the Mexican border whereas republican districts in the Northern, Central, and Eastern part of the state which tend to be rural.

2. Like most Congressional districts, voters tend to reelect their Congressional representatives. Therefore, Democrats may represent a Red Congressional district and vice versa. Incumbency has a built in advantage.

California has an independent redistricting commission consisting of five Democrats, five republicans, and four independents. Any registered voter can submit an application to be on the commission. Considering both the Democrats and republicans have equal representation, neither can gerrymander the state. That's why there are four independent commissioners to prevent that from happening.

Any talk that there is gerrymandering in California is simply regurgitating republican talking points (lies).

dlk

(12,936 posts)
34. There are degrees of gerrymandering to be considered
Wed Aug 6, 2025, 12:35 PM
Aug 6

Maps should be drawn fairly, according to population numbers, everywhere. That would be democracy.

DSandra

(1,680 posts)
20. You never play fair with cheaters and unilaterally disarm
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 01:46 PM
Aug 5

Republican politicians should never be treated fairly, they are essentially like the Orcs of Lord of the Rings and see niceness as weakness.

You never unilaterally disarm with them as well, as they are at war with you and exploit any opening they get.

hildegaard28

(780 posts)
27. Why not eliminate
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 09:30 PM
Aug 5

All Republican majority districts. No reason to let them have any power at all. All they do is abuse it.

usonian

(20,500 posts)
29. I'm feeling blue already.
Tue Aug 5, 2025, 09:46 PM
Aug 5

The next county over flipped blue all on its own in the most recent election.

Hey, Trump.

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