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WarGamer

(18,954 posts)
Tue Jun 30, 2026, 11:50 AM Tuesday

The REAL winner in the US-Iran war... OMAN!! Iran only controls "half" the Strait.

By international law, Iran can't stop Oman from allowing commercial access to it's own waters... and the US and European Allies are open to defending free passage in Omani waters.

Iran is the whiner who whined too much.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jun/29/oman-safe-reopening-strait-hormuz-iran-us-middle-east

For Iran, losing the strait card would mean returning to negotiations on prewar terms and losing an important strategic tool. At a news conference in Baghdad the Iranian foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, said: “Any attempt to adopt new or separate arrangements from those currently being pursued by the Islamic Republic will only lead to further complications, delays in reopening the strait of Hormuz and an increase in tensions.”

But the row over the southern route – likely to be discussed in talks in Doha – has the potential to overshadow the search for a long-term solution to the management of the strait – a solution that has been worked up in considerable legal detail by Oman over the past two months. The plan has been crafted with the aim of meeting the requirements of international law and also securing Iran’s eventual support.

But Oman, a neutral nation by temperament and practice, is in a delicate diplomat spot. It knows that if it ignores Iran’s objections, Tehran is less likely to agree to Oman’s plan for the future of the strait. But if Oman does not take the initiative in helping the humanitarian operation to release thousands of trapped sailors, the less likely it is that its proposals for the strait will be accepted by the region or by the UN – and the more likely it is the US will return to all-out war.


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