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3_Limes

(630 posts)
Fri Jun 26, 2026, 07:34 AM Yesterday

IMHO theres a real chance we're in a shooting war in Iran by the end of the year.

It seems clear to me that Netanyahu's current strategy is to force Trump back to a military solution to the jam he's gotten us in to by preventing a diplomatic solution from working. Israel has a lot of leverage here and I expect every bit to capitalized on. Having us "finish the job" brings nothing but up side for their agenda. So why wouldn't they push hard for it ? Looks to me like there's a high probability for success.

Am I being alarmist? Or is this a likely scenario?

11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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hookaleft

(1,400 posts)
1. Don't know. But I hope not
Fri Jun 26, 2026, 07:37 AM
Yesterday

They would have to commit to troops on the ground. There would be hell to pay here in the US

3_Limes

(630 posts)
4. Yeah. It would be ugly.
Fri Jun 26, 2026, 08:02 AM
Yesterday

Very similar to Russia in Afghanistan but with advanced drones that we don't yet have effective defenses for. So, worse.

And the whole new generation of war-hardened and tecu-savy terrorists that would come out of it. They'll be visiting us at intervals for the next few decades, no matter how the war comes out.

What a mess, huh?

LymphocyteLover

(10,430 posts)
5. there would be hell to pay but this administration seems strangely immune to public opinion
Fri Jun 26, 2026, 08:13 AM
Yesterday

LymphocyteLover

(10,430 posts)
2. Yeah, I've been saying this for a while. Because there is never going to be an acceptable peace deal
Fri Jun 26, 2026, 07:41 AM
Yesterday

for Israel or even US Congress with the current US clowns negotiating

walkingman

(11,302 posts)
3. I am already against the next war ☮
Fri Jun 26, 2026, 07:53 AM
Yesterday

If not Iran, somewhere else for sure.....The US military is the biggest public employer in the world. It needs to spread 247 propaganda constantly, so nobody questions its existence or expense. The goal of the DoD used to be to “deter war and to protect the security of our country.” Now, it is “to defend the security of our country and sustain American influence abroad”.

LymphocyteLover

(10,430 posts)
6. they keep talking about invading Cuba, which is both insane but would also be a relief in some ways given how much
Fri Jun 26, 2026, 08:14 AM
Yesterday

the people there are suffering under the ongoing embargo

walkingman

(11,302 posts)
7. How about we just help our neighbor and stop being a bully? This constant internal and external
Fri Jun 26, 2026, 09:29 AM
Yesterday

war against anyone that we perceive as a threat against our far-right populism (I prefer the word facism) is subject to not only economic suppression but military intervention.

Exhausted of our "exceptionalism" - the older I get, the worse it becomes.

LymphocyteLover

(10,430 posts)
9. Seriously!!! This administration is committing a crime against humanity by starving Cuba!!!
Fri Jun 26, 2026, 03:10 PM
18 hrs ago

Obama tried to normalize relations with Cuba after so long and fucking Shitler shut it down in his first term.

malaise

(299,611 posts)
8. Worry more about the shooting war in your backyard
Fri Jun 26, 2026, 09:52 AM
Yesterday

He is desperate on steroids.
That is all

maxsolomon

(39,430 posts)
10. By the end of the year?
Fri Jun 26, 2026, 03:15 PM
18 hrs ago

The negotiating period is only 60 days.

More aerial assaults? Sure. But the Dotard doesn't have the appetite for an actual invasion of a nation of 90 million Muslims, so no way.

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