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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums3 grocery staples that are about to skyrocket in price next month
If your grocery bill feels heavier lately, you're not imagining it. Food prices are expected to rise in 2026, with the USDA's February 25 forecast projecting a general increase of roughly 3.1 percent across all food categories. That broad number, though, can mask dramatic spikes in specific aisles. Prices are projected to increase fastest for sugar and sweets, beef and veal, and non-alcoholic beverages compared to other food-at-home categories. For shoppers trying to plan ahead, the three items below deserve a closer look before next month's checkout.
1. Beef - A Supply Crisis Decades in the Making
The U.S. cattle inventory has hit a 75-year low, tightening supplies and driving higher beef prices and market volatility. According to the USDA's January 2026 inventory report, the total number of cattle and calves in the United States stands at just 86.2 million head - the smallest national herd in 75 years - and the beef cow herd has dwindled to 27.6 million head, its lowest point since 1961. This crisis began years ago with persistent droughts in the Southern Plains and was worsened by high interest rates throughout 2024 and 2025, which forced many ranchers to sell off heifers rather than retain them for breeding.
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2. Coffee - Tariffs and Drought Squeeze America's Morning Ritual
Prices for non-alcoholic beverages, including coffee, had increased by 1.6 percent from December 2025 to January 2026 and were 4.5 percent higher than in January 2025, with the USDA noting that prices were rising faster than the 20-year historical rate - partly because of the surge in coffee prices. The story behind that surge has two main chapters: weather and trade policy. A severe drought during Brazil's last summer season devastated the harvest - and Brazil is the world's top coffee producer, supplying roughly 40 percent of global volume. Vietnam, the world's second-largest supplier, was also hit by a drought that caused coffee production to fall by roughly a fifth in 2024.
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3. Sugar and Sweets - The Biggest Price Hike on the Shelf
According to the USDA's report, the grocery items that will likely go up the most in 2026 are sugar and sweets. Prices for these groceries were already 5.7 percent higher in January 2026 than in January 2025, with candy and chewing gum experiencing the largest hikes, and the USDA predicted that prices for sugar and sweets will rise by 6.7 percent in 2026 - with a prediction interval as high as 10.2 percent. That would more than double the historical average increase of around 3.1 percent for the category. This makes sugar and sweets the single fastest-rising food category tracked in the USDA's Food Price Outlook.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/3-grocery-staples-that-are-about-to-skyrocket-in-price-next-month/ar-AA1Zso09
bucolic_frolic
(55,180 posts)And I'm seeing changes at my east coast regional foreign-owned full service supermarket. They're dropping some imports from sale - removing them as an offering - and dropping prices slightly on some domestic items. Consumers are squeezed and cutting non-nutritious items.
Meanwhile the price of bananas fluctuates. Went up 20% with tariffs, now some have dropped it back 5 or 10 cents, then added 3 cents back on. I think it's a price war more than a tariff issue at this point in time.
Coffee? Tea has been no slouch on inflation list either.
Ocelot II
(130,572 posts)Guess I'll have to cut out.... food.
OldBaldy1701E
(11,176 posts)That the reason I drink coffee is to keep the world safe.
I guess they don't want to be safe anymore.
niyad
(132,508 posts)OldBaldy1701E
(11,176 posts)Dave says
(5,427 posts)LoisB
(13,044 posts)Igel
(37,541 posts)Heretick.
multigraincracker
(37,665 posts)Response to Ocelot II (Reply #2)
multigraincracker This message was self-deleted by its author.
Celerity
(54,448 posts)here is a good list for people who live in the US:
The Best Teas Weve Tasted
https://www.nytimes.com/wirecutter/reviews/best-teas/
https://archive.li/2hAym

Tea is part of a daily routine for billions of people who drink it for pleasure, comfort, and health benefits. Whether youre someone who likes to start the day with a cup of black tea and milk or drink herbal tisane before bed, few things are more disappointing than a stale, flavorless bag from the back of your cupboard, or worse, a tea that has the artificial flavoring of a cheap candle. After polling the obsessive tea drinkers on staff and scouring online tea communities, we tasted a lineup of teas from across the globe. Here are the ones that we couldnt stop drinking.
Fortnum & Mason, a London department store that opened its doors in 1707, has been making its Royal Blend black tea since 1902, when it was first created for King Edward VII. A blend of Assam and pekoe, this tea featured everything a black tea should have: a rich, golden amber color and a smooth, almost smoky flavor with a welcome acidity on the finish. It shines where most ordinary black teas in tea bags fall flat. Royal Blend Tea does well with a splash of milk.
Murchiesa Canadian brand that has been around since 1894delighted our testers with its Earl Grey. With notes of bright citrus and smooth vanilla and a touch of pepperiness, Murchies tea was potent but not overpowering, and it tasted clean and well balanced. It felt like everything Earl Grey should be. We tried several other teas by Murchies, and while the Earl Grey stood out to us, we also enjoyed the other offerings we tasted, from the green-black blend to the Golden Monkey tea. We think Murchies is a great source for replenishing your tea drawer at home or for gifts for tea-lovers.
Honey Bug Bite Oolong from Third Culture Bakery was our favorite among all the teas we tested. Its name, according to the company, comes from the bugs that bite the tea leaves and cause the plant to secrete its signature honey-like flavor. Indeed, this deep amber cup of tea seemed to shimmer with a malty sweetness. One of our testers noted that Honey Bug Bite Oolong was grounded by a robust oolong flavor, but with rich, caramelly brown sugar notes that fill it out. It leaves no tastebud or olfactory bulb untouched, but not in an aggressive way. The marriage of oolong and the honey flavor reminded us somewhat of a Chenin Blanc, so white wine fans might enjoy this one.
Onyx Tealight was an enigma in our brand-concealed tasting. While some testers found this Chinese black tea blend to have notes of vanilla and honey, others picked up on lychee and warming spices, fruity berries, and oak and whiskey. The actual ingredients include black tea, cinnamon, andunusuallyrolled oats. Onyx describes the tasting notes as malt, cinnamon, and honey. What we were all able to agree on, however, was that this tea was a joy to have in our mugs. Its cozy and warm, yet not overly potent.
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PCIntern
(28,387 posts)Passover items. $12 for a jar of 6 pieces of gefilte fish. If you were having, say, 10 people for Seder, it would be about $40 alone for the fish.
I paid $8 for maybe 12 Joyva gels for candy-dessert and the only bargain was that I got free 5 lbs of matzah with my gigantic checkout order.
Just venting. And I normally have no issue with food prices except that theyre climbing quickly. I know that sounds paradoxical but I think you know what I mean.
surrealAmerican
(11,883 posts)In the Chicago area, I can still get five pounds of it for less than the cost of two one-pound boxes - and in three different brands.
A lot of grocery prices are incomprehensible.
617Blue
(2,484 posts)FarPoint
(14,777 posts)stocking up this weekend...especially the beef...
I'll buy a whole slab and cut down my steaks....rib-eyes probably....
Buy the big rib-eye roast....
Keepthesoulalive
(2,307 posts)In some stores in our area there has been panic buying of paper goods and bottled water. Good luck.
flvegan
(66,287 posts)durablend
(9,275 posts)Anything as an excuse to declare martial law
flvegan
(66,287 posts)for our grandchildren, should we live to tell them.
Scott Alan Swaggerty
(335 posts)EuterpeThelo
(367 posts)hoarding coffee since January of 2025. Saw this cr@p coming a MILE away. Same cans stored on my "tariff grocery shelf" (fka "pandemic grocery shelf" as it was originally known) that cost me $5.99-$7.99 or so at the time are going for between $14-21 now.
IronLionZion
(51,284 posts)At least heating oil won't be a problem in the warmer months in the USA. We hope this war will be over by winter.
Old Crank
(7,097 posts)But here in Germany beef has been pricey. Ground beef here is near $6 per pound. I use
Usually buy the pork beef blend for sauces and fillings.
I have been buying turkey legs at a discount. Today I picked up 2 salmon filets, 1.25 km each for about $8 per pound. One into the freezer. The other will give us 2 meals with a guest.
wolfie001
(7,692 posts)....and his ignorant, knuckle-dragging, racist cult members.
LoisB
(13,044 posts)in the morning to load up on coffee before it gets any more expensive.
BidenRocks
(3,279 posts)I use a French Press since I feel the coffee is better and I am alone. No big batch.
Then I was gifted a Nespresso Vertuo Plus and learned how to refill my aluminum capsules.
I am also playing with a Moka Pot. Cuban Coffee sweet and strong.
Lavazza coffee is around $10
One beer out is $10.
I gave up alcohol on election day 2024.
I buy beef on markdown. Today I found 2 pounds 80/20 for $9.00
Not a deal but I saved 6 bucks and tonight is Tacos!
Filled up for $80 @ $5.58/gal
So much winning!
HappyH
(242 posts)Got a moka pot then. It made more sense because I am the only coffee drinker here. Our local roaster has gone up on his prices, $14 a pound now for Costa Rican or Sumatran whole beans. From what I see at the grocery thats not a bad price and Im supporting local jobs. I try not to count how much coffee I drink so I dont have to upset my doc, a bag of beans will last for 3 or 4 weeks using the moka pot.
NickB79
(20,363 posts)Spring turkey season is coming up, but there's not much meat on wild turkeys. I'm gonna have to get ahold of a local farmer to buy a quarter of beef to see us through until deer season this fall. Thankfully my daughter is old enough to hunt with me now, and my cousin says his farm is overrun with deer this year, so fingers crossed we get a couple big ones in November. Plus all the squirrels, rabbits and woodchucks we can shoot for stew.
Cha
(319,163 posts)So Many people do.
Sorry!
Scott Alan Swaggerty
(335 posts)These grocery prices are already almost as bad as the job market.
spooky3
(38,641 posts)To be fair (?) Flonase was $31 of that, but still
Conjuay
(3,071 posts)Instead of a kid helping you out to the car with your purchases, you get an armed security guard.
BlueKota
(5,358 posts)Not a big beef eater except in the winter, if there is a cold snap expected, I do like a slow cooker beef stew. Occasionally I will have a pub style hamburger at a restaurant. Otherwise I am more of
a chicken, and pork eater.
I admit I am totally addicted to Coffee. I get headaches, and find it hard to concentrate without it. I started drinking it extremely young. I was five when I asked my Dad for a taste of his. My mother was yelling no at him. He replied, "what's the harm, she won't like it anyway." Wrong, I loved it especially since he always put milk and sugar in his. Have been drinking it almost everyday of my life since. I have switched to vanilla flavored coffee, no milk or sugar, and only drink one to 2 cups a day. I also crave chocolate on a regular basis.
I don't drink alcohol, smoke, or do illegal drugs, so coffee and chocolate are my vices.
Ritabert
(2,452 posts)I went to buy a bottle yesterday and a little bottle was $11.99 or $13.99.
I don't eat beef or sweets but coffee is way up.