General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWould China invade Taiwan if the US invades Iran?
Assuming that that US invades Iran with significant numbers >100,000 soldiers, would China take the opportunity to invade Taiwan? In my opinion, there would be no better time. The US would be busy with a complex middle east war and Trump is not really committed to protecting Taiwan. He's even refused to comment on it when asked twice recently:
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/3300292/donald-trump-declines-say-whether-us-would-defend-taiwan-attack-mainland-china
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/11/2/trump-says-xi-assured-him-china-wont-take-action-on-taiwan
RockRaven
(19,206 posts)Their preparations are mostly naval and anti-naval in nature, as those will be the critical force projecting tools. And frankly, it sounds like where our naval forces are positioned isn't going to make much of a difference anyway. The Dotard won't try to stop them (and many other PsOTUS would not either) because there is no appetite for tens of thousands of dead American sailors on top of losing basically all microchip manufacturing; they'd rather smile and make nice to keep access to chips in the short term.
DetroitLegalBeagle
(2,499 posts)it would require weeks, if not months, of build up that would be very obvious. Any invasion will likely come during a "training exercise" so they can try to explain the build up of troops and equipment on that. Which is why Taiwan always goes on a heightened alert during any PLA training near the island.
Renew Deal
(85,029 posts)OC375
(818 posts)That said, Taiwanese are as tough as anyone. Taiwan wont be free of cost. Im sure it would be the end of trade with China, and wed probably instead just close the deal on VZ, etc
The 2000s - new Guilded Age, or new Age of Empires? You be the judge!