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edbermac

(16,382 posts)
Sun Nov 23, 2025, 12:33 PM Nov 23

Devastating population decline predicted in deep red state by 2040 as counties lose up to a third of residents

Areas of West Virginia that used to employ tens of thousands of people in the now-dying coal industry are facing huge population declines over the next 15 years.

McDowell County, once the world's largest coal producer, will lose 32 percent of its residents by 2040, according to grim projections by the Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service at the University of Virginia.

There were 19,111 people living in McDowell County in 2020, when the US Census was last taken. Hamilton Lombard, who leads the center's demographic research group, believes there will be only 13,037 people by 2040.

The county's numbers have already fallen to just above 17,000 as of 2024. It's a far cry from the population of around 100,000 that the county had in the 1950s at the height of the coal boom.

This is not limited to McDowell, as 10 other nearby counties stand to shed tens of thousands of people between them. This will gradually translate into staggering losses in economic production and tax revenue for the state

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15300067/population-decline-2040-west-virginia-mcdowell.html

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Devastating population decline predicted in deep red state by 2040 as counties lose up to a third of residents (Original Post) edbermac Nov 23 OP
But they still get 2 senators, the same as California BlueWaveNeverEnd Nov 23 #1
Welp, we can thank George Washington for that n/t Polybius Nov 23 #17
It was part of the Connecticut compromise fujiyamasan Nov 25 #48
As a group Democrats and owners of companies should start looking to move people and jobs there into these red states oldmanlynn Nov 25 #54
The Daily Mail ... that tracks. What's "devastating"?? RandomNumbers Nov 23 #2
Not when human society has adapted to certain levels of population density. EdmondDantes_ Nov 23 #6
The able move away. It's always the vulnerable left behind to suffer the worst Maru Kitteh Nov 25 #44
Central, ME...relatively rural and getting rural-er. OAITW r.2.0 Nov 25 #57
The msm has a bullshit narrative jfz9580m Nov 25 #35
Hillary tried to tell them. Nt BootinUp Nov 23 #3
and Kamala..... Jack Valentino Nov 25 #32
That's a difficult part of the country Melon Nov 23 #4
It's a really stupid part of the country Mysterian Nov 23 #5
Perhaps because there's the notion that we consider them stupid EdmondDantes_ Nov 23 #7
Lip service meaning they hate the same people. Nt BootinUp Nov 23 #8
Yeah, I'm sure they had their feelings hurt by mean liberals Mysterian Nov 23 #10
I have friends there. It can be beautiful country. Melon Nov 23 #11
I grew up there and recently lived there for 20 years Mysterian Nov 23 #14
I'm not hurting anyone's feeling. People switch parties when it's to their benefit. Not when they are insulted. Melon Nov 23 #18
You believe all voters think and vote rationally? Mysterian Nov 24 #19
The point of oligarch politics is PRECISELY to get people to vote against their own best interest. usonian Nov 25 #56
Running in Huntington underpants Nov 24 #26
Westmoreland has a lot of sidewalks exboyfil Nov 25 #27
My mom's family grew up in Westmoreland Tanuki Nov 25 #42
My dad Vinson class of 1960 exboyfil Nov 25 #47
Check your inbox! 🙂 Tanuki Nov 25 #49
"Learn to Code" is what everyone else has been told JI7 Nov 25 #34
It was a tone deaf remark directed specifically at the miners in the region. Melon Wednesday #60
The same message has been directed at everyone else for years JI7 Wednesday #62
"Learn to Code" is a bait-and-switch anyway. RandomNumbers Wednesday #63
Nothing in the Democratic Party Platform implies that they're stupid. Mariana Nov 23 #12
There is something about rural poverty that makes people bigots. ananda Nov 23 #13
Perhaps you noticed that the post I was replying to literally called them stupid EdmondDantes_ Nov 23 #15
The basic problem blubunyip Nov 24 #25
I don't think they vote Republican becsuse they are stupid. They do it because they are bigots. And the gang members JI7 Nov 25 #29
Inner city gangs vote republican?? Melon Nov 25 #31
We aren't losing the working class. .The ones that vote supported Trump JI7 Nov 25 #33
And being poor and working class doesn't make them stupid. Melon Nov 25 #36
Did you know that WV used to be a Democratic stronghold Tanuki Nov 25 #43
Yes I knew that and it doesn't change what I said JI7 Nov 25 #45
I think there's a world of contrast between verbal criticisms on message board Torchlight Nov 25 #46
I remember a documentary about how they didn't take advantage of job retraining Betty Boom Nov 25 #37
If only they had voted... Happy Hoosier Nov 25 #28
I wouldn't be surprised if that happens to a few more Red States. Behind the Aegis Nov 23 #9
Lexington, Nebraska comes to mind . . . Tyson is closing its beef processing there, so 3,200 jobs going away . . . . hatrack Nov 25 #51
19K? That is a county?!?! Mordred Nov 23 #16
This thead is a fine example Boo1 Nov 24 #20
People are actually responsible for their votes. Whatever your theory is. nt BootinUp Nov 24 #23
Give me a break róisín_dubh Nov 25 #30
It's such a beautiful state Betty Boom Nov 25 #38
The population of Morgantown Boo1 Nov 25 #39
Well no, it's not. róisín_dubh Wednesday #59
Please Boo1 Wednesday #61
These people are preyed on by hucksters who tell them coal is coming back. Oneironaut Nov 24 #21
The only answer is to consolidate the Virginia's Renew Deal Nov 24 #22
If WV and VA were one state Boo1 Nov 24 #24
West Virginia as a state is destined to become even POORER than it is now. ProudMNDemocrat Nov 25 #40
Progressives need to move into these areas dwayneb Nov 25 #41
Nobody wants to live on a smoldering slag heap? Aristus Nov 25 #50
Promises made. Promises kept... Didn't Trump get all the coal jobs back like he promised? Norrrm Nov 25 #52
Democrats should have a long-term plan to start occupying and moving to some of those states oldmanlynn Nov 25 #53
Clean Coal isn't coming to the rescue? czarjak Nov 25 #55
My home county in MI has half the population it did 100 years ago Kaleva Wednesday #58
Women of reproductive age are not going to want to live, work or start a family in places Quiet Em Wednesday #64

fujiyamasan

(1,031 posts)
48. It was part of the Connecticut compromise
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 07:51 PM
Nov 25
https://www.senate.gov/artandhistory/history/minute/Great_Compromise.htm


You have to mostly blame these two:

Exactly two hundred years earlier, the framers of the U.S. Constitution, meeting at Independence Hall, had reached a supremely important agreement. Their so-called Great Compromise (or Connecticut Compromise in honor of its architects, Connecticut delegates Roger Sherman and Oliver Ellsworth) provided a dual system of congressional representation. In the House of Representatives each state would be assigned a number of seats in proportion to its population. In the Senate, all states would have the same number of seats.

oldmanlynn

(764 posts)
54. As a group Democrats and owners of companies should start looking to move people and jobs there into these red states
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 10:17 PM
Nov 25

Democrats and owners of businesses that believe in democracy should look at moving companies into those red states and Democrats migrating from other blue states and eventually you have enough Democrats in the state where you pick up those two Senate seats. This is not a short term plan, but it needs to be on the burner as a long-term plan.

RandomNumbers

(19,024 posts)
2. The Daily Mail ... that tracks. What's "devastating"??
Sun Nov 23, 2025, 12:38 PM
Nov 23

(not clicking the link to that rag)

"Devastating population decline" only makes sense when talking about a species going on a trajectory toward extinction. Homo stupidus is not there (well except for certain technologies we've invented, but in that case it would be catastrophic population elimination rather than "decline" ).

EdmondDantes_

(1,229 posts)
6. Not when human society has adapted to certain levels of population density.
Sun Nov 23, 2025, 02:04 PM
Nov 23

Does a school make economic sense if there's only 4 school age kids? If the population of a county can't sustain a doctor's office, local health declines. Water/sewer services, etc.

Once the population drops enough, it becomes a self-feeding cycle. Businesses go under, kids move away. Yeah it's inevitable that populations shift, but it has poverty inducing effects.

Maru Kitteh

(31,089 posts)
44. The able move away. It's always the vulnerable left behind to suffer the worst
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 01:40 PM
Nov 25

That’s true in most any displacement situation whether it’s war, disease, natural disaster or economics. Women with children, elderly and disabled. Rinse, lather, repeat.

Depressing but true and also mitigable if human societies decide someday they really want to do that instead of just lamenting it.


OAITW r.2.0

(31,158 posts)
57. Central, ME...relatively rural and getting rural-er.
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 10:40 PM
Nov 25

Without viable. long term quality employments, this reality won't change.

jfz9580m

(16,246 posts)
35. The msm has a bullshit narrative
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 02:29 AM
Nov 25

The growth people will not let go of. They come up with more and more convoluted models to explain away the Idiocracy.

This is tangential to the point of this thread, broadly on the same theme imo.
Any discussion of population is couched in apocalyptic terms as if unless every part of earth is overdeveloped and overpopulated we are somehow on the wrong track.

https://www.currentaffairs.org/news/there-are-many-threats-to-humanity.-a-low-birth-rate-isnt-one-of-them


Homo stupidus is too generous.

Melon

(935 posts)
4. That's a difficult part of the country
Sun Nov 23, 2025, 01:38 PM
Nov 23

Coal is gone and families were working in it generationally. The loss pulls population and surrounding businesses out. The cities don’t have the infrastructure to support larger industry and the population lacks the skill set. You are a generation out from correcting if there isn’t a massive influx of money and training.

Mysterian

(6,096 posts)
5. It's a really stupid part of the country
Sun Nov 23, 2025, 01:47 PM
Nov 23

They continue to vote overwhelmingly for people who rob them, ruin their environment and leave them with nothing.

All due to fearmongering over gays, guns, immigrants and non-Christians.

EdmondDantes_

(1,229 posts)
7. Perhaps because there's the notion that we consider them stupid
Sun Nov 23, 2025, 02:06 PM
Nov 23

Even though Republicans lie to them, at least Republicans are paying lip service to helping them.

Mysterian

(6,096 posts)
10. Yeah, I'm sure they had their feelings hurt by mean liberals
Sun Nov 23, 2025, 04:34 PM
Nov 23

and ruined their lives because of that. Good point!

I lived in Pocahontas County for 20 years but had to get out.

Melon

(935 posts)
11. I have friends there. It can be beautiful country.
Sun Nov 23, 2025, 06:33 PM
Nov 23

They should be sure fire democratic but the same attitudes you see here are what don’t resonate.
“Learn to Code”, shut that door for a past election. They’re stupid will shut future ones.

Mysterian

(6,096 posts)
14. I grew up there and recently lived there for 20 years
Sun Nov 23, 2025, 07:23 PM
Nov 23

I'm laughing at your notion of these sensitive hillbillies getting their feelings hurt by mean liberals calling them stupid. The majority are willfully ignorant, racist, hateful and gullible. It's guns, gays and god. These people need tough love and need the truth told straight to their faces.

Melon

(935 posts)
18. I'm not hurting anyone's feeling. People switch parties when it's to their benefit. Not when they are insulted.
Sun Nov 23, 2025, 08:58 PM
Nov 23

Mysterian

(6,096 posts)
19. You believe all voters think and vote rationally?
Mon Nov 24, 2025, 07:50 PM
Nov 24

Trump won WV with about 80 percent of the vote. Do you believe a Trump presidency is "to their benefit?"

usonian

(22,814 posts)
56. The point of oligarch politics is PRECISELY to get people to vote against their own best interest.
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 10:28 PM
Nov 25

underpants

(194,182 posts)
26. Running in Huntington
Mon Nov 24, 2025, 11:15 PM
Nov 24

My mom’s family is from Huntington. Everyone is Marshall.

When I was in marathon mode we had family events and Herd ballgames. Running anywhere aside from a mall parking lot or down at campus (the salt flats basically) was out of the question. There were no shoulders let alone sidewalks and people weren’t aware of or able to suddenly process a human running against traffic (left side of the road).

I love my WV relatives and we are going to quite a nice Christmas dinner there in a month but squeezing in a 3-5 miler there was a chore.

exboyfil

(18,325 posts)
27. Westmoreland has a lot of sidewalks
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 12:06 AM
Nov 25

That is where my dad grew up, and I used to walk around there a lot when back to visit the grandparents. Granted it is not running and the sidewalks are pretty old. It also has been a while (20 years).

Tanuki

(16,220 posts)
42. My mom's family grew up in Westmoreland
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 11:20 AM
Nov 25

and some of my nieces still live there. I grew up in Spring Valley but attended Westmoreland Baptist Church and graduated from Vinson High School. I'm pretty sure we would know some of the same people!

exboyfil

(18,325 posts)
47. My dad Vinson class of 1960
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 06:59 PM
Nov 25

My uncle around 1963. My family moved to California in 1970. My Aunt by marriage has my grandparents house on Hughes St.

JI7

(93,037 posts)
34. "Learn to Code" is what everyone else has been told
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 02:12 AM
Nov 25

telling them that was no different than what others are told.

Melon

(935 posts)
60. It was a tone deaf remark directed specifically at the miners in the region.
Wed Nov 26, 2025, 12:50 AM
Wednesday

This was the attempt to win over voters…

JI7

(93,037 posts)
62. The same message has been directed at everyone else for years
Wed Nov 26, 2025, 01:16 AM
Wednesday

but we are to believe this was so offensive they were forced to vote for someone like Trump.

RandomNumbers

(19,024 posts)
63. "Learn to Code" is a bait-and-switch anyway.
Wed Nov 26, 2025, 10:27 AM
Wednesday

(maybe that was your point. if so, this post is for others.)

See: H-1B visa program.

At least in my specialty. Like hires like and many of the former H-1Bs who are now managers, twist themselves into knots (when necessary) to justify contract H-1B hires over hiring Americans. Which knot-twisting often isn't necessary because many bean-counters are clueless and easily duped into thinking the contract hires are better for the company bottom line than hiring entry-level and near-entry-level to develop in-house. The big contracting companies have been running H-1B scams for decades.

It is possible that coding in some languages still has a bright future in the US - but as long as the tech bros are manipulating the government (both parties, sadly, but currently the POT - party of Trump - is far worse), the "learn to code" mantra is just a cruel bait-and-switch for people needing to transition to other occupations.

But maybe the answer is to fix the corrupt "high-skilled" visa program. (Note I am not anti-immigrant - I am anti-H-1B and similar scams, because I have seen the corruption and human costs of this program. Up close, for decades. Fixing H-1B would have cross-party support because most of us who see it don't vote on that issue primarily - both parties are bad on it.)

Mariana

(15,610 posts)
12. Nothing in the Democratic Party Platform implies that they're stupid.
Sun Nov 23, 2025, 06:59 PM
Nov 23

And there's plenty in there about helping them.

Instead, they voted for the born rich, "coastal elite", life-long New York City resident Donald J. Trump. Did they really believe he would understand their situation, or care enough about them to try to improve it?

ananda

(34,147 posts)
13. There is something about rural poverty that makes people bigots.
Sun Nov 23, 2025, 07:07 PM
Nov 23

It happened to my entire Texas family.

I think it has to do with feeling lower than everyone
else because you're stuck in poverty or a toxic
job like coalmining.

EdmondDantes_

(1,229 posts)
15. Perhaps you noticed that the post I was replying to literally called them stupid
Sun Nov 23, 2025, 07:42 PM
Nov 23

Do poor kids who get sucked into joining gangs think that the gang has their best interest at heart or is it that the gang at least short terms offers protection/money/power? At least Trump gave lip service which we haven't been as good at based on how these people vote. Obama talked about there's no red or blue America, but many of our policies have been targeted towards the wealthy. Student loan forgiveness (which I benefited from) for example mostly benefits those of us higher on the economic ladder. It's a hard sell to a car mechanic that their tax dollars should go to student loan repayment to someone making more money and not getting dirt under their fingernails.

You can say that they should vote for us because Trump's a fraud (which is true), but the fact is we lost the working class particularly among whites and have been losing it for a long time. Shrugging our shoulders isn't going to change their voting patterns. Harris did support limiting the requirement of degrees for federal jobs and talking about apprentice programs, but we've spent years saying get a college degree or learn to code while the good union jobs got outsourced, but we have to make it more of a focus. If we don't find a way to reach them, if they don't hear our message, then we're going to continue to struggle. We have a hard road to a Senate majority because we aren't competitive in many states. That also hurts us in the presidential race and in the House. But we need to do more of that down ticket to help build our brand as a party.

Notice how Trump isn't popular on the economy now after winning on it in 2024 while Biden and then Harris were trying to sell the economy was doing good because of the stock market while people were struggling to afford things due to inflation? With a 2 party system, if people are unhappy with one party, they really only have one other option. So yes, people voted for Trump to fix the economy because they weren't feeling us doing enough on it in their opinion.

And while you didn't use the word stupid, there's definitely an implication there that they voted "wrong" because obviously Trump isn't going to care about them, so clearly they got fooled. Notice you didn't actually talk about Harris's policies, just about how bad Trump is. You aren't going to sell people on us without saying how we're trying to help them.

blubunyip

(256 posts)
25. The basic problem
Mon Nov 24, 2025, 11:02 PM
Nov 24

is corporate control of everything, and corporate propaganda. You can talk all you want about Dems vs Reps but the whole system as it stands now is rigged against the people. The whole system exploits us.

JI7

(93,037 posts)
29. I don't think they vote Republican becsuse they are stupid. They do it because they are bigots. And the gang members
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 12:22 AM
Nov 25

are mostly selfish thugs and In have no sympathy for them either. And most into the thug lifestyle supported Trump.

They all vote on bigotry.

Melon

(935 posts)
31. Inner city gangs vote republican??
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 01:24 AM
Nov 25

Please. Your world view is so set black and white that you’ll never understand why we are losing the working class. It’s either your view or they’re stupid. Everyone is dumb but me. That the attitude and how you come across. That’s dumb.

JI7

(93,037 posts)
33. We aren't losing the working class. .The ones that vote supported Trump
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 01:42 AM
Nov 25

Regardless I have little sympathy for people that are racists and misogynists.

Being poor or working class doesn't give them an excuse.

Tanuki

(16,220 posts)
43. Did you know that WV used to be a Democratic stronghold
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 11:37 AM
Nov 25

and was one of only a handful of states that went for Mike Dukakis in the 1988 election?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1988_United_States_presidential_election_in_West_Virginia



Torchlight

(6,190 posts)
46. I think there's a world of contrast between verbal criticisms on message board
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 04:03 PM
Nov 25

and actual policy. The criticisms don't change the taste of mustard; policies do.

Betty Boom

(347 posts)
37. I remember a documentary about how they didn't take advantage of job retraining
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 05:05 AM
Nov 25

I remember seeing a documentary about the job retraining that coal miners were offered. The number of people that took advantage of it was minuscule because they actually believed that the coal mining jobs were coming back. You can’t fix that kind of stupid.

Happy Hoosier

(9,327 posts)
28. If only they had voted...
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 12:17 AM
Nov 25

For people who wanted to redevelop the economy there instead of making false promises about bringing coal mining jobs back. Gor what they voted for.

Behind the Aegis

(55,781 posts)
9. I wouldn't be surprised if that happens to a few more Red States.
Sun Nov 23, 2025, 02:30 PM
Nov 23

There are several "cities", mainly towns, IMO, where there is only one or two major businesses. When those businesses close or relocate or downsize, the entire population is affected. I think there are three "cities" here in OK where there has been steady population decline. This will likely happen as more farms close or downsize too.

hatrack

(64,050 posts)
51. Lexington, Nebraska comes to mind . . . Tyson is closing its beef processing there, so 3,200 jobs going away . . . .
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 10:10 PM
Nov 25

Boo1

(91 posts)
20. This thead is a fine example
Mon Nov 24, 2025, 08:33 PM
Nov 24

of why Democrats can't complete in rural America.

"They vote against their interests!"

Or maybe we just don't understand what their interests are.

róisín_dubh

(12,200 posts)
30. Give me a break
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 12:46 AM
Nov 25

I lived in West Virginia for 10 years. My legal US residence is unfortunately still there, though I reckon I’ll make one more trip back and that’s that. I loved it for about a year until realising it is the loneliest, most backward and bitter place I’ve ever lived…and I spent 7 years in Oklahoma.
— people continually vote for politicians who’ve sold them down the river. Current case in point is their abomination of a former governor now junior senator
—they despise outsiders (with the possible exception of Shepherdstown I guess), yet outsiders in places like Morgantown WANT to help make it better
—they despise unions, yet unions tried to protect workers last century and were famous for it

So no, some of us are well aware of Appalachia and rural America and got tired of being treated like dirt as outsiders because our mammies and pappies weren’t from there

Betty Boom

(347 posts)
38. It's such a beautiful state
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 05:08 AM
Nov 25

Truly, it’s one of the most beautiful states in the country, but so backwards that nobody wants to move there. And as you said, a very strong suspicion of “outsiders.”

Boo1

(91 posts)
39. The population of Morgantown
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 10:54 AM
Nov 25

Is full of "outsiders" who dont have any problems.

Maybe it wasn't the locals who were the issue.

róisín_dubh

(12,200 posts)
59. Well no, it's not.
Wed Nov 26, 2025, 12:47 AM
Wednesday

But the vitriol towards the city council one year- all of whom were outsiders-was laughable.
The vitriol towards students is appalling.

And the treatment of Morgantown by the state is equally bad.

I lived in Morgantown so good try.

Boo1

(91 posts)
61. Please
Wed Nov 26, 2025, 01:02 AM
Wednesday

Every college townie complains about the students and every city complains about their city council. Don't act like it's unique.

And as you said, they elected an entire city council that were outsiders. Certainly not shunning them.

Oneironaut

(6,166 posts)
21. These people are preyed on by hucksters who tell them coal is coming back.
Mon Nov 24, 2025, 08:40 PM
Nov 24

If coal is coming back, why has Trump done absolutely nothing to bring it back? Twice?

Coal is (mostly) dead and gone. It’s a dirty form of power that we can never return to as a society. That doesn’t help these people, but, it’s a reality.

ProudMNDemocrat

(20,445 posts)
40. West Virginia as a state is destined to become even POORER than it is now.
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 11:06 AM
Nov 25

Less populace means LESS tax revenues.

But then, Republicans were never that good at Math.

dwayneb

(1,101 posts)
41. Progressives need to move into these areas
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 11:09 AM
Nov 25

Because one thing we know about our system - he who controls the geography controls your fate.

It's the way our short sighted founders designed it. 2 senators per state, and gerrymandering allowed to bias the House.

Point is even if these areas dwindle to near zero, if it's all red they will STILL control those House seats.

Aristus

(71,411 posts)
50. Nobody wants to live on a smoldering slag heap?
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 09:58 PM
Nov 25

Who’d a thunk it?

Go on, red staters: tell me why living in a squalid shithole is better than living in a place with electricity, indoor plumbing, schools, libraries, jobs, opportunities, things to do, dentist offices, and breathable air.

Go ahead.

I’ll wait…

Norrrm

(3,623 posts)
52. Promises made. Promises kept... Didn't Trump get all the coal jobs back like he promised?
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 10:10 PM
Nov 25

Jenkinjones, West Virginia | How Did This Happen?

oldmanlynn

(764 posts)
53. Democrats should have a long-term plan to start occupying and moving to some of those states
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 10:15 PM
Nov 25

A long-term plan 20 years maybe 10 but as those people move out, Democrats move in and start fixing up the economy education etc there and then there’s two more senators.

You know how you get rid of this right wing Supreme Court you have more democratic senators.

Kaleva

(40,102 posts)
58. My home county in MI has half the population it did 100 years ago
Wed Nov 26, 2025, 12:21 AM
Wednesday

When the copper mines shut down, the exodus began.

Quiet Em

(2,500 posts)
64. Women of reproductive age are not going to want to live, work or start a family in places
Wed Nov 26, 2025, 10:46 AM
Wednesday

that put their lives and well-being in harm.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Devastating population de...