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Pototan

(2,644 posts)
Fri May 30, 2025, 10:32 PM Friday

Democrats at 27%: Reading the polls accurately

First off, I believe the polls They may not be 100% accurate, but they are in the ballpark. So, when Democrats are at 27& favorability, the question is why. To me, it's obvious. There are many Democrats who do not feel the Democrats in office are fighting Trump hard enough. Democrats may be disappointed, but they are not stupid.

The facts prove my point. Nearly every off-year election and special election has shown that Democrats overperform. We know that the only alternative to Trump is voting for Democrats. We are not stupid.

We will see if my theory is correct shortly. We will see in some scheduled, off year elections for Governor of Virginia and New Jersey, as well as some specials, if the Democrats continue to over perform, as we did in the early months of this year. I predict a win in Virginia of at least 10 points and in New Jersey by more than that.

If the Democrats' 27% approval rating was because Dems and Dem leaning Indies supported the Trump agenda, we would be getting killed in elections. That 27% figure is because the voters hate Trump more than Democrats in office do, but the voters know the only alternative to the Trump agenda is voting for Democrats.

43 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Democrats at 27%: Reading the polls accurately (Original Post) Pototan Friday OP
According to Yougov's latest poll: everyonematters Friday #1
I think you answered your own question Bluetus Friday #11
In two years our democracy will be dead. choie Friday #12
re: fighting hard TnDem Yesterday #33
Or it's just slightly possible that people are stupid NoRethugFriends Friday #2
Likely. OAITW r.2.0 Friday #3
And I wonder how many of those people who have a feeling that Democrats think they are stupid elocs Friday #5
If that's all it takes for them to vote against everyone's interest Keepthesoulalive Friday #8
Trump calls his voters stupid right to their face -- no Democrats do. If so, when, who, what did they say? betsuni Yesterday #13
More than slightly. Layzeebeaver Yesterday #22
It all makes sense if you just resign yourself Cosmocat Yesterday #32
I do not trust any poll creon Friday #4
Lots here have that attitude but when polls are favorable towards Democrats elocs Friday #6
Polls are bull Keepthesoulalive Friday #9
I do not trust them creon Yesterday #31
But as I've heard those at the top of political campaigns say, they read & pay attention to polls elocs Yesterday #34
that is what matters creon 19 hrs ago #37
It's the truth, so it does matter. The truth is that campaigns pay attention to the polls they trust the most. n/t elocs 18 hrs ago #39
We have the driest powder on the seven seas. LuvLoogie Friday #7
Hope that improves as midterms gear up. Silent Type Friday #10
The poles are shit as usual. rickyhall Yesterday #14
What do the Democrats stand for other than being anti-Trump? That's what I've heard people say who don't like Trump. Doodley Yesterday #15
At some point, we have to run on something besides trump is a POS. True, but didn't work in 2016 or 2024. Silent Type Yesterday #16
Their opinions of Democrats are shaped more by Trump and R/W media than Democrats themselves. Doodley 17 hrs ago #41
Ask them why they don't like the Democratic position on Taxes JI7 Yesterday #17
That is my point. They don't know. To them, we aren't getting our message across, other than Trump is bad. Doodley 17 hrs ago #40
Most voters are not adults. hay rick Yesterday #18
I think Senate Dems angrychair Yesterday #19
My point. The voters you refer to Pototan Yesterday #21
I don't disagree angrychair Yesterday #25
I agree Pototan Yesterday #30
This far ahead of an election, polls are used to support media contentions. lees1975 Yesterday #20
Post removed Post removed Yesterday #23
I hope you enjoyed your stay at DU Pototan Yesterday #24
the 'not fighting hard enough' - is one of the more inane political analyses stopdiggin Yesterday #26
The ones who came up with "not fighting hard enough" burst into giggles every time they betsuni Yesterday #27
yeah ... I kind of get this throbbing pain ... roughly situated behind my left eyeball ? stopdiggin Yesterday #28
I couldn't agree with you more Pototan Yesterday #29
Because Democrats take the bait DenaliDemocrat Yesterday #35
The way to correct this problem... kentuck Yesterday #36
All bdamomma 17 hrs ago #42
I agree with your last paragraph senseandsensibility 19 hrs ago #38
You Assume That People Oppose the Trump Neo Nazi Agenda TomCADem 11 hrs ago #43

everyonematters

(3,815 posts)
1. According to Yougov's latest poll:
Fri May 30, 2025, 10:42 PM
Friday

The Democratic Party is at 38% overall with registered voters.

With Democrats, it is 80%

With independents it is 23%

Both parties have a problem with independents. We are a little worse.

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_WokQXF7.pdf

Bluetus

(1,085 posts)
11. I think you answered your own question
Fri May 30, 2025, 11:48 PM
Friday

Last edited Sat May 31, 2025, 12:39 AM - Edit history (1)

... when you said, "Nearly every off-year election and special election has shown that Democrats overperform"

And THAT is exactly why 90% of the national Dems are intentionally NOT fighting. They figure they can simply lay low and let the pendulum swing their way the next time.

And this is EXACTLY why we need to be primarying every last one who thinks that way.

TnDem

(860 posts)
33. re: fighting hard
Sat May 31, 2025, 08:13 AM
Yesterday

We can fight to our heart's content, but ultimately more voters have to buy what we are selling...Right now, they don't.

elocs

(24,418 posts)
5. And I wonder how many of those people who have a feeling that Democrats think they are stupid
Fri May 30, 2025, 10:58 PM
Friday

as a consequence chose to vote for Trump? If you want people to vote for your candidate it's probably best to at least pretend that you do not feel condescending towards them.

Keepthesoulalive

(1,371 posts)
8. If that's all it takes for them to vote against everyone's interest
Fri May 30, 2025, 11:19 PM
Friday

That’s on them . Stop coddling these people. No one is calling them stupid but republicans. He loves the uneducated. You can kiss their asses and they will still vote for the leopard.

betsuni

(27,955 posts)
13. Trump calls his voters stupid right to their face -- no Democrats do. If so, when, who, what did they say?
Sat May 31, 2025, 12:16 AM
Yesterday

Are they talking about a sentence taken out of context that people cry about like babies for the rest of their lives because they won't look it up? They'll ruin their lives because they're so passionate and steadfast in their religious belief that Democrats are mean to them personally -- their family and community don't matter -- only their imaginary hurt feelings that they are told to have?

Carter, Clinton, Obama, Hillary, Biden, Harris: all wealthy upper class 1% out-of-touch coastal elites who have no idea what economic and social inequality is. Oh wait! Bullshit! But yeah, don't vote for Democrats because of some vague passive-aggressive propaganda you heard somewhere.

Cosmocat

(15,173 posts)
32. It all makes sense if you just resign yourself
Sat May 31, 2025, 08:10 AM
Yesterday

to knowing this country is stupid as $hit.

creon

(1,585 posts)
4. I do not trust any poll
Fri May 30, 2025, 10:44 PM
Friday

the best polls are plus or minus 3%.
the best.
but. it was what the media goes by.
sad

elocs

(24,418 posts)
6. Lots here have that attitude but when polls are favorable towards Democrats
Fri May 30, 2025, 11:01 PM
Friday

they get exalted from the rooftops as being prescient beyond measure.

Keepthesoulalive

(1,371 posts)
9. Polls are bull
Fri May 30, 2025, 11:21 PM
Friday

We are working to get out the vote. Sears is an uneducated nut. We’re not going for that.

elocs

(24,418 posts)
34. But as I've heard those at the top of political campaigns say, they read & pay attention to polls
Sat May 31, 2025, 08:41 AM
Yesterday

everyday. Plus, all polls are not created equal and so should not all be painted with a broad brush but viewed with discernment.

creon

(1,585 posts)
37. that is what matters
Sat May 31, 2025, 07:50 PM
19 hrs ago

it matters thqt the imprtsnt people believe
what ai think - a nobody -mdoes not matter

elocs

(24,418 posts)
39. It's the truth, so it does matter. The truth is that campaigns pay attention to the polls they trust the most. n/t
Sat May 31, 2025, 08:33 PM
18 hrs ago

LuvLoogie

(8,029 posts)
7. We have the driest powder on the seven seas.
Fri May 30, 2025, 11:06 PM
Friday

Our party leadership reminds me of Merrick Garland.

Doodley

(10,974 posts)
15. What do the Democrats stand for other than being anti-Trump? That's what I've heard people say who don't like Trump.
Sat May 31, 2025, 12:33 AM
Yesterday

We are letting Trump define Democrats, as we let Trump define Joe Biden and Hilary Clinton.

Silent Type

(9,663 posts)
16. At some point, we have to run on something besides trump is a POS. True, but didn't work in 2016 or 2024.
Sat May 31, 2025, 12:53 AM
Yesterday

Doodley

(10,974 posts)
41. Their opinions of Democrats are shaped more by Trump and R/W media than Democrats themselves.
Sat May 31, 2025, 10:02 PM
17 hrs ago

So my point is that Democrats need a plan to change that.

JI7

(91,982 posts)
17. Ask them why they don't like the Democratic position on Taxes
Sat May 31, 2025, 12:55 AM
Yesterday

health care , education etc. Ask them specifically what their problem is with the position. They will be exposed as being clueless . Most of their political news is just stupid memes .

Doodley

(10,974 posts)
40. That is my point. They don't know. To them, we aren't getting our message across, other than Trump is bad.
Sat May 31, 2025, 09:57 PM
17 hrs ago

hay rick

(8,740 posts)
18. Most voters are not adults.
Sat May 31, 2025, 01:04 AM
Yesterday

They are angry because Donald Trump pisses on their leg every day and the Democrats don't stop him.

angrychair

(10,649 posts)
19. I think Senate Dems
Sat May 31, 2025, 01:15 AM
Yesterday

Are a drag on the Party right now. There repeated votes that help Republicans move their agenda forward is seen as a negative.

Pototan

(2,644 posts)
21. My point. The voters you refer to
Sat May 31, 2025, 01:19 AM
Yesterday

have a negative opinion of Democrats because they don't fight Trump hard enough.

They will vote for Democrats in the elections I described. And they have been.

angrychair

(10,649 posts)
25. I don't disagree
Sat May 31, 2025, 01:46 AM
Yesterday

But Senate Democrats have lost a lot of trust with Democratic voters. We lost one Manchin but seem to have gained 9-12 more.

Pototan

(2,644 posts)
30. I agree
Sat May 31, 2025, 03:03 AM
Yesterday

However, what's the alternative?

Sure, we got rid of Manchin, but we gained a MAGA Republican. As bad as Manchin was, he still caucused with us.

lees1975

(6,570 posts)
20. This far ahead of an election, polls are used to support media contentions.
Sat May 31, 2025, 01:18 AM
Yesterday

Too many variables, for one thing. How did they ask the question about approval? Who did they ask? How big was the sample? When was the poll taken? Who did it? What's their bias?

I don't have any problem believing there's a problem with numbers for Democrats in Congress. If you asked me if I approve of the job they are doing in Congress, I would say no. That doesn't mean I will stay home from the next election, or vote for the other side. It just means that I am frustrated with the lack of initiative and concern that many of our politicians are showing, and their side of self-preservation that is showing badly.

If they got in the way of this jackass agenda the way Republicans messed up and got in the way of Obama's agenda in 2008, I'd be a lot happier. If they'd have done what they could have, with risk sure, but still within the possibilities, when they controlled both houses, we would not be having these discussions here now.. Democrats need to reform their party, get rid of the old school thinking and of tactics equated with bringing a knife to a gunfight, and start fighting back. Be bold, take risks, get rid of the "get in line and the reward is for endurance and paying party dues" crap that is preventing the kind of progressive thinking necessary to win elections, especially on the national scale.

Response to Pototan (Original post)

stopdiggin

(13,784 posts)
26. the 'not fighting hard enough' - is one of the more inane political analyses
Sat May 31, 2025, 02:07 AM
Yesterday

to come along in a while. While I don't doubt that a lot of the relatively politically naive buy into it - it completely ignores the facts on the ground, and that being that the Republican party currently has effective control of all three branches of government. That's just plain fact. And, in practical terms - that leaves the Ds with very few levers in which to pull. And all of the woulda', shoulda', coulda' in the world, doesn't get around the fact that they are essentially (and in very practical terms) boxed out of power.

But, by all means - let's go ahead and keep hammering the 'Democrats not fighting' card. It'll undoubtedly be a big winner for us!
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

betsuni

(27,955 posts)
27. The ones who came up with "not fighting hard enough" burst into giggles every time they
Sat May 31, 2025, 02:15 AM
Yesterday

think about how many dumbasses repeat it seriously as if it means anything at all and isn't one of the stupidest things ever.

stopdiggin

(13,784 posts)
28. yeah ... I kind of get this throbbing pain ... roughly situated behind my left eyeball ?
Sat May 31, 2025, 02:24 AM
Yesterday

but I try to be .. somewhat diplomatic and at least semi-kind ...
I was taught that was how you dealt with the .. less advantaged.

Pototan

(2,644 posts)
29. I couldn't agree with you more
Sat May 31, 2025, 02:36 AM
Yesterday

unfortunately, many Democrats just feel that 'they're not fighting hard enough". I know politics and I know how the majority rules in both branches. And when you don't have the White House and you can't count on the Supreme Court, you're left with few, if any, options.

No matter how these Democratic leaners feel, they are still voting for Democrats in all the specials and odd year elections at greater numbers than expected. That's the point of the OP.

DenaliDemocrat

(1,636 posts)
35. Because Democrats take the bait
Sat May 31, 2025, 10:49 AM
Yesterday

And go all in on social policies that are easy to exploit in the media. We pander to a fight on Republicans on gays, guns, and God instead of sticking to economic policies, defense, health care.

We always play on their side of the field and we always lose.

kentuck

(113,888 posts)
36. The way to correct this problem...
Sat May 31, 2025, 11:25 AM
Yesterday

...is to convince people that we are Americans before we are Democrats. Our nation is at risk and all Americans need to stand up.

TomCADem

(17,827 posts)
43. You Assume That People Oppose the Trump Neo Nazi Agenda
Sun Jun 1, 2025, 03:58 AM
11 hrs ago

The biggest mistake in your post is to assume that people support a progressive agenda over a racist, fascist, sexist one.

Most of the world does not enjoy Democratic freedoms. In the US, we have had slavery and rampant suppression of women and minorities. Oppression and tyranny are the general rule for most of the world and most of history.

Yet, many progressives assume that everyone believes what they do and make no effort to reach out to people who do not believe what they believe. Instead, they demand that their political leaders lean into an ever unpopular progressive agenda when the general populace has been groomed by social media to be more isolated and distrustful of the news, government and each other.

DU does not represent the views of most people. Go on Facebook, follow Fox News, MMA, Football, and Guns and see what you get on your feed and that is what the typical American voter is viewing as their reality, and unless progressives can somehow reach such people and convince them to be more compassionate and less cruel, asking Democrats to be more progressive will just further alienate them from an increasingly intolerant voter base.

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